Description:
KEY FINDINGS:
1.
The prolonged Kachin conflict is a
major obstacle to Myanmar?s national
reconciliation and a challenging test
for the democratization process.
2.
The KIO and the Myanmar
government differ on the priority
between the cease-fire and the political
dialogue. Without addressing this
difference, the nationwide peace
accord proposed by the government
will most likely lack the KIO?s
participation.
3.
The disagreements on terms have
hindered a formal cease-fire. In addition, the existing economic interest groups profiting from the armed
conflict have further undermined the
prospect for progress.
4.
China intervened in the Kachin negotiations in 2013 to protect its national
interests. A crucial motivation was a
concern about the ?internationalization” of the Kachin issue and the potential US role along the Chinese border.
5.
Despite domestic and external
pressure, the US has refrained from
playing a formal and active role in the
Kachin conflict. The need to balance
the impact on domestic politics in
Myanmar and US-China relations are
factors in US policy.
6.A
The US has attempted to discuss
various options of cooperation with
China on the Kachin issue. So far,
such attempts have not been accepted
by China.
Source/publisher:
Stimson Center (Great Powers and the Changing Myanmar - Issue Brief No. 2)
Date of Publication:
2014-01-00
Date of entry:
2014-01-23
Grouping:
- Individual Documents
Category:
Language:
English