Business as Usual

Description: 

Real economic change in post-election Burma is about as likely as a herd of white elephants, say experts... "Burma?s current military rulers will continue to run the economy for their own benefit even after the country comes under a more civilian form of government following this year?s election in November. A child plays while his parents take a nap beside their roadside vegetable stall in Rangoon. That?s the conclusion of a number of economists and financial policy experts who have been monitoring Burma in the lead up to the election. They foresee little real change that would benefit ordinary people. Although the current financial year will show improvements, these will be ?driven mainly by investment in projects in the energy and petroleum industries, particularly by Chinese firms,” concludes the latest assessment of Burma by the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU). ?Excluding these sectors, however, the domestic economy will remain sluggish,” according to the EIU report. ?The government?s revenue base remains small, and it will continue to spend heavily on large projects that benefit the military regime.” The EIU report, published in August, reaches similar conclusions to other economists and researchers who have been analyzing Burma in the months leading up to the election. A recent study by the United States Institute for Peace (USIP), a Washington-based think tank funded by the US Congress, said that natural gas exports to Thailand continue to be the main source of income for Burma?s economy, yet ?the junta has devised ingenious mechanisms to siphon these funds but has spent relatively little on improving the quality of life for most Burmese.” ?Using a system of multiple exchange rates, the junta deprives the government coffers of hundreds of millions of dollars each year,” said the USIP report. ?Unsurprisingly, the resultant large fiscal deficits have been financed by printing money, which has led to persistently high inflation.” The most somber assessment of all, by Australian economist Sean Turnell, suggests that in spite of growing gas exports, the standard of living in Burma is actually declining..."

Creator/author: 

William Boot

Source/publisher: 

"The Irrawaddy" Vol. 18, No. 9

Date of Publication: 

2010-09-00

Date of entry: 

2012-07-22

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  • Individual Documents

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Language: 

English

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