BURMA: TENTATIVE STEPS

 

Report Card Sept.’00 ~ Jan.’01

 

Bumper Issue ‘Talks’ Special

 

Inside:
5 parter on the Rangoon Talks, Landmines, ILO, Drugs, Women & the Usual Topics,
Chronology
1st Sept.’00 ~ 31st Jan.’01

 

Printed in Bangkok, March 2001

 

ISBN    974 88306 – 4

 

 


CONTENTS

2    TENTATIVE STEPS TOWARDS DIALOGUE

•  Expectations

•  Outcomes

•  The SPDC

•  The NLD

•  The Ethnic Nationalities

•  “Concessions” to Asean

•  Public Relations Rhetoric

•  Role of Sanctions

•  Where Do We Go From Here?

9    WOMEN & HEALTH

•  2nd Myanmar Women’s Conf.

•  Rohingya Women: Double Burden

•  Women’s Reproductive Rights Infringed in Thailand

11  HIV/AIDS

•  A Tragedy Unfolding

•  Denial & Ignorance

•  The Reality

•  Geographical Mobility

•  HIV PRevention

•  Declining Health & Education Standards

16  DRUGS

•  Drug Production

•  Transmigration of the Wa Cont.

•  UWSA & SSA (South)

•  SPDC & Drugs

•  Drug Eradication Measures

25  ECONOMIC SITUATION

•  SPDC Growth Fantasies

•  Foreign Investment Collapse

•  Prices of Basic Items Will Rise Again

•  Japan

30  EDUCATION

•  New Education Plan from SPDC

•  Revolving Door of Closures

32  HUMAN RIGHTS SITUATION

•  The ILO Resolution

•  Landmine Monitor Report 2000

•  US Court Case against Unocal

36  RELATIONS WITH RELIGIOUS & ETHNIC GROUPS

•  God’s Army Surrenders

38  RELATIONS WITH THE DEMOCRACY MOVEMENT

•  Traveling in Burma With the NLD

•  The Revolving Door of Arrests

•  Homeless in Rangoon

42  INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

•  ‘Mediation’ by Asean

•  Mahathir Visits Burma

•  EU-Asean Meeting

•  The Off/On EU Troika

•  Changes in Foreign Policy: Thailand & The United States

•  U N Special Rapporteur Resigns

50  REFUGEES & MIGRANT WORKERS

•  Repatriation of Karen

•  Repatriation of Rohingya

•  Burmese Refugees in Guam

•  Migrant Labour in Thailand

55  CHRONOLOGY: September 1st 2000 - January 31st 2001

61  APPendix 1: Leadership Calls for NTl Reconciliation

64  APPendix 2: Intl Strategy Meeting on Burma statement

66  APPendix 3: Burma At The Crossroads

70  APPendix 4: The Coming Transition & The Ntl Reconciliation Program

77  APPendix 5: ICFTU: Election of Burmese Official TO chair major U N C’tee

78  APPendix 6: Index of Economic Freedom for Burma 2001


 

TENTATIVE STEPS TOwards DIALOGUE

On January 9, a UN spokesperson announced that Lt. General Khin Nyunt and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi had been engaged in a direct ‘dialogue’ since October. On the following day the NLD confirmed that it was engaged in talks with the SPDC and that some progress had been achieved. Prior to this, Lt. General Khin Nyunt met NLD Chairperson U Aung Shwe on September 14.

While the talks have been described by certain quarters as a ‘dialogue’, it is important to note that the current circumstances give no indication that these talks fulfil the conditions needed for a genuine ‘dialogue’, for ‘dialogue’ is rarely conducted between hostages and their captors.

Expectations

The talks raised expectations but very little is known about its nature, extent and content. There are many reasons for caution about the outcomes and the time frame for change. Comments have been made by a number of important players who have indicated that change will come slowly and the outcome will not be a “Western-style democracy”.

It is yet to be seen if the SPDC is attempting to manipulate the international community for the removal of sanctions and the resumption of aid and loans or if they are actually willing to engage in a sincere discussion about the future welfare of the peoples of Burma.

While some exiled activists have hailed the talks as “historic”, the NLD’s position appears to be one of cautious optimism. The NLD has refrained from making public statements about the content or progress of the talks apparently in order to build up goodwill and avoid offending the regime. However, it is speculated that the NLD leadership has its own timetable for outcomes, possibly focused on the release of political prisoners, ability to exercise its rights as a legally registered political party, cessation of human rights violations against ethnic nationalities and joint cooperation for development projects.

The bizarre circumstances surrounding the talks – the NLD leaders’ apparent acquiescence to SPDC-imposed house arrest, a “freak” helicopter crash, rumours of coup attempts and lack of significant outcomes six months into the talks – underline the uncertainty of where the talks may lead.

Outcomes

Despite the hype and excitement, the 6-month long talks at this stage have not delivered any substantive outcomes apart from the release of a limited number of political prisoners, all arrested shortly before the dialogue process. The Central Executive Committee of the NLD (CEC) have received particular attention being twice released from house arrest and detention in government ‘guesthouses’.1

•  The NLD has temporarily stopped issuing statements that used to highlight economic, social and political problems in the country

•  NLD leaders have apparently accepted conditions of house arrest, isolation and extreme secrecy over the talks

•  The SPDC released 6 elderly political prisoners on October 16 however, senior democracy leaders including U Win Tin U Win Htein and U Aye Thar Aung, plus over a thousand more NLD members and supporters remain imprisoned under harsh conditions. Several more whose sentences have been completed are yet to be released.

•  The temporary withdrawal of an eviction date for the NLD headquarters in Rangoon on October 25, however, the original order was issued under duress in the first place, after the elderly landladies of the premises were detained

•  The SPDC issued an ordinance banning forced labor on November 1 in compliance with ILO demands, however this appears to have only resulted in a few days “holiday” for forced laborers – the order only had temporary effect at the local level. This is substantiated by subsequent reports that forced labor continues.

•  The December 1st release from house arrest of 6 members of the NLD CEC, however Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, U Aung Shwe and U Tin Oo are still under house arrest and have been able to unable to consult directly with other colleagues, besides U Lwin.

•  Eleven NLD members were sentenced to between 7 – 21 years jail on December 14 for issuing a statement on the Dala Township standoff.

•  Since January, the SPDC press has stopped attacking Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and the NLD, and instead targets foreign and exiled groups.

•  Rangoon Court dismissed Daw Aung San Suu Kyi’s brother’s petition for half her home on technical grounds on January 22, however it is surprising that the suit was lodged in the first place, since Aung San Oo is technically ineligible to do so.

•  Eighty-four NLD members were released from detention on January 25, however about 10 people who were violently arrested with them in September at the Rangoon train station are still in detention as are an estimated 29 others arrested at the same time in Mandalay.

•  U Tin Oo was also released from 4 months’ detention in a military camp, however he remains under house arrest.

•  Some NLD offices have been permitted to reinstall notcieboards on their premises, however NLD members continue to be arrested and detained, albeit in small numbers.

The SPDC

The talks are presently not official and many believe that only the Khin Nyunt faction is represented.There have been a number of unconfirmed rumours that Senior General Than Shwe and General Maung Aye were involved in some of the talks at the early stages. Later rumours suggest a split between the factions, with Maung Aye opposed to the dialogue. These rumours increased after the February 19 helicopter crash that killed Secretary No.2, Lt. General Tin Oo who was in the Maung Aye faction, with many seeing the death as an assassination by the Khin Nyunt faction.2 There have even been speculations of a coup and arrests of high ranking military officers including Maung Aye. The veracity of these reports or their relationship to the talks is presently unknown. However, Khin Nyunt has publically denied rumours of a split in the military.3 There is not just the issue of splits in the upper echelons of the military structure but increasing discontent in the lower ranks.4

The NLD

It is not clear at this stage, which NLD representatives have been involved in the dialogue. There was at least one meeting between U Aung Shwe (then under arrest in a ‘guest-house’) and Lt. General Khin Nyunt. Accompanying Khin Nyunt at the September 14 meeting was U Khin Maung Win, Deputy Foreign Minister. Aung San Suu Kyi is one of the key protaganists in the talks, with perhaps NLD chairperson U Aung Shwe and NLD Secretary U Lwin. The SPDC-imposed house arrests on NLD leaders they are supposed to be in dialogue with has aroused suspicions of the true intentions of the regime. While the NLD leaders have been allowed a few appointments with visiting diplomats, free access to other democracy leaders and ethnic nationality groups has yet to happen.

The ethnic nationality groups

Information is scant about the possibility of other representatives involved in the talks. Comments from a range of exiled groups suggest that ‘representatives’ of minority ethnic groups are not involved at this stage. The perceived main initiator of the ‘dialogue’, Razali Ismail has met with some SPDC-endorsed ‘representatives’ of minority ethnic groups during his visits to Burma.

Rumors exist that some ‘representatives’ have been involved in discussions with SPDC officials outside of Burma, but this has not been confirmed. Phado Mahn Sha, the KNU Secretary told the DVB that there was a meeting between the liaison officers of the KNU and SPDC but that there is no possibility of a dialogue at the moment.5 A KNPP representative on the same program said that a letter from the SPDC asked them to join with the SPDC and engage in development activities and engage in talks. The non-inclusion of ‘representatives’ from ethnic nationality groups will be a source of continuing conflict if the ‘dialogue’ brings about some ‘resolutions’ between the SPDC and the NLD.

“Concessions” to Asean

The ASEAN countries continue to maintain their public commitment to non-interference but there seems to have been some behind-the-scenes diplomacy. It is unlikely that the rest of ASEAN is interested in substantive moves towards democracy but some must be harboring hopes that the governing skills and the image of the SPDC can be improved. The appointment of a Malaysian, Razali Ismail, as the UN’s Special Envoy to Burma is widely perceived to have been instrumental in establishing dialogue. He made two visits to Burma during the period with the first visit in early October and the second in early January. 6

During the October visit he met with a range of officials from the SPDC including Senior General Than Shwe and Lt-General Khin Nyunt. Khin Nyunt apparently lectured him on the confrontational tactics of the NLD. He also met with Aung Kham Htyi, a Palaung leader, who heads an ethnic armed opposition group. This group was one of nine armed groups that agreed to a cease-fire with the military regime in 1989. The itinerary included a meeting with two senior leaders of the National Unity Party; the military backed party that badly lost the 1990 election. Razali met twice with Aung San Suu Kyi who handed him a list of 67 political prisoners. After the visit, the SPDC newspapers accused U.S. and British diplomats of encouraging NLD leaders to complain to Razali about government repression. The release of 6 elderly political prisoners a week after Razali’s first visit and the announcement of dialogue the day Razali returned from his second visit fuelled speculations that Razali has had some influence with the regime.

In September, Kofi Annan had asked Vietnam, which currently holds the chair of ASEAN, to persuade SPDC to accept an ASEAN troika. In October, just after Razali’s first visit and prior to the ASEAN-EU meeting, Vietnam confirmed that it had contact with the SPDC and concerned countries. Vietnam insisted that there should be no intervention but Vietnam’s foreign minister visited Burma just after Razali’s October visit. Though the release of the 6 elderly political prisoners is attributed to intervention by Razali, the release came the day after the visit of Vietnam’s foreign minister.

The Vietnamese diplomacy was overshadowed by the more public visit of Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamed that coincided with the January visit by Razali. Mahathir unlike the Vietnamese, was more than happy to comment on his trip. Mahathir said that Senior General Than Shwe is willing to hold elections but they are not in the offing for another few years.7 The role and influence of the UN Special Envoy Razali Ismail on the SPDC is as yet unclear. The visits by ASEAN dignitaries at crucial moments in the dialogue suggest that even ASEAN is unhappy with the crisis in Burma.

Public Relations Rhetoric

Even though personal attacks on Daw Aung San Suu Kyi in the state press have been stopped much of the old rhetoric continues. Senior General Than Shwe on the day the EU delegation arrived in Rangoon warned against outside interference from neocolonial states trying to cause disunity in the country. Another, cause for caution at this stage are some of the signals that have come from the regime suggesting that ‘change’ comes with a price. Lt. General Khin Nyunt, a major player in the dialogue, in a speech at an opening ceremony for a government training course says that the international community must roll back sanctions if it wants to see “the emergence of a peaceful, modern and democratic state.”8

Khin Nyunt obviously has a particular version of a “peaceful, modern and democratic state” in mind. Three days later he stated, “It should be witnessed that some big neo-colonialist countries are interfering and applying pressure on Myanmar on all fronts to force the adoption of a democratic system identical to theirs. In fact, it is impossible to introduce the same democratic system to all countries as they differ in historical backgrounds, geographical conditions, national characters, traditions and culture, and the evolution of their political, economic and social conditions. A certain period of time is needed to implement the national policy and create a disciplined and durable democratic system which will be the most compatible with the desires of all nationalities.”9

The regime may be attempting to improve its public relations image. Cynics might see Khin Nyunt’s recent statement that Burma has an HIV/AIDS problem as a feeble attempt to improve the image of the SPDC and attract overseas aid. Though, it could signal a real attempt to come to terms with an increasing and internationally recognized problem. Education with the partial re-opening of the universities and the SPDC’s new education plan, though a limited and badly enacted policy, may be another signal some elements in the SPDC are willing to entertain some political or at least policy changes. These has been some speculation that Burma’s severe economic problems, HIV/AIDS epidemic and education may be possible areas of collaboration or at least discussion between SPDC and the NLD.10 If any policy to be of even limited effectiveness in Burma more than cosmetic changes are essential given the extremely poor health and education systems.

Role of sanctions

A reason for the dialogue is likely to be unprecedented criticism of the SPDC from a number of international agencies and governments. The most significant of these is the vote by the governing body of the ILO on 17 November for the full implementation of the resolution adopted in June 2000 which recommended members of the ILO and UN agencies review their relations with Burma. Under the ILO resolution the SPDC faces potential international bans from trade unions on the movements of its trade along with UN agencies withdrawing its services from the country.11

Despite the protestations of SPDC and their apologists, sanctions HAVE worked. The gradual accumulation of a range of sanctions in a situation of economic ruin (with the kyat plummeting from 350 to 500 per US dollar) have forced the SPDC to seriously re-evaluate their strategy on how to “handle” the NLD.

These concerns merge with an urgent need for the SPDC to regain its hold over regional commands. In recent years, the SPDC’s declining resources have decreased the flow of supplies to the regional commands. This seems to be one reason that the regional commands appear to be growing more independent from the SPDC’s central influence.12

The removal of sanctions and the introduction of international aid may publicly emerge as a bargaining point for any political changes. The international community has offered or mooted in the past a connection between the resumption of aid and political change.13 The Japanese have been looking for an excuse to resume Overseas Development Assistance (ODA).14 In addition, the regime may be hoping that with a change in US administration, which is less favorably disposed towards sanctions, minor or cosmetic changes will be enough for sanctions to be removed.

Where do we go from here?

The talks may have been initiated by the SPDC as a means to gain urgently needed loans, aid and investment. The regime or at least the Khin Nyunt faction may have commenced the talks without a clear roadmap, hoping that merely having talks and perhaps offering a few minor concessions to the NLD would have the desired effect – the dismantling of sanctions.

It is not know how much the rumored power struggles within the SPDC will affect the talks – clearly if one faction becomes more powerful and secure than the other, it may lose motivation to move forward with the talks. In another scenario, the SPDC may abandon talks once its pockets are full from a hasty dismantling of sanctions.

While the NLD is committed so far to playing by the rules set by the regime, the international community must actively support positive outcomes to this process. It can do so by adopting a consistent position that trade and aid will be forthcoming in installments upon achievement of certain benchmarks, so that it is in the interest of the SPDC to ensure positive and significant outcomes to the talks.

The international community should seek that the SPDC deliver significant results before such key dates as the June meeting of the ILO’s International Labor Conference in Geneva and the July Asean Ministerial Meetings in Hanoi.

While the declaration of a democratic government (of any sort) by mid-year may be an over-optimistic expectation, the basic benchmarks should include:

• cessation of hostilities and all forms of forced labor in ethnic nationality areas

• free access for ethnic nationality leaders to engage in informal and confidential talks with leaders of the SPDC and NLD

• the release of political prisoners, including those sentenced under ‘criminal’ charges, and improved conditions for those still jailed

• freedom for the NLD to go about its work as a legally registered political party

• the beginnings of tripartite efforts to deal with the country’s drug, HIV/AIDS and education crises.

The first tentative steps have been taken in Rangoon. It is up to those on the outside to do what they can to ensure that the process continues forward.

Bangkok,
March 20, 2001

 

Note: MORE on the“talks” in Appendixes 1, 2, 3 & 4

 


WOMEN AND HEALTH

___________________________________________________________________

* Improving                    R Stagnant                 * Deteriorating

The issue of women’s rights is a much-contested political terrain. The issue is one that the regime attempts to appropriate in order to gain international acceptability. It is telling to note that the regime’s dialogue with CEDAW (Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination Against Women) and the CRC (Committee on the Rights of the Child) is the only point that gained the regime a positive response from the previous UN Special Rapporteur on Burma Rajsoomer Lallah15. It is crucial to note that women’s organizations are not by ‘nature’ progressive and concerned for the welfare of all women. The major women’s organizations in Burma are controlled by the wives of the regimes’ top generals and who, one could argue, have a vested interest in the political, social and economic status quo. For example, the Vice-president of the MMCWA (Myanmar Maternal Child & Welfare Association) is Dr Khin Win Shwe, the wife of Secretary 1 Lt-Gen Khin Nyunt.

The 2nd “Myanmar” Women’s Conference

A two-day conference held on 26th January, sponsored by the Myanmar National Committee for Women’s Affairs (MNCWA), purportedly attempted to “lay down effective action plans for national women’s development”. Lt.-Gen. Khin Nyunt, on a self-congratulatory note, spoke of Burmese women’s equal status in society, ignoring the zero representation of women at any level of the ruling military apparatus. He stated that, “…women have enjoyed their rights on par with men and have been able to work in the national interest with their morale, valour and capabilities as a result of being given equal roles and rights.”

Despite the self-congratulatory rhetoric of the military, their morally bankrupt rule has been responsible for the continuing decline of women’s status in what was once a fairly egalitarian society. It is their economic and social misrule that has led to growing numbers of women joining the burgeoning class of sex workers. It is also the military’s economic misrule, which has forced women into illegal work in foreign countries, such as Thailand, for slave wages with no rights. State perpetrated human rights abuses have also forced many people, including women, into exile. Military rule has directly lead to the separation of many families in Burma. Violence perpetrated against women can also be directly attributed to military rule. Non-Burman women particularly suffer violence both sexual and physical at the hands of the Burmese military.

Rohingya Women: The Double Burden of Persecution and Displacement

A report by Images Asia revealed a high incident of trafficking of Rohingya women to Pakistan. The report stated, “The refugee camps in Cox’s Bazaar (Bangladesh) are actually ideal recruiting grounds for traffickers. The UNHCR and NGOs providing assistance in the camps confirmed that human trafficking was thriving at the height of the (refugee) influx.” Research conducted by UBINIG, a Bangladeshi NGO, corroborated the high incidence of abduction, rape and sexual assault of young Rohingya girls.

Rohingya women face oppression in their homeland, Burma, and the refugee camps they now inhabit in Cox’s Bazaar. In Burma, they were deprived of citizenship and faced wide-scale human rights abuses. In Bangladesh, they face a life of deprivation as unwanted refugees, with constant threats of repatriation or deportation.

For many Rohingya women, the only option for survival is being trafficked to Pakistan to face an uncertain future and further abuse. During the journey across the subcontinent, they can be caught in the web of ruthless traffickers. At every stage of the trip they are vulnerable to sexual violence and physical abuse, whether at the hands of the trafficker, the police, border guards, or while in detention. Once in Pakistan, some are sold into slavery and prostitution, while many more survive as illegal migrants living in extreme poverty in the Karachi slums. Others still, have spent many years in jail, detained under the Pakistan “Foreigners Act” or under the Zina section of the “Hudood Ordinance”.

Women’s Reproductive Rights Infringed in Thailand

Previously, reports had exposed the forced sterilization by Thai doctors of Karen women in a Mae Sot hospital16. More recent reports, quoting Thai officials and doctors commenting on population growth rates in the refugee camps, exposed the larger ideological forces behind such infringement of women’s reproductive rights. 17 The comments by the officials over the relationship between the conditions and the population growth of the refugee camps is fundamentally flawed in its logic and reflects an attitude of racism rather than concern over public health. In the report, the Thai Interior Ministry is quoted as saying that the average population growth at the camps is 4%, compared to Thailand’s national rate of 1%. In discussing the rising birth rate in the camps, the reports disregard the issue of women’s rights to the integrity of their bodies, and instead focused on the rights of the state to control bodies deemed unworthy of reproduction.

Clearly it is in the interest of the Thai authorities to blame the overcrowded conditions of the camps on the ‘uncontrollable’ reproductive activities of the inhabitants, rather than the camp’s infrastructure or their raison d’etre. Further, the Thai authority’s comments that the use of birth control is contrary to the religious beliefs of the refugees is also misguided. The primary flaw of this over-generalization is its inaccurate assumption of the religious uniformity of the population in the camps. Further, regardless of religious doctrine on contraception, like Thailand or any other cultural grouping, forces greater than those of religious positioning govern social practice.

The fundamental issue to be addressed is not that of eugenics but rather the moral and political issue of the rights of a State to create ghettos of marginalised peoples and to control women’s reproduction according to who they deem as worthy of propagation.

 

HIV/AIDS

___________________________________________________________________

* Improving                    * Stagnant                  R Deteriorating

A Tragedy Unfolding

There is a catastrophe in Burma…It is what happens with an epidemic when you do nothing.
            Dr. Chris Beyrer, Epidemiologist
            Director of international AIDS training
            Johns Hopkins School of Hygiene and Public Health.

Extramarital sex is rare here and for women our cultural value is virginity ... There is no real sex industry but no doubt there is some casual prostitution going on.
            Dr. Mya Oo
            Deputy Health Minister, SPDC

In Burma HIV/AIDS is known among the general population as the “Na Wa Ta” disease, named after the SPDC’s previous incarnation, as SLORC (known in Burmese as Na Wa Ta). There are several reasons for the popular renaming of HIV/AIDS. Firstly, post-1988, SLORC changed their economic policy from the “Burmese way to Socialism” to the Burmese way to capitalism. Their new so-called ‘economic policies’, including the encouragement of the drug trade, wreaked devastation on the economic, environmental, social and cultural fabric of Burma, creating a climate inducive to the spread of HIV/AIDS. Secondly, “Na Wa Ta” makes reference to the promiscuous behavior of General Ne Win, the great helmsman of the junta. Thirdly, “Na Wa Ta” refers to General Ne Win’s eugenics program with his promotion of the ‘Myanmar race policy.’ Soldiers were encouraged to rape women, particularly those from ethnic minorities. With these sexual offenses, soldiers also spread various STDs.

The widespread availability and low cost of heroin, geographical mobility, lack of access to condoms and health-care in general has led to a mushrooming epidemic. Ethnic minorities from Burma living in the Thai-Burma border areas are particularly vulnerable to infections, with their high amphetamine and low condom use. HIV infection rates in Burma now compare to those of Africa. The epidemic initially followed the increase in IDUs (Intravenous Drug Users). However, the virus has since moved from IDUs into the sex industry, which has grown rapidly in tandem with poverty, in the last decade - particularly among teenage girls.

Denial and Ignorance

The HIV/AIDS crisis in Burma has been exacerbated by a combination of internal factors that could be changed if there is the political will to do so. Factors, which have increased the spread of HIV, include:

1. A military regime that denies information to its people about the disease and also destroys all traces of a civil society which could have mounted an organized and informed response to the epidemic;

2. The destruction of the healthcare system through years of underfunding. The system now cannot respond in the most basic way to the health needs of the people;

3. The regime’s perpetuation of a drug based economy that encourages IDUs;

4. The belligerent impoverishment of the general population, which has led to a rapidly growing sex industry and labour mobility.

HIV/AIDS statistics on Burma are contested and highly unreliable. Most likely the figures are underestimates and AIDS-related deaths go undetected and unregistered. It remains difficult to confirm figures as the regime severely restricts foreign experts researching the situation inside Burma and doctors inside Burma are subjected to severe censorship. The military regime claims no more than 25,000 (0.05%) people are infected with HIV. The World Bank places the figure at over 700,000 (1.46%). UNAIDS figures estimate that 530,000 infections occurred in the year 2000. They calculate that 48,000 people died of AIDS last year, and most of them would have had little care or treatment. However, Frank Smithuis of Medecins Sans Frontieres, who has spent six years working on HIV-AIDS prevention in Myanmar, said he believes the real number of sufferers could be anywhere between 200,000 and 1,000,000. There is no way to verify these figures. Burma has the highest population prevalence of HIV in Asia (after Cambodia), with as many as 1 — 1.2 million cumulative infections.

The Reality

The reality is that 1/5th of Asia’s infections occurred in 1999 alone and more than half of those occurred among young people under the age of 25. Burma has one of the highest heroin addiction rates in the world. 4% of men and 2% of women are heroin abusers, compared to the global addiction rate of 0.22%18. SLORC’s own report suggested that the use of heroin jumped dramatically post 1988, (the year the democracy movement was crushed), when a flood of cheap heroin hit the market. 600,000 Burmese have been infected with HIV/AIDS through heroin alone.

                                

REGIONS/COUNTRY

% HEROIN ABUSERS

Global population

0.22%

Asia

0.24%

Burma

4% men; 2% women

 

                                        

INFECTION RATES IN RISK GROUPS

HIV +  RATE

Sex Workers

47%

Intravenous Drug Users

57-90%

Soldiers

8%

Officer class

15-20%

Prisoners

Unknown

Buddhist monks

Unknown

Seasonal Laborers        

(Gem mines)

Unknown

Migrant workers in foreign countries

Unknown

The virus is spreading in jails, where prisoners can obtain food (often, a single egg) for a blood donation and where transfusion equipment is often reused without cleaning. Further, the disease is also spreading in monasteries around Mandalay, according to a doctor who lives there.

Many infected young men, shunned by their families, move into monasteries to die. The doctor said he has treated a number of monks with AIDS, several elderly. Before they died, some of the monks told him that they contracted the disease by shaving their heads with razors shared inside the monastery.

Geographical Mobility

Burma’s narcotics-based economy and the international trafficking of women and girls have become a regional threat to HIV/AIDS control. The highest HIV rates in India, China, and Thailand are all to be found along their respective borders with Burma - Yunnan province in China, Manipur State in India and northern Thailand.

The trafficking in women for the sex industry across the Asian region has made HIV control a politically sensitive and complex issue. Women and girls are trafficked from Burma to Thailand, China, Cambodia, India, Russia, USA, and the EU. Migrant laborers, internally displaced persons, refugees, and workers in industries requiring mobility - including fisheries, shipping, trucking and trade - are a growing group of persons at risk. Crucial populations at risk include the 1.0 - 1.2 million Burmese in Thailand; Burmese refugees and migrants in China, India, Bangladesh and Malaysia. Policies for workers and migrants with HIV are contradictory, punitive and are often barriers to providing preventive services and care.

HIV Prevention

A Burmese practice of sharing needles in tea stalls has also contributed to the spread of HIV. Further “Paraphernalia” laws in Burma makes carrying needles without a medical license a crime. The combination of such draconian laws and the poverty of the masses in Burma make preventative measures such as the encouragement of safe injecting practices difficult to implement.

The ignorant and belligerent response of the Generals in Burma has added to the crisis over HIV. Until 1993 condoms were banned by the Generals and continue to be prohibitively expensive for most people. For those found to be HIV positive the response of the generals have been persecutory. Commissioned officers graduating from Maymyo’s Defense Service Academy (Burma’s West point), and Officers Training Schools (OTS) from Ba Htoo, Kalaw, Mingladon and other training institutes have been undergoing blood-tests, and those found with HIV or AIDS were discharged from the army without compensation or benefits for their past services. This is in contrast to HIV-free officers guilty of offenses such murder and rape, who still have career options to serve in other capacities such as USDA (Union Solidarity and Development Association) functionaries or as heads of fire brigades.

The regime allows no school classes on HIV/AIDS and prohibits condom education. People in the refugee camps along Burma’s borders have better education, more knowledge and were less at risk of infection. Illegal workers from Burma were much more at risk of spreading the virus and subsequent diseases. In a recent Johns Hopkins study among Burmese workers in Thailand19 men consistently scored higher then women in the knowledge tests. Further, the study showed:

•      85% of married women had never seen a condom;

•      13% of men had never used a condom, not even once

•      50% believed the contraceptive pill would protect against HIV

•      82% could not identify the major risk factors for contracting HIV

•      73% did not know a blood test would identify their HIV status

Declining Health and Education Standards

Due to a combination of ravaging infectious diseases, an atrocious health-care system, and the military regime’s refusal to deal with the HIV crisis, public- health officials fear that average life expectancy could fall as low as 45 years of age in the next two decades.

BUDGET CATEGORY

TOTAL BUDGET

PER PERSON

HIV prevention

$50,000 (1998)

1/10 of 1 cent

 

 

(.001) per person


Free HIV testing is rare, and most people cannot afford the US$10 test to determine if they are HIV-positive. Virtually no HIV drugs exist in the country. HIV positive patients usually die within 3 months of diagnosis. There is an acute shortage of antibiotics for Tuberculosis, the biggest killer of HIV positive people in
Burma. Tuberculosis, the number-two killer in the general population, after Malaria, is expected to explode as advanced AIDS sufferers fall prey to opportunistic infections, which will overwhelm the rudimentary health care system. Access to family-planning services is extremely low, with only 18% of women receiving basic services. Sexually Transmitted Disease (STD) cases are on the rise. Poverty and lack of education is a factor that encourages the spread of HIV, it also makes certain the fast death by AIDS of those suffering from HIV.


DRUGS

___________________________________________________________________

* Improving                    * Stagnant                  R Deteriorating

Drug Production

The United Nations Drug Control Program (UNDCP) released its latest report showing that Afghanistan and Burma “accounted for about 90% of global illicit production of opium in the last few years and nearly 95% in 1999.” 20 Burma, the second largest producer, supplied 20% of world output in 1999 and 80% of South East Asia’s opium production. Since 1996, opium production has declined to levels that are about half of the production in the early 1990s. However, opium production had doubled after SLORC took power in 1988.21 There has also been a massive substitution into methamphetamine production away from opium production in the last few years. Official data suggests a decline in production in the last two years due to low yields resulting from cold weather and heavy rains but the number of hectares under cultivation has increased.22 Most opium production occurs in Shan State, particularly in areas under the control of former insurgent groups. Informal sources suggest that opium production in the last 20 years has spread from a few towns in Shan State across the state, into the neighbouring Karenni State.23

The recent increase in hectares under cultivation is behind the prediction by narcotics intelligence officers based in Thailand, that opium production will dramatically increase relative to the previous three years production. The movement of tens of thousands of poppy farmers by the UWSA closer to the Thai border, where weather conditions are more suitable, is one of the reasons behind more areas being brought under cultivation.24

One of the principal trafficking routes for opium, identified by the report was from Burma via China (including Hong Kong and Taiwan) to North America, complementing and partly replacing the traditional route via Thailand and Hong Kong. China is now in the top five countries for total seizures in both opiates and stimulants.25

“Traditionally, the main outlet of heroin was the so called Golden Triangle. Thailand accounted for almost 60% of all seizures of opiates in South-East Asia in the late 1980s; by 1997/98 this proportion had fallen to just 5%. In parallel, seizures in the People’s Republic of China rose from 4% in 1987/88 to 77% in 1997/98, equivalent to 12% of global seizures.”26

The seizure of a large quantity of heroin and methampetamines between China and Hong Kong en route to Australia suggests that the UWSA has formed a business partnership with major Chinese drug trafficking triads.27 Prior to these connections the distribution network of the UWSA was limited compared with Shan drug traffickers such as Khun Sa and Lo Hsing-Han.28

“Trafficking in amphetamine type stimulants (ATS) grew more strongly than any other drug category over the last decade.” 29 41.9% of total seizures of ATS in 1997/98 occurred in East and South East Asia.30 In Asia the absolute amount of seizures in the last 10 years went from less than 1 tonne to more than 5 tonnes. In SouthEast Asia in 1997/98, Thailand reported the largest amounts seized (19% of global seizures) followed by China (11%).31 However, despite Burma’s reputation as the major producer of ATS in the region, it accounted for only 1% of total seizures.32 Targeting of drug production and trafficking in Burma concentrates on individuals, with the SPDC ignoring the most powerful drug trafficking groups, most of whom have cease-fire agreements with the regime. This supports the argument forwarded by many critics of the regime that it is not serious about drug eradication. The shift in drug trafficking routes through China also provides a plausible explanation for the accusations that China is behind the transmigration program of the Wa. The priority of the SPDC is not the eradication of drug production but the surrender of ethnic and insurgent groups opposed to their rule.

Transmigration of the Wa Continues

The SDPC and the UNDP in Rangoon describe the relocation of tens of thousands of mostly Wa poppy farmers to the Thai border, as a drug eradication effort. There are reports that there are plans to relocate 50,000 households from the Wa region in the north to the Thai-Burma border in Shan State. At the end of December SHAN estimated that between 15,000 and 25,000 households have been relocated.33 About 600 Wa families were also reported to be moving from Panghsang to Tachilek and continuing to Monghsat.34 Another Wa village with about 50 families has been established on the Thai border opposite Chiangmai.35

Wa soldiers continued to arrive in areas opposite Changmai and Maehongson during November and December. SHAN reported that their mission was to guard the border Border-Pass 1 (opposite Chiangmai Province) to Mae Aw (opposite Maehongson Province).36 The UWSA is also moving soldiers into Ho Mong town, a former stronghold of the Mong Tai Army and presently controlled by Wa National Army, who are reputedly not involved in the drug trade. About 800 UWSA soldiers have been moved into the area reportedly as part of SPDC plans to increase their control over minority groups, that though having cease-fire agreements continue to oppose SPDC.37

It is not only the Wa involved in the transmigration program. Eight hundred Kokang families, neighbours of the Wa are also moving settlers from northern Shan State near the China border to the South.38 The Kokang area is now supposed to be a drug free zone.39 The Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA – Kokang Chinese) is another major drug trafficking group that has a cease-fire agreement with the SPDC. There were other reports of Chinese hill tribes coming alongside the Wa. Many of the groups in Burma are ‘sensitive’ to Chinese migrants and this may further ethnic tensions that are inevitably exacerbated by the relocation process. Another armed ethnic cease-fire group in Shan State, the Pa-O National Army (PNO) are also on the move. The PNO have a base near Taunggyi but are moving east having established ‘offices’ in a number of towns in the area. The new bases are being used to exhort ‘taxes’, “including a third of the harvest of rice from each field.”40

The resettlement of poppy growers to non-poppy growing areas is part of the 1988 plan of SCOPE (Strategy for Coca and Poppy Elimination) that aims to eradicate drug linked crops by 2008. The SPDC has agreed to participate in the UNDCP program where producer countries commit themselves to the total elimination of production by 2008. The program also calls for ‘significant and measurable results’ in drug consumption by the same year. The Wa have also pledged that areas under their control will be opium free by 2005.41 However, this massive transmigration program will only encourage the growth of criminal groups and armies, enhanced corruption of state institutions and the encouragement of conflict between ethnic communities. These problems will long survive any military regime and pose long term problems for human rights and the rule of law.

UWSA and SSA (South)

The SSA (South) has been marketing itself since 1998 as an anti-drugs crusader after years of extensive involvement in the drug trade, with their crusade focused on the destruction of UWSA amphetamine factories. The income sources of the SSA (South) are not public knowledge but it is a common practice for ‘insurgent groups’ or local warlords to finance their operations through an opium tax. The U.S. State Department believes that Yawd Serk the leader of the SSA (South) is involved in the heroin and/or amphetamine trade.42 However, there is at least one example of an insurgent drug trafficker who became an effective anti-drugs crusader.43 Recently Yawd Serk stated that if international assistance is not received then they would probably join hands with the SPDC. In an interview with DVB, SSA (South) spokesman U Sai Tun said, “at this juncture we would be quite satisfied if we receive a little appreciation. We do not want any assistance in the form of weapons and other equipment. But instead of being appreciated we are being loathed which is not what we want. We are doing it for the good of everybody. To engage in anti-drug activities is an act despised by the people of the border region overwhelmed by various drug groups. When we first settled at the border and engaged in drugs it was the same thing.”44 There have been a number of reports linking some elements of the UWSA with the SSA but the origin and veracity of these reports is unclear.45

Not withstanding the differing conjectures regarding the SSA (South), the UWSA has consolidated its hold on a number of areas in the border region. The SSA (South) had controlled the area inside Burma opposite Chiangmai and Maehongson provinces but their territory is now being encroached on by the UWSA, where many new drug factories are being built. In late October 1,500 well armed UWSA soldiers were resettled closer to the Thai border near Chiang Rai and Chiang Mai down to Mae Hong Son.46 According to Thai officials, drug warlord Wei Hseuh-kang with SPDC backing sent 5 UWSA battalions from Mong Yon to the South on 29 November with the aim of seizing the area under the control of SSA (South) led by Yawd Serk. The soldiers are now in areas opposite Chiang Rai’s Mae Fah Luang District, Chiang Mai’s Wiang Haeng District and Pai and Pang Ma Pa districts in Mae Hong Son.

The transmigration program has not only caused problems for the SSA (South). The relocations are causing local villagers, mostly Shan, to be dispossessed of their homes and land. “Some had only gone from their homes or gardens to attend to some business and when they got back, these homes and gardens were no longer theirs.” “Apart from that they take everything they want pigs, chickens, ducks and so on, saying, ‘Gen. Khin Nyunt has given us this country. If you want it back, go and ask him’.”47 There was also a threat by the UWSA to attack the Shan ethnic community in Thailand in retaliation for attacks on drug production inside Burma. A letter was sent to a Shan commander by Wa commander Wei Hseuh-kang after an attack on a methamphetamine storage area.48

Another defining factor in the relationship between the groups is ethnic conflict. The Wa, though having signed a cease-fire agreement with the SPDC are allies only as long there is mutual self-interest. There have been reports of comments by SPDC military personnel that the SPDC is interested in weakening the UWSA by spreading their strength over a wider area.49 The veracity of the report can not be ascertained but it at least reflects a lack of trust between groups that will be reflected in future conflicts. Any plan by the SPDC to weaken the Wa through transmigration is unlikely to succeed as the UWSA is actively recruiting from those newly relocated and from the locals.50

At the end of January a report appeared that the UWSA and the SSA (South) were negotiating a “a deal acceptable to both sides.”51 Any deal between the armed groups may have little bearing on the well-being or otherwise of ‘ordinary’ members of their ethnic groups. The nature and extent of future conflict between the UWSA and the SSA (South) can not be predicted at this stage with a number of reports that the UWSA and the SSA (South) will try to avoid conflict.52 At present the alliances between the groups may shift depending upon the distribution of resources between the groups and historical animosity.

There is not only animosity between the different armed groups but discrimination within these groups. There are many deserters and problems with drug addiction within the UWSA.53 Not all members of the UWSA are Wa and include Lahu, Shan and Chinese. There exists many problems with discrimination within the ranks, most of the rank and file enduring rugged and spartan lifestyles, compared to their officers. Those of Chinese origin are often promoted over other ethnic groups.54

There are other armed groups in Shan State heavily involved in the drug trade. The Kachin Democratic Army (KDA) are another cease-fire group heavily involved in drug trafficking who also operate in Shan State. They announced the area under their control would be drug free by 2001 but are still levying opium taxes on farmers growing poppies in Northern Shan State.55 The KDA told the villagers that non-payment of the tax would ensure the loss of their livelihood.56

SPDC and Drugs

According to the U.S. State Department, “there is no evidence that the government, on an institutional level, is involved in the drug trade. There are persistent and reliable reports, however, that officials,…, are either directly involved in drug production and/or trafficking or are paid to allow others to engage unhindered in drug activities. Army personnel wield considerable political clout locally, and their involvement in trafficking is a significant problem.”57 What constitutes “ non-involvement in the drugs trade at an institutional level” for the State Department is not clear. The SPDC and all state authorities are at best ignoring the trade. Major drug traffickers are public figures with extensive business interests, the banking system and much foreign investment seemingly operating to launder drug money. The SPDC has cease-fire agreements with major drug-trafficking groups and enacts policies that actively encourages the drug trade. At best the SPDC has lost control of some sections of the Tatmadaw involved in the drugs trade and is more interested in defeating armed opposition groups than dealing effectively with the drugs trade.

There are more reports of involvement in the drug trade, by individual representatives of the regime, including high-ranking officials. An SPDC army officer, 4 members of the UWSA along with 100,000 amphetamine pills was captured by the SSA (South) in a village just inside Burma, where the UWSA stores amphetamines before moving them into Thailand.58 Another report stated that a LIB Commander in Southern Shan State called a meeting of local village headmen to inform them that they were allowed to grow poppies and those who did not have the necessary capital would be provided with a loan of K5,000/acre. Farmers would have to sell their opium to authorised buyers at the prevailing ‘market’ price.59

According to a report on DVB Khin Nyunt has allowed the growing of opium in Pekon Township in Karenni State. It is impossible to establish the veracity of this report but it indicates that many Burmese believe that there are close links between the drug trade and the SPDC. Apparently poppy cultivation will be allowed for the next 3 years with the area to be declared drug free at the end of the period. The report stated that in the area poppy was now being double cropped and had replaced maize and paddy fields. The encouragement of drug production as a device for the control of drug production is a rather curious policy.60

The UWSA criminal network continues to diversify into a ‘legitimate’ business, SPDC style. Recently it made a donation to the newly established SEAMEO Regional Centre for History and Tradition a ‘historical research institute.’61 The donations were made by the Mongmao Special Region (K5m=US$12,500) and Kanbawza Bank (K1m=US$2,500). The Mongmao Special Region is the administrative unit of the UWSA and the Kanbawza Bank is owned by the UWSA with the chairman of the bank U Aung Ko Win wanted by the United States for drug trafficking.62 Donations to any such organisations are undertaken to buy favours, influence and for the maintenance of friendly relations with the SPDC rather than philanthropy. The diversification and infiltration of drug networks into other institutional structures in Burma ensures the further criminalisation of state institutions and will make future attempts to control criminal networks very difficult.

Drug Eradication Measures

Leading members of the SPDC, Sen. Gen. Than Shwe, Gen. Maung Aye and Lt. Gen. Khin Nyunt, in a meeting with Thai military leaders said it has a 5 and 10 year drug suppression plan. The plans concentrate on poppy cultivation, encouraging hilltribe people to grow substitute crops with assistance from other countries but as Thailand’s Supreme Commander General Sampao Chusri noted, the plans do not include the suppression of methamphetamine production. Than Shwe has apparently commented that it was difficult to get rid of methamphetamine factories along the border.63

The drug control programs are UNDCP initiated - an organisation that is seemingly intent on working with a regime that has at best shown little serious commitment to working on drug problems. A drug enforcement conference sponsored by the UNDCP was held in Rangoon with no discernible results with a number of countries including the US not bothering to attend. The SPDC concentrated on criticising the US for not attending with Colonel Tin Hlaing commenting that some countries “which have decided to boycott the meeting for various reasons, do not harbor sincere intentions for cooperation.”64

The United States was not the only target; SPDC newspapers accused Thai newspapers, the Bangkok Post and the Nation, of hampering their drug control efforts by “irresponsibly and one-sidedly putting the blame on Myanmar.” Displaying their usual disregard for freedom of speech by stating, “It is high time for Thai authorities to take action against those who wrote wrong stories in Thai papers, and find the right ways to address the problem.” 65

There is an important need for all the sources of criminal profits to be attacked including the need for money laundering legislation. However, the recent attempts by the SPDC to draft money-laundering legislation should be viewed with skepticism. The Burmese legal code was brought into conformity with the 1988 UN Drug Convention, dealing with money laundering, seizure of drug related assets and drug conspiracy cases, but the law has not been implemented. The Deputy Home Minister Brigadier-General Thura Myint Maung, displaying typical SPDC ministerial competence, said that Myanmar had not faced such crimes at present. “The law needs to be extensive in case they break out in the country in future.”66 Despite denials that money laundering is not a problem in Burma, in France a former close aid of President Jacques Chirac is under investigation for laundering Burmese drug money. The close aide is being investigated for money laundering involving the partial construction of a hotel for the Sofitel chain in central Rangoon.67

Even though US officials were in non-attendance at the UNDCP sponsored conference, this should not be read as a lack of concern. Admiral Dennis Blair Chief of the US Pacific Command visited Thailand in late September. He visited the Chiang Mai district, which is opposite the areas recently occupied by the UWSA, fuelling speculations about Thai/US collaborations on the drug problem. During the visit Admiral Blair promised to provide Thailand with military equipment to help suppress the drug trade.68 The US is supplying, training and equipment to a new task force, to counter the increased flow of methampetamines and heroin. The task force will involve the border police, the Office of the Narcotics Control Board and the Thai government and is expected to be operational in August 2001. The US Drug Enforcement Agency has been active in Thailand for the last 4 years but its (announced) mandate only involves cooperation with local police forces.69 The Chinese State Councilor Luo Gan, also visited the Chiang Mai District, two months later but was more circumspect stating that, “the drug problem is shared by all affected countries and can be solved primarily through negotiation.”70 The Chinese official declined to comment on the resettlement of the Wa from Northern Burma bordering China to the South near the Thai border. 71

There have been a number of arrests of Khun Sa’s drug trafficking associates in Thailand. The arrests are supposedly the result of a joint Thai-USA operation that began in 1994 to target the upper echelons of Khun Sa’s Shan United Army. Thai police arrested Yan Wan-Hsuan, also known as Lao Tai in Chiang Rai. He was the accountant for the Shan United Army, once the world’s largest narcotics trafficking ring.72 In court the Yan Wan-Hsuan said that SPDC police accompanied by his close associates arrested him in Tachilek and then handed him over to Thai police.73 Another report suggested that the arrest had been arranged so that the US$ 2m reward posted for his capture could be divided between those who arrested him and the accused.74 Several days later, a mistress of Khun Sa’s was arrested in Bangkok as part of an undercover operation by US and Thai anti-drug forces that were posing as American drug distributors. More than a dozen members of the SUA have already been arrested and extradited to the US to stand trial.


ECONOMIC SITUATION

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* Improving                    * Stagnant                  R Deteriorating

SPDC Growth Fantasies

Another SPDC official, this time Brig. General David Abel, a Minister from the Office of the Chairman of the SPDC, displayed a vivid imagination by claiming that per capita income had grown by 2,700% since the SLORC took power in 1989. “There is no poverty, no starvation.” He also stated that there was no unemployment and near universal provision of health care and education.75 Abel said the GDP growth in the fiscal year to March 2000 (sic) was 10.9% and forecast that growth would at least be equal in the present fiscal year. He also said that inflation was only 7% when more independent sources estimated inflation at around 40-45% last year. More recent acts of economic mismanagement would have further fuelled the inflation rate.76 Abel also stated that there was enough foreign exchange to cover six months of imports, whereas other reports suggest that the regime usually has no more than enough to cover 2 months of imports.77

Another deluded SPDC official, Soe Tha, the Planning and Development Minister, also claimed that Burma’s growth was 10.9% in the previous year adding that it was higher than its ASEAN neighbours. “So Myanmar’s economy has been in positive trends, and we need not care what any other countries are saying.”78

Foreign Investment Collapse

The IMF released its economic statistics for Burma, highlighting again the desperate state of the economy. Of particular note is the collapse of foreign direct investment since the Asian economic crisis.79 Even before the crisis, Burma was only attracting a small amount of foreign direct investment.

To interpret the data, the difference between actual and approved FDI must be noted. Approved FDI is the amount of investment approved by the Myanmar Investment Commission, which is different from the amount of investment that actually goes ahead. During the period from 1995/96 to 1999/00 only 60% of investment approved actually took place.80

Approved and Actual Foreign Direct Investment Flows,
1995/96-1999/0081 (millions of U.S. dollars)

                        Approved                   Actual

1995/96                   668.2                   317.6

1996/97                2,814.2                   580.7          

1997/98                1,012.9                   878.8

1998/99                     54.4                   683.6

1999/00                     58.1                   304.2

 

Another issue that needs to be noted is the time lapse from the time the investment is approved to the time the investment actually occurs. This means that most of the investment that actually takes place in a given year was approved up to several years earlier. The Asian economic crisis that begins in late 1997 and early 1998 brought about the near collapse of approved FDI in Burma in 1998/99. Given the collapse in approved investment in the last two years, we can expect that in the next couple of years actual investment will continue to decline.

Total Approved and Actual Foreign Direct Investment by Industry
(1995/96-1999/00/ USD millions)

 

Total Approved

Total Actual

Oil and Gas

887.7

1,531.582

Hotels & Tourism

485.9

495.3

Manufacturing

1,325.4

262.9

 

Another important characteristic of FDI in Burma is the concentration of investment in the oil and gas sector the Yetagun and Yadana gas pipelines. The completion of the gas pipelines unless new projects come on line, is behind the complete collapse of investment in the sector. In the last two financial years only 5.2m of new FDI has been approved. So even with a general turnaround in foreign investment, the completion of such a relatively large project as the gas pipeline means the overall outlook for investment in Burma is rather grim. The only sector that shows any sign of attracting ‘significant’ investment is hotels and tourism but the figures for this sector are still small in comparison with previous investment in the oil and gas sector. FDI in this sector collapsed after the Asian economic crisis but showed signs of recovery in the last year, though still very small in comparison with figures prior to the collapse.83 Total approvals in manufacturing though relatively significant have largely failed to result in actual investment in Burma. This may reflect a desire to invest in the sector, especially given cheap wages, but this is coupled with large uncertainties regarding the business environment, particularly with sanctions in the US and consumer boycotts in other Western countries.

The most important investors in Burma have been the United Kingdom, Singapore, France and the United States. The United States, even though the Clinton administration imposed sanctions in 1997 is still in total a relatively important investor.

Approved and Actual Foreign Direct Investment by Country,
1995/96-1999/00 (millions of U.S. dollars)

 

Total Approved

Total Actual

France

5.4

484.4

Japan

132.4

87.2

Malaysia

517.6

148.9

Singapore

1,188.2

603.6

Thailand

853.6

174.6

United Kingdom

739.5

977.6

United States

361.1

234.2

 

The majority of the FDI from France, the United Kingdom and the United States are in the oil and gas sector. Total a French oil company, Premier from the United Kingdom and UNOCAL from the US are all major shareholders in either of the two different pipeline projects.84 The completion of the pipeline projects suggests that FDI from these sources will be significantly smaller in the next few years. Only USD 5.4m of FDI from France has been approved in the last five years. New approved investment from the United Kingdom in the last three years is also low at USD67M. Investment from the United States is now almost non-existent with the sanctions on new investment applied by the Clinton administration in 1997.85

Unlike Western countries, investments from Asian countries are not dependent on one or two large projects. FDI from Japan did not decline significantly with the Asian economic crisis but Japan is only a small source of FDI with approved FDI declining steadily since 1997/98. Singapore is a significant source of FDI but in the last two financial years approved FDI was only USD18.9, compared with USD 1,169.3 in the previous three financial years. Investment from both Malaysia and Thailand declined significantly with the Asian economic crisis with no new approvals of Malaysian investment occurring in the last two financial years.86 This is obviously one of the reasons behind the visit by Mahathir to Burma in January. He was quite open about the SPDC’s desire to attract investment from Malaysia. However, Mahathir has to convince businessmen in his country that Burma offers profitable business opportunities, something they have obviously not believed for the last couple of years. SPDC’s growing relationships with China and India has not led to large scale FDI in Burma. The relationship is sustained by close military and strategic links. There significant trade in the border areas.

Prices of Basic Items will Increase Again

The subterfuge by the SPDC did not halt the continuing depreciation of the Kyat against the US$ reaching a new low of more than 400K.87 The Kyat has continued to depreciate after a five-fold increase in the pay of civil servants that did nothing but fuel inflation.88 A shortage of foreign exchange may be one of the motivations behind the SDPC’s on/off policy of bans and quotas on imports.89 In late September another import quota was imposed. The quota limits importers to K1m (US$ 2,500) worth of goods per month, which will increase prices of basic items.90 This was coupled with the imposition of a ban on all exports and imports at the checkpoint at Mae Sot on 24 November.91 The ban is a common practice imposed without notice.92 These policies coupled with higher inflation, a depreciating currency, inept agricultural polices and a marauding army will only make it more difficult for ordinary people to put food on the table. These knee-jerk excuses for policy are just another display by the SPDC of its inability to manage the economy.

Japan

Japan may be using ‘dialogue’ as an excuse to recommence loans and aid to the SPDC with reports that Japan is to go ahead with technical assistance.93 A joint panel of Japanese and SPDC officials and private sector representatives met in Tokyo to apparently discuss the resolution of “structural problems.” The panel included officials from Japan’s foreign, finance and international trade ministries with the SPDC team lead by Brig. General David Abel. (This is the SPDC official who two months earlier was publicly lauding the state of Burma’s economy). The panel met for the first time in June 2000. True to SPDC administrative practices the panel decided to establish a working group with the aim to make policy suggestions for structural adjustment in the next two years.94 Even though the economy is in a state of crisis the SPDC obviously is not in a hurry to resolve any of the problems.

Japan’s keenness to deliver loans and aid without any real SPDC commitment to improve even their economic management let alone their record on human rights abuses, may weaken international pressure for reform.95 A Japanese official commented that “Japan’s technical assistance for Burma’s economic reforms does not run counter to the ILO decision, because the ILO sanctions call on its member governments to stop any economic aid that may encourage the use of forced labour in Burma.”96



EDUCATION

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* Improving                    R Stagnant                 * Deteriorating

 “You can’t build a solid, substantial house with decayed planks, no matter what kind of a veneer is put over their rottenness.” (Benjamin Franklin)

New Education Plan from SPDC

Recently the education system has been the focus of SPDC controlled media, with the authorities trying to convince the public that it has developed new improved education policies. However, the initiatives of the SPDC authorities seem to involve only changes in the education ministries ‘mission statement’ entitled the “Special Four-Year Plan for the Promotion of Education.” The SPDC spends only 1.2% of GDP on education, one of only 11 countries in the world to spend less than 2 per cent.97 “Although nominally available to all, public education is costly in terms of school fees, books and classroom facilities. Parents are often required to build or maintain school buildings. Moreover, widespread reports allege that bribery is frequently required to be paid to school authorities. Fees for the annual attendance of ordinary schools are said to range from three to five months’ salary. Universities and the better schools are only available to the wealthy ruling elite…Most children from poor families drop out of school before completing the compulsory five-year cycle.”98 The most recent WHO report argued that the quality of governance is important, alongside the amount of resources allocated to a sector. Burma’s health system was ranked as the second least efficient out of 191 countries. The education system appears be similarly inefficient; anecdotal evidence suggests that its problems are similar to those experienced in the health sector.

Despite the crisis the new policy of the regime seems to centre on irrelevance and insular nationalism. According to the New Light of Myanmar the new objectives of the education system are “to promote the efficiency of basic education schools with the aim of nurturing and turning out stalwart sons and daughters of the nation who acquire well-rounded education, to generate teaching and learning opportunities with the use of modern information technologies, to further promote the quality of teachers, to seek ways and means to enable every citizen to acquire basic education, and to bring about education of international standard by facing challenges of Knowledge Age and Learning Society.” Khin Nyunt acting out the role of ‘social reformer’ said that extensive planning and expertise was involved in the development of the new education plan, with seminars held for over a week. During the seminar, decisions were made to change traditional teaching methods, the examination system and the inclusion in the curriculum “such diverse subjects as national spirit, love of culture, civic duty etc.”99

According to the state controlled newspapers, an integral component of the new plan is the establishment of multimedia teaching centres at primary and high schools along with the establishment of IT Learning Centres, Electronic Resource Centres and Computer Training centres at universities and colleges.100 Even if these centres are opened, which is highly unlikely due to a highly inefficient bureaucratic apparatus, it would represent a severe misallocation of resources. Many people in Burma can not even afford to send or keep their children at school. It is ridiculous to be discussing a policy that aims to “establish electronic learning centres across the country” when most areas are without electricity.

Curriculum changes must be viewed as the panacea by the regime, as the new SEAMEO Regional Centre for History and Tradition also has plans for more curriculum changes.101 One of the objectives of the centre is “to develop educational curricula, programmes and personnel for making history and tradition relevant to meeting the challenges of the contemporary situation…It is believed that to commence on a sound footing, a review of The State of Southeast Asian Historical Studies in secondary education will help to elucidate the current situation.”102 The centre is another example of a misallocation of resources. Given the extensive problems within the education system these ‘initiatives’ will have little impact on an education system in crisis. These new ‘policy initiatives’ only serve to again illustrate the inability of the SPDC to govern.

Revolving Door of Closures

Poor policy is coupled with violations of basic human rights with reports of closures of some recently ‘re-opened’ universities and colleges. In October, Dagon University and teacher’s college was again closed when the authorities found anti-SPDC posters on campus walls. The same report said that a lecturer at the Rangoon Cultural University had been dismissed for talking about politics in his classroom.103 The regime responded to the report by stating that, “certain universities and institutes are having semester examinations... During the course of these examinations certain universities and institutes where the examinations are taking place are given a private study period.”104 Usually, universities, colleges and schools are closed for the October “Thadingyut” holidays but some of the universities and colleges in Dagon were closed prior to the holiday period.105

Despite the extremely under funded and oppressive civilian education system, the military education system continues to expand. The country’s most prestigious Myanmar Defence Services Academy in Maymyu tripled its intake of officers cadets in 2000. The closure of the civilian universities has created a shortage of skills even within the military. The regime has responded by expanding the military colleges and universities in the last three years rather than reopening the civilian universities earlier.106



HUMAN RIGHTS SITUATION

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* Improving                    R Stagnant                 * Deteriorating

 “The suppression of all opposition political activity, inhuman treatment towards members of the opposition and ethnic minorities, and the absence of respect and protection for the liberty, health, education and human development of its population remain matters of grave concern, and urgent and meaningful measures to halt and reverse the downward spiral of this situation are called for.” 107

The ILO Resolution

After more than 30 years of complaints to the ILO about the practice of forced labour in Burma, this long period of grace may be coming to an end. The SPDC who were granted another extension until 30 November to implement the ILO’s recommendations to end forced labor, failed.

Even the threat of sanctions did not halt the widespread and systematic use of forced labour by the SPDC. The Federation of Trade Unions of Burma (FTUB) released another report alleging the use of forced labour, to build roads, barracks and to work on army-owned farms. The report alleges that the use of forced labour was still widespread and presented evidence of abuses in the Shan, Mon, Karen, Chin and Arakan States, and in the Bago, Mandalay, Irrawaddy and Tenasserim Divisions.108 There were also reports from Shan State that forced labour continues as routine despite the threats from the ILO. “Nothing has changed as far as the Shan State is concerned, when it comes to forced labor... Those who are imposing forced labor on the people have always been the army and its units and the civilian authorities are helpless against them.”109

Another ILO Mission went to Burma in October to examine the steps taken by the SPDC to implement the findings of the 1998 Commission of Inquiry. After the return of the Mission, Deputy Foreign Minister Khin Maung Win announced that the SPDC had issued a government ordinance on 1 November banning forced labour in compliance with the ILO. However, the claim of action was insufficient for the mission with its report concluding that Burma has made some progress towards changing its laws to end the use of forced labour but it is unclear what the SPDC are doing to ensure the practice is stopped. Consequently, the governing body of the ILO at its 279th session was not satisfied that the SPDC had taken sufficient measures to end the practice.

The following are the recommendations of the Commission of Inquiry that the SPDC failed to implement to the satisfaction of the ILO Governing Body:

• That legislation, in particular the Village and Towns Acts, be brought into line with the terms of the Forced Labour Convention, 1930 (No.29) which Myanmar has ratified;

• That no more forced or compulsory labour be imposed by the authorities, particularly by the military;

• That penalties imposed for the exaction of forced labour be strictly enforced, with thorough investigation, prosecution and punishment of those found guilty.110

The failure by the SPDC to effectively end the practice opened the way for the full implementation of a resolution of the ILO Conference adopted in June 2000. The unprecedented resolution is under the never before invoked article 33 of the ILO Constitution that allows for a series of measures that took effect on 30 November. Some of the measures in question include:

• Recommending to the Organization’s constituents that they review their relations with Burma and take appropriate measures to ensure that such relations do not perpetuate or extend the system of forced or compulsory labour in that country;

• Inviting the Director-General of the ILO to inform international organizations working with the ILO to reconsider any cooperation they may be engaged in with Burma and, if appropriate, to cease as soon as possible any activity that could have the effect of directly or indirectly abetting the practice of forced or compulsory labor;

• Inviting the Director-General to request the United Nations’ Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC) to place on the agenda of its July 2001 session an item concerning the failure of Burma to implement the recommendations of the Commission of Inquiry and seeking the adoption of recommendations directed by ECOSOC or by the General Assembly, or by both, to governments and other specialized agencies to ensure that by their involvement they are not directly abetting the practice of forced labor;

• Requesting the Director-General to submit to the Governing Body a periodic report on the outcome of measures directed by international organizations and the United Nations and to inform those entities of any developments in the implementation by Burma of the recommendations of the Commission of Inquiry. 111

This means that individual governments and organisations can implement the ILO sanctions at their own discretion. The SPDC will have another opportunity to take sufficient steps to end the practice, as the Director-General of the ILO will report to the 280th Governing Body meeting next March on any new measures taken by the SPDC to end the practice.

The SPDC responded with its predictable line to the decision of the ILO Governing Body stating that it would no longer co-operate with the ILO. “The ILO decision to activate measures against Myanmar proves that the ILO and the governing body in particular have already made up their minds and don’t want to be confused with any facts. They have turned a blind eye on the efforts, positive developments, sincere cooperation and the political will the Myanmar government has taken to be in accordance with the ILO convention (on) forced labor.” The spokesman said the “decision sets a most dangerous precedence in which big powers can use the pretext of labor rights and unfounded allegations to exert pressure and interfere in the internal affairs of developing nations.’’112

Bangladesh

 

Laos

 

China

 

India

 
Landmine Monitor Report 2000113

Thailand

 

Thailand

 
Landmine Monitor in its latest report cited Burma as one of the world’s landmine blackspots with more than 1,500 new mine victims in 1999, the most victims in any country in Asia, excepting Afghanistan. There are now more landmine victims in Burma than Cambodia, with 10 of the 14 states and divisions in the country extensively mined. The most affected areas are Karen State, Karenni State and Tenasserim Division. The borders of Arakan State, Chin State and the southern portions of the Shan States are also mined. Landmine Monitor also presented evidence of landmines in Mon State, Kachin State and Pegu Division. The civil war in Burma is the catalyst behind the extensive use of landmines by the SPDC’s armed forces along with at least 10 ethnic minority armed opposition groups.

Burma: Proliferation of anti-personnel landmines

 

Source: Landmine Monitor Burma/Myanmar, Burma: Landmine Monitor Report 2000, International Campaign to Ban Landmines

 
The SPDC has not signed the Mine Ban Treaty, did not participate in the Ottawa Process and has rarely participated in international forums directed to the banning of landmines. The SPDC does not deny that it uses landmines but contrary to evidence, it denies the systematic and extensive use of landmines in its war with armed groups opposed to its rule. Landmines are used in the border areas particularly Thailand and Bangladesh, to protect SPDC bases and camps and supply lines. They are also used offensively, being laid on the supply lines of opposition groups, to consolidate areas under their control and often in the pathways of civilians fleeing war, forced labour, persecution and poverty. The SPDC army uses human mine sweepers - forcing local populations to walk in front of soldiers in areas laid with mines. Evidence strongly suggests that the Myanmar Defense Industries produces its own mines. Mines manufactured in China, Italy, Israel, Russia and the U.S continue to be found in Burma but there is no evidence available that indicates that these countries continue to supply Burma.

Most of the armed opposition groups are believed to have the capacity to manufacture ‘home-made’ landmines and the past conflicts in Vietnam and Cambodia provide a readily available source on the black market. The Karen National Liberation Army and the Karenni Army are believed to be the largest mine users amongst those groups opposed to rule by the SPDC. There are a range of other armed groups using mines including the All Burma Student Democratic Front, Peoples Defense Forces, Myeik-Dawei United Front, Rohingya Solidarity Organization, Shan State Army, Democratic Karen Buddhist Army and the Chin National Army. Mines used by these groups are predominantly used in their fight with the SPDC but are also used in inter and intra ethnic warfare along with battles over business interests.

The US Court Case Against Unocal

A Federal US Judge cleared Unocal of responsibility for human rights abuses along the Yadana and Yetagun pipeline in a case brought by 15 anonymous Burmese villagers in 1996. The judge found that Unocal did know of and benefit from atrocities including forced labour, committed by the SPDC military in connection with the building of the gas pipeline. However, the judge ruled that Unocal cannot be held liable and dismissed the case because the plaintiffs had failed to prove that the oil-company had conspired with the military or controlled the military or controlled military decisions or sought to employ forced labour for the project. Lawyers for the plaintiffs said, “We are disappointed at the judge’s ruling but what was very heartening was the judge’s finding that Unocal knew of these atrocities but continued to fund the pipeline being very well aware that the foundation of this project was terrorism.” The lawyers for the 15 Burmese villagers are appealing the decision, a process that will take at least a year. Unocal having long denied that there is any evidence of human right violations said after the court case that the company did not dispute that it knew of human rights violations.



RELATIONS WITH RELIGIOUS & ETHNIC GROUPS114

___________________________________________________________________

* Improving                    R Stagnant                 * Deteriorating

The United Nations General Assembly, “Deplores the continued violations of human rights in particular those directed against persons belonging to ethnic and religious minorities, including summary executions, rape, torture, forced labour, forced portering, forced relocations, use of anti-personnel land mines, destruction of crops and fields, and disposession of land and property, which deprives these persons of all means of subsistence and results in large-scale displacement of persons and flows of refugees to neighbouring countries, thus causing negative effects for these countries, and an increasing number of internally displaced persons.”115

God’s Army Surrenders

At the beginning of November, SPDC soldiers launched attacks on two strongholds of the KNU resulting in heavy fighting, causing increased suffering for people in the State. The dry season offensive usually begins in November and is when the less mobile conventional forces of the SPDC take advantage of the improved weather conditions to launch offensives against opposition groups. Other events apart from the dry season offensive may have serious ramifications for people in Karen state. On January 16, 16 members of God’s Army were in the hands of Thai authorities including the group’s so-called leaders, 13 year old twins Luther and Johnny Htoo. The group included 9 boys and 2 girls.116 The Thai police charged 2 members of God’s Army, aged 16 and 19, with the robbery and murder of 6 Thai nationals. The remaining members were sent to refugee camps along the border with the twins returning to their parents. One commentator has suggested that some of the responses to God’s Army were determined by a planned joint ‘development’ project.’117

On December 31, 6 members of 2 Thai families, including 2 children were reportdly killed by God’s Army after 8 heavily armed men looted a grocery store in Suan Pueng District. God’s Army was blamed after Thai soldiers found a dead Karen man with a sack of rice who appeared to have been killed by an accidental explosion from a grenade he was carrying. The body was of a God’s Army soldier known as Rambo. Thai newspapers initially quoted Thai authorities who said that a Thai patrol had stumbled upon the group but later the same authorities stated that the group had given themselves up voluntarily.

Not all Thai officials believed that God’s Army was behind the killings, and expressed their doubts accordingly.118 The Vice-Chairman of the Thai Senate’s Foreign Affairs Commission and Forum-Asia representatives said there was not enough evidence to support allegations that God’s Army was behind the killings. The Vice-chairman Pensuk Juksuchinda said it is uncommon for Burmese rebels to kill innocent Thai villagers, adding that the closest witness was about 200 metres away.119

God’s Army had been forced to live off the land and forage for food after the SPDC overran their jungle headquarters in 2000. Thai army chief General Surayud Chulanont said that the guerillas had been encouraged through their relatives to surrender to Thai authorities. The Thais threatened to seal the border which would have made it difficult for many Karens, so the KNU promised to help search for the 15 bandits.120 An SPDC battalion made an offer to God’s Army via pamphlets that were scattered in the area of God’s Army bases, urging them to exchange weapons for peace . They were promised the return of their former base Kamerplaw and freedom to engage in economic activities. DVB also claimed that the Thai army in the area had been bribed to wipe out God’s Army.121 In contrast, local aid workers said that God’s Army had actually disbanded in October and joined the KNU. Aid workers also said that the border camps were sealed off a week before the ‘surrender’, restricting food supplies. One report claimed that “the Htoo twins were basically starved out of their hiding places.”122

One report argued that a development project was behind the attention and the sealing of the camps. The camps are located in Ratchaburi which, has the potential to be developed into a major trade route, given its proximity to Bangkok. The gas pipeline runs from the Gulf of Martaban into Thailand near the town and there is talk of extending the cross-border road down to the gulf and to develop a deep-sea port near Tavoy that would serve both countries. God’s Army and the refugee camps may be simply in the way, with the ‘capture’ of God’s Army only the beginning of ‘clearing’ operation.123


RELATIONS WITH THE DEMOCRACY MOVEMENT

___________________________________________________________________

* Improving                    R Stagnant                 * Deteriorating

Travelling in Burma with the NLD

• Dala Township124

On September 2, after a standoff that lasted 9 days, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and U Tin Oo were handcuffed and forcibly returned to their homes in Rangoon and placed under house arrest. The other members of the NLD, U Soe Myint, Dr. Myo Aung and 9 NLD youth members who accompanied them were taken to Insein prison.125 The members of the NLD from Dala Township who were at the site were arrested but released a few hours later only to be re-arrested in the afternoon and imprisoned. The remaining Central Executive Members of the NLD, along with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and U Tin Oo were placed under house arrest and their telephone lines were cut. The NLD headquarters was raided and everyone there was arrested. The SPDC authorities, not content with manhandling their own citizens, manhandled the British ambassador to Burma, John Jenkins, when he tried to visit U Tin Oo at his house, the day after he was forcibly returned from Dala Township. After nearly two weeks of detention Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, U Tin Oo and the other 7 members of the CEC were released from house arrest (after Khin Nyunt meets with the Chairperson of the NLD). The SPDC authorities also left the NLD headquarters, returning documents they had taken during their occupation.

• The Train to Mandalay

In the same month Daw Aung San Suu Kyi again attempted to exercise her right to travel but was again prevented by SPDC authorities when she tried to catch a train with U Tin Oo from Rangoon to Mandalay. After being prevented from travelling they were forcibly removed from the railway station with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi again placed under house arrest and U Tin Oo taken into detention at a military camp. Alongside their detentions, about 100 party supporters were arrested with many reportedly beaten.

The pair tried for several hours to buy tickets for the train journey but was continually told that none were available. At about 8.00 p.m. there was an announcement that everyone must leave, as a cleaning crew was about to arrive. Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and U Tin Oo were asked by the SPDC authorities to leave as they were disrupting the cleaning. They were also informed that they would not be issued with tickets as they were members of a political organisation.126

At about 1.00 a.m. an empty train was stationed on the platform blocking the view from other parts of the station. Apparently, about 300 members of various militaristic organisations flooded the platform and began beating and dragging away NLD supporters.127 Five women grabbed Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, covered her mouth with a cloth then carried her to her car.128 She was subsequently placed under house arrest. U Tin Oo was attacked, his mouth covered with a cloth, handcuffed and taken into detention at a military base about 50 km (30 miles) from Rangoon.129 The following day the other 7 members of the CEC of the NLD found themselves under house arrest.

Before Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and U Tin Oo arrived at the station, 21 supporters were taken away in a truck.130 During the afternoon, shops and businesses around the station were closed and riot police were used to keep journalists and diplomats away. At about 8.00 p.m. the time of the arrival of the ‘cleaning crew’, 3 truckloads of supporters were dragged away and taken to Insein Prison with some supporters seriously injured.131 The NLD listed 51 people known to have been placed under arrest, though it is believed that more than 100 people were arrested at the time.132

The SPDC’s English language explanation was as usual idiosyncratic, arguing that tickets to Mandalay are in high demand and normally require a 3-day advance purchase. The newspapers and information sheets stated that Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and U Tin Oo were escorted to a VIP waiting room where staff attempted to arrange tickets for them. When they were told there were none available they refused to leave the station. The report claimed they became abusive towards cleaning staff and had to be escorted from the station, stating that, “a group of violent trouble makers were also held for questioning.” It does seem a little unusual that a supposed refusal to leave a railway station platform should be met with 300 riot police and the closure of businesses around the station. The SPDC English language press also appropriated a speech by Tony Blair, against oil protest blockades in Britain to attack the attempted train ride by Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and U Tin Oo. “Unfortunately, Ms Suu Kyi’s so-called non-violent approach to democracy is rather designed in putting the entire (NLD) party on the direct confrontation with the government...Legitimate protest is one thing. Trying to bring the country to a halt is quite another, and there can be no justification for it”133 The paper did not enlighten its readers as to how catching a train could bring a country to a standstill.

The Burmese language newspapers were as usual more vitriolic. One of the newspapers launched a round of attacks on Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and the NLD comparing them to poisonous snakes which had to be locked away for their own good and the good of the community. “Thanks to the timely intervention of the authorities concerned, the snakes were moved away and the threat of poisonous snakes removed from the community...You can imagine how much public hatred the NLD leadership is inviting upon themselves by their antics at ferry crossings, railway stations and on the wayside”134

The Revolving Door of Arrests

The SPDC is operating a revolving door for political prisoners, arresting, releasing and sometimes even re-arresting and releasing. This is particularly the case for the CEC of the NLD. 135 All the NLD executive were arrested on 2 September, released on 14 September and then re-arrested on 21 September. Most were then released again on 1 December, but U Tin Oo was released later on 25 January, into house arrest. Aung San Suu Kyi remains under house arrest.

Others arrested during the Dala Township standoff and the Rangoon railway incident are also part of the new revolving door phenomena. Many of the lower profile members of the NLD recently arrested have not been released and are presently still imprisoned held without trial. Most of the 84 prisoners released on January 25 were arrested during the Dala Township and Rangoon Railway ‘incidents.’ There are still many more arrested during these incidents whose whereabouts are unknown. The 13 political prisoners who were not arrested during these incidents and released as part of the 84 are NLD youth wing members and have been in detention since April 2000. More than 100 NLD members were arrested during this month in the lead up to the 10th anniversary of the 1990 elections.

Homeless in Rangoon

The NLD was served an eviction notice by their landlords on September 25, giving them until October 25 to vacate the building. The NLD has occupied the premises of their headquarters on Shwegondaing Road in Rangoon since the inception of the party in 1988. The eviction notice was delivered while the CEC of the NLD were in detention. The owners of the building, two elderly women, Daw Khin Nu, 70, and Daw Chaw were summoned, arrested and sent to Insein prison on May 27, 2000, the day of the 10th anniversary of the victory by the NLD in the 1990 elections. They were later released but during their imprisonment they were denied family visits, along with essential medication. The owners were accused by SPDC authorities of causing a public disturbance, complaining of the use of loudspeakers by the NLD. The eviction notice stated that the neighbours had complained of disruptions caused by regular closures of the street by the authorities. The eviction notice also stated that the eviction was not due to any pressure from the authorities. The eviction notice was temporarily withdrawn in late October. The reason given for the withdrawal was the house arrest of the CEC of the NLD. The withdrawal of the eviction notice is probably linked to the dialogue between the SPDC and the NLD which began sometime in October.

The NLD headquarters was not the only premises under threat. Aung San Suu Kyi’s house was subject to a lawsuit from her estranged brother who is a US citizen. The residence of Aung San Suu Kyi was donated by the state to her father Aung San for his services to the country and inherited by her mother Khin Kyi who died in 1988. Aung San Suu Kyi has lived in the house, often under house arrest, since the death of her mother.

Her brother filed a lawsuit for half ownership of the house, expressing his wish to donate his share of the house to charity as his mother had intended. Inheritance law in Burma stipulates that all claims must be settled in 12 years. The lawsuit was filed one month short of the 12 year period. As Aung San Oo is a US citizen he can not own property in Burma. This potentially opened the way if he had won the case, for the SPDC to take possession of the house. An SPDC official had announced that Aung San Suu Kyi was allowed to attend the court even though she was under house arrest. Neither Aung San Suu Kyi nor her legal representatives appeared at the first hearing on the November 21. The judge adjourned the case until November 27 and ruled that the case would continue without their presence. However, Aung San Suu Kyi’s lawyers later successfully argued for their right to provide a defense for their client with the case appearing before the court several times until a ruling was given on January 22.136 The court ruled against Aung San Oo, stating that there were technical problems with the way the case was filed. The judge said that they should have filed for administration rights to the house, instead of seeking to partition the house by gaining a share of half the property. The legal system in Burma is not independent and technicalities are commonly used to reverse decisions overseen by the military authorities. This allows the regime to change its mind without losing face. This is another example of the regime’s revolving door policy. They steal what rightfully belongs to others and then return it, expecting congratulations.


INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

___________________________________________________________________

R Improving                    * Stagnant                  * Deteriorating

The most significant events in the international arena for Burma are those that have had a perceived impact on dialogue with influence and pressure coming from a number of quarters. Razali Ismail, the UN Special Envoy is perceived to be of central importance to the talks or ‘dialogue’ process.137 Along with the limits on aid, sanctions imposed by the ILO, the United States and the European Union, a number of recent events in the international arena may have been of some importance.138 It is difficult to adequately assess the relative importance of these various influences but actions by some ASEAN officials suggests that even ASEAN is less than satisfied with the lack of the SPDC’s governing capacity.

‘Mediation’ by ASEAN

ASEAN had agreed in July 2000 to use a troika (consisting of immediate past and future, as well as current chairs of Asean) formula to help solve regional political and security problems, though the structure and mandate has never been clarified. Kofi Annan tried to activate the body by asking Vietnam to negotiate with the SPDC to accept an ASEAN troika mission. The iniative came in response to mounting criticism from Western countries concerning increased intimidation and arrests of the NLD. The situation placed the EU-ASEAN meeting under threat. Vietnam who currently holds the rotating chair of ASEAN confirmed on the 4 October that it had “exchanged views with Myanmar and certain countries in the Association of Southeast Nations (ASEAN). The announcement stated that “the recent development of the situation in Myanmar is an internal affair for the Burmese and that foreign countries should not intervene.”

A week after the comment by the Vietnamese spokesperson, the ASEAN secretary general Rodolfo Severino announced that “At various levels, ASEAN members are keeping an eye on what’s happening in Myanmar. But there is no question of mediation or anything like that.” However, Thailand expressed support for mediation stating, “its good to have someone as a mediator.” Information ministers from ASEAN remained silent after a news briefing in Hanoi when asked whether they were united in a policy not to mediate in Burma.139 Despite the denials of mediation, Vietnam’s foreign minister paid an unexpected visit to the SPDC in October just after Razali’s visit. The day after the visit (October 18) and week after the visit by Razali, the 6 elderly NLD members were released from prison. The Vietnamese declined to release any details of the visit and when news of dialogue was made public they declined comment. Sweden’s ambassador to Thailand Jan Nordlander later commented that ‘dialogue’ may be the result of pressure “from the inside and from the outside” citing the role of ASEAN.140

Mahathir Visits Burma

Mahathir made a more public visit to Burma that coincided with the January visit by his countryman and good friend Razali Ismail. Mahathir may be on a face saving mission as he was behind the push to include Burma in ASEAN in 1997. He has been an untiring supporter of the SPDC and has always ignored the serious human righs violations perpetuated by the regime. The intransigence of the SPDC has been a source of embarrassment for ASEAN and Mahathir. Mahathir’s unyielding loyalty may allow him to ask the SPDC to lift their image. As Razali is a ‘representative’of Mahathir, dialogue further increases the stakes for Mahathir. 141 However, the inability of Mahathir to engage the opposition in Malaysia, coupled with his lack of democratic credentials should temper expectations regarding the options that are being put before the SPDC.

His official visit between the 3-4 January was followed by a “private holiday”until 9 January.142 Mahathir met with SPDC officials including SPDC Chairman Senior General Than Shwe but with no members of the NLD . Malaysia is the 6th largest investor in Burma but foreign investment has dried up since the economic crisis.

Official announcemens said that Mahathir visit to southern Burma was to further economic cooperation and trade, including the feasibility of Malaysian entrepreneurs establishing edible palm-oil and rubber plantations along with the extension of fishing rights.

On Mahathir’s return to Malaysia, despite all evidence to the contrary, he praised the development efforts of the SPDC. “They would like Malaysia to study the possibility of investing in Myanmar for the processing of raw materials, including fisheries...Myanmar is a country blessed with abundant natural resources as well as large agricultural areas.” He said that Malaysia could buy a lot of agricultural products like chillies, onions, sugar, maize and fish from Myanmar. “They also have rich sources of fish.”143 A few days after his return to Malaysia, the Malaysian Deputy Home Minister announced that the government would allow employers in the manufacturing, construction and plantation sectors to recruit workers from Burma and Nepal.

Along with Mahathir’s announcements of further economic co-operation, came pronouncements that elections will not be held in Burma for a few more years. “We see sometimes elections being held in many countries but they do not reflect the feelings of the people. When elections are held, people must understand elections have limits and not use elections to undermine authority.”144 Contrary to the findings of the ILO Commission of Inquiry and overwhelming evidence, Mahathir unashamedly commented “The accusation that they use slave labour is not true. In all countries in East Asia and Southeast Asia, we are used to using voluntary labour.”145

EU-ASEAN Meeting

An EU-ASEAN ministerial meeting had not occurred since Burma joined ASEAN in 1997. The scheduled meeting for March 1999 was aborted after the EU had refused to sit at the same table as Burma. ASEAN responded by cancelling the talks. Despite the public stances of both parties, negotiations betweens the groupings began in May 1999, with ASEAN suggesting that a meeting take place in one of their coutries as senior SPDC members and officials are banned from entering the EU. After protests by the EU over the spate of arrests in September of NLD members, the meeting between the EU and ASEAN finally went ahead. The meeting was held in Laos in December, albeit without the presence of European foreign ministers.146

Prior to the December EU-ASEAN meeting, the revolving door of arrests particularly of the CEC members of the NLD, threw the meeting into doubt. The decision that the meeting would proceed in Laos was announced July 26, 2000. But by September, with the Dala Township stand-off and the incident at Rangoon railway station, the EU began to express concerns about the presence of the SPDC. The SPDC responded with rhetoric that was ironical given the basis of the complaints from the EU. “If it’s the EU-ASEAN, why should Myanmar be left out?...There should be no discrimination.” By October 20 the EU had decided to go ahead with the meeting with the French Foreign Minister saying, “We are shooting ourselves in the foot” by linking the ASEAN dialogue with the question of Burma.

Many of the EU countries did not send foreign ministers including Britian, Denmark, and France. Only Germany, Belgium, Luxembourg and Finland promised to send their foreign ministers but no European foreign minister eventually came to the meeting. Depsite threats by Malaysia to downgrade its role at the meeting if the EU decided to send junior officials, all foreign ministers from ASEAN attended the meeting.

The Europeans had a good diplomatic excuse as there was an EU Conference in Nice on December 8-9.

Prelimary meetings involving senior officials in Vientiane were reputably heated centering on discussions of human rights violations in Burma, with a failure to reach an agreement. This forced the issue to be taken up during the official talks by ministers. The stand taken by the EU delegation on human rights abuses in Burma apparently upset a number of the ASEAN delegates. During the meeting SPDC officials made a number of not particularly onerous promises to the EU, which were in fact only reversals of promises previously broken.

The first commitment was to allow a European Mission into Burma in January, which had been previously scheduled for October.147 The ‘concession’ was not offered graciously with SPDC Foreign Minister, Win Aung stating that it would not allow the EU mission to mediate a political dialogue. At a news conference during the meeting in Vientiane, Win Aung stated, “They should come to talk to us and learn about us, not mediate internal interference...Now it is a chance to meet. We can talk and learn from each other. I can also explain to them what is really happening in our country.” 148 Referring to the NLD, Win Aung said that dialogue can only begin when the party drops its hostile attitude. “If they want genuine dialogue they should abandon their confrontational approach and their threatening words...When the confrontation and also the threat of international pressure is no more (then) it will create a common ground where both sides can stand together.”149 The second committment is to lift the house arrest of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, U Tin Oo and U Aung Shwe at an “appropriate time.” Unfortunately, their graciousness did not extend to a commitment to cease the systematic abuse of human rights. Win Aung said “Myanmar is a Buddhist country where we have not just tolerance but we have love and kindness for all human beings.”150

The EU only managed to secure from ASEAN a commitment to support national reconciliation and the mediation mission of the UN Special Envoy. The joint statement issued at the end of the meeting carried a rather weak reference to the situation in Burma, “We committed ourselves to promote and protect all human rights, including the right to development and fundamental freedoms, bearing in mind their universal, indivisible and interdependent character as expressed at the World Conference on Human Rights in Vienna...We had a frank discussion of developments in Burma, including the decision taken by the Governing Body of the International Labour Office on 16 November 2000...We expressed full support for the efforts made by Mr Razali Ismail, the UN Secretary-General’s Special Envoy and hoped they would contribute to a positive development in the process of national reconciliation in Burma, including any early dialogue between the State Peace and Development Council (SPDC), the NLD and other relevant parties.” The next EU-ASEAN minister’s meeting was set for Europe, which would require a lifting of the EU’s current visa’s restrictions if SPDC is to attend.

The Off/On EU Troika

The planned October visit by EU delegation was cancelled on October 6 by the SPDC in the midst of international protests after the latest round of arrests of NLD members. The SPDC said it had not cancelled but postponed the visit because the timing was wrong. “As the present environment is not favourable for the meeting to be constructive, Myanmar has requested the EU side to postpone the visit to a later date.”151 The EU troika finally happened on January 30 -31. This is another example of recent behaviour by SPDC of taking with one hand and giving back with the other.

The date for the visit was set after the announcement of the ‘dialogue’. The EU delegation included representatives from Belgium, Sweden and the EU Commission and Council of Ministers. Prior to the visit, the EU used a concilatory tone stating publically that they would not insist on the immediate release of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi. However, Sweden’s ambassador to Thailand, Jan Nordlander, said that the EU will maintain its sanctions on Burma until all political prisoners are released, human rights are respected and democracy is restored. However, he added “one must be patient. This is a long process.”152

On the eve of the EU visit, editorials in SPDC newspapers showed little signs of a change in outlook. “No foreign country or foreigner has the right even to suggest who should or should not rule Myanmar or which policy is to be followed and that no country or person has the right to disturb and deter the endeavors of Myanmar...The act of invading other nations, interfering in the internal affairs of other nations, practising various types of colonialism and hegemonism are evil practices unacceptable to the world.” The newspaper also warned, “that instability is occuring in various parts of the world with many countries facing the evil consequences of war and civil strife due to the political and economic conspiracies of greedy politicians and entrepreneurs.”153

During the visit the delegation held talks with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, SPDC representatives, various organisations and UN bodies. The delegation upon its return to Thailand was very tightlipped about the trip, stating that they had not been informed of the substance of the ‘dialogue’ by either of the parties involved.

Changes in Foreign Policy: Thailand & The United States

The election of a new President in the United States and a new government in Thailand may lead to significant changes in foreign policy for both countries. The new Republican administration is less supportive of sanctions as a foreign policy device. The election of the Thai Rak Thai and their coalition partners is likely to usher in a return to the old days of Thai foreign policy, where personal ties and business interests dominate.

• Thailand – Exit ‘Flexible Engagement’ Enter ‘Forward Engagement’154

The election of Thai Rak Thai will entail a move away from the more formalised foreign policy of the Democrats, to a policy where high-level personal contacts are used to settle problems. The Democrat administration tried to co-ordinate policy through the Foreign Ministry. In particular, the Democract Foreign Minister, Surin Pitsuwan, attempted to direct relations with Burma through official channels. This was distinct from the past where relations with Burma came from personal relationships between businessmen and military figures in both countries.155 Often there was no overriding policy guiding relations, with decisions taken in isolation and designed to serve personal interests.

The coalition partners in the new Thai Government include Thai Rak Thai, Chart Thai, and the New Aspiration party. Prominent figures in the new Coalition, during and after the election campaign, indicated the likely direction of foreign policy. The new Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra planned to personally visit Burma and has consistently highlighted constructive engagement with no reference to human rights and democracy. Thaksin has stated that, “We won’t say that we won’t associate with you because you won’t let Daw Aung San Suu Kyi form a government.”156 Thaksin also promised that he would address the issue of fishing concessions in Burmese waters. “They [the SPDC] have wanted to talk with me for a long time but I was in no position [to make it happen]. “I have good personal relations with our neighbours.”157 The lack of fishing rights in Burma is a big issue for Thai Rak Thai. Half of Thailand’s fishermen went out of business after Burma closed its waters following the seizure of the embassy in Oct. 1999. However, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and China have fishing concessions in Burmese waters.

The deputy leader of Thai Rak Thai, Pitak Intrawithayanut said he was in favour of Ministry of Foreign Affairs enhancing its economic role. He stated that the public expected the foreign ministry to have economic interests. His comments were in response to the permanent secretary of foreign affairs who had remarked “that the work of dipolomats was to contribute to policy making and explore trade opportunities, rather than compete with a ministry that had expertise in this field.”158

During the election campaign former Army Chief Chetta Thanajaro visited Rangoon, meeting with Khin Nyunt. Chetta was no. 17 on Thai Rak Thai’s party list. He was army commander-in-chief until 1998 and is known to have support from business groups with vested interests in Burma. He openly states that can use his good personal relationships with the three senior SPDC generals to “restore good relations with Burma.”

After the election it was clear that, foreign policy was not being clearly defined with the policy seemingly to “pursue a good and close relationship with Burma.” The new minister for Foreign Affairs, Surakiat Sathirathai, was Chairman of PTT Exploration and Production, an arm of the state owned Petroleum Authority of Thailand that negotiated the gas pipeline deal with the SPDC. He has stated that “we would like to promote democracy in Burma, but we would like to do it the Asian way.”159 One possible interpretation of the ‘Asian way’ is that foreign policy will not be transparent and that business interests will overide national interests.

Another figure likely to be prominent in the foreign policy of the new administration is the Defence Minister and Deputy Prime Minister - General Chavalit Yongchaiyudh. Chavalit was previously the foreign minister who was widely criticised for his visit to Burma in 1988 just after the August massacre. He negotiated for himself and his friends lucrative logging concessions from the newly reconstituted military regime. Chavalit’s hand in policy only benefited a small group of businessmen such as log merchants, hotel and casino operators.

The new Aspiration Party (one of the coalition partners) plans to establish a Thai-Burmese friendship association with Khin Nyunt and a key party official co-chairing the organisation. Involved are party leader General Chavalit Yongchaiyudh and General Pat Akanibut. The plan was formulated after a visit by General Pat Akanibut to Burma in mid-October.160

• United States – Sanctions under threat

The election of a new President brings a new administration with Colin Powell as the new Secretary of State. The specifics of foreign policy have not been enunciated but there is speculation that criticisms of Burma’s human rights record will be muted.161 There is also the issue of sanctions, with Colin Powell sarcastically commenting, “Stop, look and listen before you impose a sanction...Count to 10, call me.” Powell said he plans to review of all current sanctions to determine whether they should be removed. There is already a strong anti-sanctions network that now has a formidable ally in Colin Powell. Leading the fight against sanctions is USA Engage, a corporate group which maintains that sanctions cost the US economy $19 billion annually. The United States has sanctions of varying degrees on 73 countries with most of these sanctions less severe than those imposed on Burma.

UN Special Rapporteur Resigns

The UN Special Rapporteur on Burma, Rajsoomer Lallah, who held the mandate for just over 4 years resigned in early November, citing lack of support from the Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights.162 He said he did not feel he had “the kind of logistical and administrative support” he needed to usefully contribute and was told by the Commissioner for Human Rights the problems were due to a lack of resources.163 Lack of resources prevented him travelling from Geneva to New York to present his human rights report to the UN General Assembly and from conducting important meetings relating to his mandate. His report served as the draft for the UN General Assembly report in November and for another UN resolution condeming Burma. “I see very little changing, year after year the General Assembly and the Commission pass resolutions, I feel rather disappointed.”164 Lallah has never been allowed to enter Burma.


REFUGEES & MIGRANT WORKERS

___________________________________________________________________

* Improving                    * Stagnant                  R Deteriorating

Repatriation of Karen

The SPDC officials made several promises that they were willing to take back refugees, though no-one seems to be bothering to ask the refugees if they want to return under the present circumstances. The outgoing Thai Foreign Minister Surin Pitsuwan said the SPDC Foreign Minister Win Aung claimed that the SPDC was willing to accept back Burmese refugees in Thailand.165 The SPDC authorities also informed the Thai Supreme Commander General Sampao Chusri that they were ready to take back war refugees on the condition they were Burmese nationals.166

A month later the SPDC accused Karen refugees of being fugitives and insurgents who would not be allowed to return. Lt.Gen. Khin Nyunt said, “If the insurgents (were) to be repatriated and reintegrated as refugees, it would be harmful to the peace and stability of the nation.” The comments came during a speech to mark the UNHCR’s 50th anniversary and in spite of talks between the UN High Commissioner for Refugees and the SPDC on a possible repatriation.167 The lack of diplomatic skills of Khin Nyunt exposes the position of the SPDC - that Karen cannot be considered refugees but as insurgents.

However, it is not only the SPDC that is laying claim to the identity and opinions of Karen refugees. The Democratic Karen Buddhist Army (DKBA) stated that they wanted all Karen to return to “develop our Karen society” and that more than 5,000 displaced Burmese would rather stay in a DKBA held area, than return to Thailand. The DKBA seem to have conflated a desire on the part of people not to be refugees with a desire to live under their ‘administration.’ Lt-Col. Maung Chit Tu, head of the DKBA’s 999th Division seems to have taken fiction lessons from the SPDC stating, “Some of them [refugees] run coffee shops or boutiques or become labourers...Some displaced Burmese served the administration zone as teachers, officials, sawmill labourers, furniture factory workers and tailors making uniforms for DKBA troops.”168 The DKBA also stated that the “zone” has schools and temples with monks sitting on the districts advisory committee.169 The DKBA also showed that discrimination is not the preserve of the SPDC, refusing to accept Muslim families in their areas as “they have long caused unrest in Burmese society.”170 Around 1,000 Muslims in DKBA territory have been forced to move.171 Another report stated that the DKBA in the area were killing Muslims who had been repatriated by the Thai authorities.172

Repatriation of Rohingya

The slow repatriation of Rohingya refugees from Bangladesh continues with between 20 - 100 Rohingya refugees being repatriated every Wednesday. There are about 20,866 Rohingya refugees left in the two refugees camps in Bangladesh but no new refugees have been allowed to enter the camps since the repatriation process began in 1992. Repatriation was formally recommenced in November 1998, after being suspended in mid-1997, but the conditions were so restrictive that very few Rohingya were able to return. Early in 2000, the regime lifted some of the restrictions but the SPDC authorities still demand that returning refugees’ identities be confirmed twice. Out of the 8,000 refugees that the SPDC agreed to accept in November 1998, only 4,500 refugees have been repatriated between July 1999 and the first week of December 2000.173 Estimates of Rohingya refugees and illegal migrants workers in Bangladesh vary, but are around 150,000.

Burmese Refugees in Guam

The problems for Chin refugees in India may have been one of the reasons behind a sudden influx of Burmese to the US territory of Guam in the central Pacific in December 2000.174 Guam has a special visa waiver program designed to attract tourists, so Burmese did not need visas to enter. It is also the closest place to Asia where US asylum law applies. The sudden influx of Burmese, mostly Chin, caused the US Justice Department to revoke Burma from the visa-waiver program on January 10, 2001.

About 700 Burmese, about half of them Chin, arrived in the last few months of 2000, trying to seek asylum in the US, often arranged through a broker.175 There are no asylum officials on the island, making the asylum process very slow, with the problem exacerbated by the refugees being unable to afford legal representation. The Burmese in Guam are living in very crowded conditions in private housing and are not eligble for work permits or government aid, living on church handouts. They are essentially stranded on the island as they are unable to relocate to mainland US to apply for asylum.

A number of asylum seekers had been detained in the local detention centre for admitting on arrival that they were going to seek asylum, rather than stating they only planned to stay 15 days and then return home. When Burma was removed from the visa-waiver program, the Burmese asylum seekers were released from jail.176

Migrant Labour in Thailand

• New Thai Government

The close connections of Thai Rak Thai and its coalition partners with Thai business interests, has led them to publically acknowledge the role of Burmese migrant labour in the Thai economy. Despite the nationalist sentiment that has been on the increase with a number of high profile incidents involving Burmese in Thailand, the new government may take a more ‘lenient’ attitude towards migrant labour. The approach will be a pragmatic response to demands from some sectors of Thai business that are dependent on cheap labour.

There are an estimated 1 million illegal workers from Burma in Thailand. Those employed in the border areas earn about 60 baht ($1.35) per day to work on farms and factories. This is three times the wage for manual labour in Burma.177 Illegal workers who find their way to Bangkok can earn 120 ($2.70) baht per day but this is still lower than the minimum wage in Thailand.178 Many Thai workers regardless of wages do not want to undertake often dangerous and back breaking physical work.

The New Aspirtation Party, one of the coalition partners in the new Thai government, during the election campaign, acknowledged the role of Burmese migrant labour in the Thai economy. One of the member’s of NAP’s economic team said that they would not reduce the number of foreign workers, but would not like companies to exclusively employ a foreign workforce. The same spokesman added that there was also a need to crackdown on illegal workers. A representative from Thai Rak Thai said the foreign labour issue was complicated as there was a mix of local interests coupled with legal and human rights issues. Thai Rak Thai’s policy was not clearly enunciated so its policy on the level of migrant workers was not stated. They tended to avoid the issue by putting forward economic platitudes, stating that they planned to restructure industry to move away from cheap labour to a highly productive, high skilled workforce by technology.

• Conditions for Illegal Workers in Thailand

The Thai Action Committee for a Democratic Burma (TACDB) released its survey on conditions for 60,000 Burmese workers in Samut Sakhon, documenting their widespread mistreatment.179 Violence, physical punishment and fines are a common mechanism of workplace control. Workers are beaten for not following directions or when the pace of production is considered not fast enough. Health and safety conditions are non-existent, contributing to the spread of disease, and workplace death and injury are common. Even if workers are sick or injured, fines are commonplace if workers fail to appear. Appalling conditions are coupled with the extreme reluctance of illegal workers to seek medical treatment for fear of repatriation. Women workers face additional problems with sexual assualt by employers, senior workers and police commonplace. There were reports of women disappearing after being arrested by the police. Complaints and redress are virtually unknown for fear of job loss and repatriation. The survey even found that some employers had their employees arrested on the day before pay day. The report also noted that corruption within the Thai authorities was a serious problem for illegal workers. Arrests often involved beatings and demands for money. The amounts varied but were often substantially more than a months salary. Employers were also somewhat vulnerable with police demanding bribes for the release of workers.180

• Repatriations of Illegal Workers

Repatriations of illegal Burmese workers across the Thai-Myanmar Friendship bridge has again become a daily occurrence. During July and August there were successive repatriations of Bumese workers in Mae Sot until the systematic raids and repatriation suddenly stopped at the end of August. However, on December 1 the arrest and repatriation process suddenly resumed. There are rumours that the Thai immigration police have orders to arrests 70,000 illegal workers.181 The crackdown caused many factory owners in the area to close down operations in December. Early in the month some of the owners provided workers with enough money to return home to avoid prosecution but a step up in the repatriation process meant that financial assistance was no longer provided. The repatriation raids were still continuing at the end of January.

The raids have serious implications, not only because of the risk of deportation, but for the capacity of illegal workers to provide for their basic needs. Illegal workers are willing to risk illness and injury to escape deportation. During a factory raid many of the workers jumped from the third floor, sustaining a range of injuries. During another raid, a Burmese worker died from injuries. Many workers hide from Thai police in paddy fields and forests and then become ill due to weather exposure. At the end of January, 56 illegal migrants escaped from the jail in Mae Sot. Most of them were quickly recaptured along with about 200 other Burmese when 100 Thai police were deployed in the small town.

• Fines and Forced Labour on Repatriation

Illegal Burmese workers not only have to face harrassment and fines in Thailand but also in their country of origin. Illegal workers deported from Ranong in Thailand are being fined by Burmese authorities in Kawthaung. The deported workers who are unable to pay the fine are sentenced to one months labour, working on the construction site of the Kawthaung-Tavoy border road.182 The closure of all unofficial border ‘checkpoints’ by SPDC authorities in the Mae Sot area means that many deported workers are being fined 6,000 Kyat on crossing back into Burma. Many workers are fearful of returning as deported workers can be imprisoned and used as forced labourers.183 There was also a report that Muslims repatriated into DKBA held territory had been murdered.184



CHRONOLOGY:

1st September 2000 ~ 31st January 2001

 

2 SEPTEMBER

•           Aung San Suu Kyi and U Tin Oo are handcuffed and returned to their homes in Rangoon. U Soe Myint, Dr. Myo Aung and nine NLD youths are taken to Insein prison.

•           The NLD members from Dala township who are at the site are arrested but released after few hours. They are arrested again in the afternoon and imprisoned.

•           All of the 10 CEC members of NLD are placed under house arrest, telephone lines are cut off and no one is allowed to enter or leave.

•           NLD Headquarters is raided. Everyone visiting the headquarters is arrested.

3 SEPTEMBER

• John Jenkins, the British ambassador to Burma  is manhandled by military intelligence when he tries to see U Tin Oo at his house.

4 SEPTEMBER

• A joint SPDC army, navy and air force exercise begins near the Thai-Burma border.

5 SEPTEMBER

•           The Burmese Ambassador to Britain admits to John Battle, a junior Foreign Office Minister, that there is a crisis in Burma.

6 SEPTEMBER

•           Burma’s Permanent Representative to the UN, Mya Than, is elected Chairman of UN General Assembly’s First Committee (of Disarmament and Security).

7 SEPTEMBER

•           The Landmine Monitor Report 2000 is released.

•           The European Parliament calls on the SPDC to grant freedom of movement to Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and all citizens of the country.

13 SEPTEMBER

•           Chein Poe, a 77-year old lawyer was sentenced to 14 years for distributing foreign press clippings with anti-government slogans written on the back.

14 SEPTEMBER

•           Lt-General Khin Nyunt and U Khin Maung Win, Deputy Minister for Foreign Affairs meet with U Aung Shwe, Chairman of the NLD while he is under arrest in a government “guest-house.”

•           Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, U Tin Oo and the other 7 members of the CEC are released from house arrest. The authorities also leave NLD headquarters.

15 SEPTEMBER

• The NLD issues a statement stating that 11 party members had been arrested during the week in Rangoon and that another 15 had been arrested outside the capital.

16 SEPTEMBER

•           Military authorities block the road to NLD headquarters where a celebration is held for the 2nd anniversary of the formation of the CRPP.

17 SEPTEMBER

• The 12th anniversary of rule by Burma’s present military regime.

• Burma’s state media called on the SPDC to “wipe out” the NLD, which it accused of colluding with Britain and the US to destroy the nation.

21 SEPTEMBER

•           Aung San Suu Kyi and U Tin Oo are prevented from catching a train to Mandalay and are forcibly removed by SPDC authorities and placed under arrest. Another 29 NLD members, who had intended to meet Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and U Tin Oo in Mandalay are also arrested.

22 SEPTEMBER

• Restrictions are placed on the 7 other members of the CEC of the NLD. Ten more NLD members in Mandalay are arrested following on from the Rangoon railway ‘incident’.

23 SEPTEMBER

•           Thai soldiers kill four armed intruders from Burma, believed to be members of the DKBA, in Thailand’s Tak province.

25 SEPTEMBER

•           The British ambassador to Burma is prevented from visiting Aung San Suu Kyi.

• The NLD is served with an eviction notice for its headquarters in Rangoon - giving it until October 25 to vacate.

27 SEPTEMBER

•           The NLD does not mark the 12th anniversary of its founding in protest against the confinement and imprisonment of its CEC members.

OCTOBER

• Dialogue between Lt. General Khin Nyunt and Aung San Suu Kyi begins sometime during the month.

2 OCTOBER

• The Swiss and Liechtenstein government imposes sanctions on Burma in line with the European Union.

4 OCTOBER

•           Vietnam confirms that it had contact with the SPDC and certain concerned countries over the mounting crisis in Burma.

6 OCTOBER

• SPDC cancels a visit by the EU foreign policy troika.

9-12 OCTOBER

• UN Special Envoy Razali Ismail’s second mission to Burma.

16 OCTOBER

•           Vietnam’s foreign minister begins a two-day official visit to Burma. No details of the agenda are made public.

18 OCTOBER

• SPDC releases 6 elderly political prisoners who are members of the NLD after a special request by UN special envoy Razali Ismail.

20 OCTOBER

• The French Foreign Minister announces that the EU will resume talks with ASEAN in December after a break of 3 years.

20-26 OCTOBER

•           An ILO technical mission visits Burma to investigate if the SPDC has taken sufficient measures to eliminate forced labour.

25 OCTOBER

•           Eviction date for NLD HQ in Rangoon but the order is temporarily withdrawn.

1 NOVEMBER

•           FTUB releases a report that shows civilians are still being used as forced labour

2 NOVEMBER

•           SPDC authorities announce that a government ordinance banning forced labor in compliance with demands for reform made by the ILO has been issued.

8 NOVEMBER

•           An ILO technical mission to Burma issues another report.

•           The UNGA at its 55th Session adopts another resolution condemning human rights violations in Burma.

10 NOVEMBER

•           The United Nations Human Rights Committee adopts a draft resolution condemning Burma’s human rights situation and seeking more freedom of movement for pro-democracy supporters in the country.

14 NOVEMBER

•           Aung San Suu Kyi’s US-based brother Aung San Oo’s legal representative in Rangoon posts a subpoena on her gate for a court hearing about half-ownership of her house.

17 NOVEMBER

•           The ILO votes for the full implementation of a resolution aimed at compelling the SPDC to comply with Convention No.29 on forced labour.

•           SPDC says it will stop cooperating with the ILO on forced labor issues.

20 NOVEMBER

• 28 independence veterans send a letter to the SPDC urging them to lift restrictions imposed on NLD leaders. The letter is made public on 5 December.

22 NOVEMBER

•           Eight Burmese and one Thai prisoner, holding the prison’s governor and six of his staff hostage, break out of a Thai jail. A religious teacher is killed in the prison before the breakout.

23 NOVEMBER

•           Thai commandos kill the 9 prison escapees and seriously injure the prison governor who later dies.

28 NOVEMBER

•           San San Nweh and U Win Tin are awarded the Golden Pen of Freedom award for their devotion to press freedom and democracy. Both editors are serving long prison sentences. The SPDC had offered to release them if they renounce all political activity but both had refused.

1 DECEMBER

•           6 members of the CEC of the NLD are released from house arrest, except for Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, U Aung Shwe and U Tin Oo.

3 DECEMBER

•           A group of former NLD members who were dismissed from the party send a letter to the SPDC asking them to step up dialogue with opposition parties.

10 DECEMBER

• SPDC agrees to allow an EU delegation to visit Burma.

•           U Lwin, secretary of the NLD, is allowed to visit Daw Aung San Suu Kyi. This is her first visitor (apart from Razali) since she was placed under house arrest on Sept. 22.

11-12 DECEMBER

•           ASEAN-EU meeting held in Laos with no EU Foreign Ministers in attendance.

14 DECEMBER

• 11 NLD arrested between September 13-14 for issuing a statement on the forcible return of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi from Dala Township, are given sentences of between 7-21 years.

27 DECEMBER

•           Reporters Sans Frontieres condemns the 21 year prison sentence given to Aung Myint on the December 14 for distributing information to the international press about Aung San Suu Kyi’s attempts to travel outside of Rangoon. Aung Myint is the head of Information Department for the NLD.


2001

 

JANUARY

•           During the month the SPDC press stops attacking Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and the NLD, and instead targets foreign and exiled groups.

3 JANUARY

• The Malaysian Prime Minister arrives in Rangoon for a 6-day visit.

5 JANUARY - 9 JANUARY

•           Razali Ismail begins his third visit to Burma.

9 JANUARY

•           A UN spokesman announces that Lt.-Gen. Khin Nyunt and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi had been engaged in a direct ‘dialogue’ since October.

10 JANUARY

• The NLD confirms that it had been in secret talks with SPDC.

15 JANUARY

• SPDC officials visit NLD headquarters stating that 86 members of the NLD imprisoned since September would be allowed to receive food parcels and letters.

16 JANUARY

• Lt. General Khin Nyunt says that the international community must remove sanctions if it wants to see “the emergence of a peaceful, modern and democratic state.”

• The EU announces that a delegation will visit Burma between January 29-31.

• 14 members of God’s Army surrender to Thai authorities.

16-19 JANUARY

• The UNLD, an umbrella organisation for non-Burman political parties is resurrected.

18 JANUARY

•           Burmese language newspapers quote Lt. General Khin Nyunt, saying Burma would resist international pressure to adopt Western-style democracy.

22 JANUARY

• Rangoon Court dismisses Daw Aung San Suu Kyi’s brother’s petition for half her home, citing technical problems with the way it was filed.

25 JANUARY

• U Tin Oo the Vice-Chairman of the NLD along with 83 members of the NLD are released. U Tin Oo is ‘released’ from a military camp to house arrest.

• Norwegian Student Peace Prize awarded to Min Ko Naing.

29 JANUARY

•           Gen. Than Shwe warns against outside interference by “neocolonial’’ states trying to cause disunity in the country on the day the EU delegation arrives.

29-31 JANUARY

•           EU delegation visits Burma and meets with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and representatives of SPDC.

30 JANUARY

•           The ICFTU sends a briefing to 221 affiliated national unions in 148 countries calling on trade union to press their governments to impose a ban on investment and trade with Burma in response to the ILO’s resolution.


Appendix 1

LEADERSHIP CALLS FOR NATIONAL RECONCILIATION

The leadership of non-Burman ethnic and democracy forces opposing military-rule in Burma,
meeting on 06-07 March 2001 in
Burma -

1.  Welcome the talks between the State Peace and Development Council and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, and the cessation of personal attacks against her in the official media,

2.  Welcome the involvement of the United Nations, the Association of South East Asian Nations, the United States of America and the European Union in facilitating the talks,

3.  Have full confidence in Daw Aung San Suu Kyi’s integrity and her commitment to the establishment of a truly democratic political system in Burma,

4.  In the interest of national reconciliation, urge the SPDC and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi to make the substance of their talks known to the people of Burma as soon as possible,

5.  Urge SPDC to take additional steps to build confidence in the current talks by relaxing further the restrictions placed on the people of Burma,

6.  Encourage SPDC and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi to broaden and deepen the current talks to include a time frame and general framework within which the role in a future Burma of all participants in the process can be defined,

7.  Note that United Nations General Assembly resolutions affirm that the best means of promoting national reconciliation and the full and early restoration of democracy in Burma is a Tripartite Dialogue - the SPDC, democracy forces led by Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, and true representatives of the non-Burman ethnic peoples,

8.  Urge all political actors in Burma to put the interest of the people and the country above all other interests,

9.  Call on all political actors in Burma to explore ways and means to enable humanitarian aid to be delivered directly without political interference to those in most urgent need, especially in the non-Burman ethnic states,

10. To build further confidence in the current talks and enable the suffering of the people to be alleviated, urge SPDC to cease all hostilities, all anti-religious activities, and human rights abuses including forced relocations and forced labour, in non-Burman ethnic states.

11. Welcome the efforts of the International Labour Organization to end forced labour in Burma,

12. Welcome the continued efforts of the UN Commission on Human Rights to end human rights abuses in Burma,

13. Welcome the continued support and activities of non-government organizations and activists to highlight injustices in Burma and to help establish a government responsive to the needs of its people,

14. Appreciate the consistent efforts of those engaged in the struggle for democracy, human rights, and equality in Burma, and encourage them to continue to persevere,

15. Call on the international community, especially our neighbours, to support the dialogue process by encouraging all parties involved to resolve Burma’s problems by political means.

16. In the interest of keeping the dialogue process alive, urge the international community to maintain their current positions until substantive political agreements are reached,

17. Strongly urge the international community not to take precipitous unilateral action such as providing aid without proper consultation, which could endanger the dialogue process,

18. Call on the United Nations and the international community to continue to closely monitor the situation and to facilitate the talks,

19. Affirm that the National Coalition Government, the National Council of the Union of Burma and allied forces will work together to facilitate the dialogue process in Burma.

Participants:

1.  NATIONAL COALITION GOVERNMENT OF THE UNION OF BURMA

2.  NATIONAL COUNCIL OF THE UNION OF BURMA

•      Members of Parliament Union

•      National League for Democracy (Liberated Area)

3.  DEMOCRATIC ALLIANCE OF BURMA

•      All Burma Students Democratic Front

•      All Burma Muslim Union

•      All Burma Young Monks Union

•      Democratic Party for New Society

•      Muslim Liberation Organization

•      Overseas Burmese Liberation Front

•      People’s Defence Force

•      People’s Liberation Front

•      People’s Patriotic Front

•      People’s Patriotic Party

4.  NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC FRONT

•      Arakan Liberation Party

•      Democratic Party of Arakan

•      Chin National Front

•      Karen National Union

•      Arakan League for Democracy

•      Karenni National Progressive Party

•      Network for Democracy and Development

•      Shan Democratic Union

•      Pa-o People’s Liberation organization

•      Zomi National Congress

Information:

NCGUB: Dr Thaung Htun        66 (01) 859-5193    <[email protected]>

NCUB:    U Maung Maung Aye  66 (01) 885-944     <[email protected]>

KNPP:    Rimon Htoo               66 (01) 869-1567    <[email protected]>

KNU:     Phado Mahn Sha        66 (01) 886-7467    <[email protected]>

Europe:   Harn Yawnghwe         32 (475) 75-36-32  <[email protected]>



Appendix 2

STATEMENT:

the INTERNATIONAL STRATEGY MEETING ON BURMA
17-19 MARCH 2001,
THAILAND

We, the participants of an International Strategy Meeting representing 53 organizations from 28 countries, support the current talks between Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and the SPDC. We are committed to ensure that these talks progress into a genuine tripartite dialogue. Only through this tripartite dialogue can real peace be brought to Burma in the form of a democratic federal union based on principles of equality and human rights.

Despite these talks, the results of the 1990 elections have not been recognized. Furthermore, serious human rights violations and humanitarian crises continue unabated in Burma. Military abuses, including forced labor, forced relocation and violence against women, are still systematically committed, especially in the non-Burman ethnic nationality states. Political parties are prohibited from functioning freely. The illicit trade in drugs remains a significant source of income for the military regime. The overall health and educational level of people in Burma has severely deteriorated under the SPDC.

We demand that as an initial show of good faith and sincerity, the SPDC must immediately:

1.    Release all political prisoners

2.    Allow the NLD and all political parties to function freely

3.    Cease all military hostilities

4.    Cease all forms of forced labor

Acknowledging the role of economic and political pressure in pushing the SPDC toward the initial talks with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, we call on the international community to escalate action at this critical time to support the transformation of talks into tripartite dialogue. We appeal for:

1.    Governments, trade unions, and employers organizations world-wide to take concrete action to implement the ILO resolution.

2.    The US, EU, Canada, and other countries to intensify national and regional economic pressure on the military junta, including investment and trade sanctions.

3.    Governments to refrain from providing any form of official economic or development assistance until a genuine tripartite agreement to allow such assistance can be reached. There must be a transparent and accountable process for this assistance to be effective.

4.    ASEAN to officially support the talks process and urge the SPDC to commit to a genuine tripartite dialogue.

5.    Civil society organizations and other sectors of society, including women’s organizations, human rights and environmental groups, religious groups, and students in all countries to step up the momentum to achieve human rights and justice in Burma.

We reaffirm our confidence in Daw Aung San Suu Kyi’s leadership and commitment to tripartite dialogue, and support the ethnic nationalities in the efforts for national reconciliation. We commit ourselves to strengthening the call for democracy and human rights which has consistently been articulated by the NLD, other political parties, and the ethnic nationality groups in Burma.

We are united in launching a new wave of international activism and political action. We will not stop until all the peoples of Burma are free.

On behalf of the participants:

(Africa) Kiru Naidoo <[email protected]>

(Asia) Merci Ferrer <[email protected]>

(Australia) Dr Myint Cho <[email protected]>

(Europe) Trine Johansen <[email protected]>

(North America) Jeremy Woodrum <[email protected]>

 

Released by Altsean-Burma. Tel: 66 1 8509008. <[email protected]>

 

(The International Strategy Meeting was held at an undisclosed location in Thailand.)


Appendix 3

Burma at the Crossroads:
Prospect for a political change

by Dr. Thaung Htun, Representative for UN Affairs, NCGUB

for the International Strategy Meeting on Burma, Thailand
March 17-19, 2001

The recent news about talks between Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and the SPDC, which was revealed to the media after the visit of the UN Special Envoy at the beginning of the year, has presented us with a great puzzle. The news has filled our minds with questions. What are the substance and direction of these talks?

Is this a real breakthrough that will lead to a democratic transition in Burma? How should we respond to this political development and what should be the strategy of our movement? This conference provides us the opportunity to brainstorm about various issues and I hope that we will be able to develop a consensus vision and strategy by the end of the meeting.

We have seen the regime moving from a position at the beginning of the year 2000 of trying to crush the NLD to an approach at the end of the year of actually talking with the NLD. This movement indicates that the regime has decided it cannot crush the NLD and must therefore find another way to deal with the problems it is facing.

As far as we know, talks in Rangoon up to now are serious and consistent. General Khin Nyunt, with the agreement of the entire SPDC leadership, is leading the talk with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi. His aides from the Office of Strategic Studies are holding regular meetings with Daw Suu. Daw Suu has access to the NLD central executive committee through U Lwin, who is meeting with her twice a week. The Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue, led by a former ICRC official based in Rangoon, has been facilitating the process. The UN Special Envoy has regular contact with the SPDC Foreign Ministry and has kept the international key players informed about the development of the talks. We have also observed that some foreign dignitaries and diplomats have been allowed to meet Daw Aung San Suu Kyi.

We have witnessed the regime exhibit some positive gestures since the start of the talks. On Jan 25, U Tin Oo, Vice-Chairman of the NLD, was released from detention after four months in the Ye Mon interrogation Centre. Nineteen NLD Youth members who were arrested along with U Tin Oo were also released on that day. Other NLD Youth members, who were arrested at the Rangoon Central Railway Station when Daw Suu was obstructed from traveling to Mandalay, were also released. During the second week of January, military authorities instructed their controlled media to end attacks against the NLD leadership. During these days, we have observed that the regime has provided some space for reorganization of the NLD. Party signboards that were previously pulled down by the USDA and local SPDC authorities have been reestablished. Township level organizing committee have been reorganized. Moreover, the Youth Wing of the NLD has been reorganized in many townships.

Although the NCGUB perceives these developments to be positive, we also believe that we need to be cautious. This is not the first time the Burmese military has entered into dialogue with its political opponents. In 1962, the Revolutionary Council, which was the first generation of the current military regime, entered into dialogue with all of the country’s armed resistance groups. In 1994, Gen. Than Shwe and Gen Khin Nyunt met Daw Aung San Suu Kyi while she was under house arrest. Most of us are well aware of the failure of previous peace negotiations.

In conjunction with its provision of partial gestures, we should be careful not to miss the fact that the military wooed the international community into lifting sanctions that had been imposed on Burma and warned that any international pressure could undermine the dialogue process. Gen. Khin Nyunt, Secretary (2) of the SPDC, claimed that although the military is committed to democracy , the Western style of democracy doesn’t fit with Burma. The military refuses to yield its philosophy of “disciplined democracy,” or, in other words, “the supremacy of military over the civilian”. Therefore, we feel it necessary to caution the international community that:

•   No one knows the substance of the talks in Rangoon.

•   No official announcement regarding the talks has been made in the Burmese media.

•   The talks are limited - only Daw Aung San Suu Kyi is involved. This is a cause for concern.

•   No substantive political agreements have been reached.

•   No laws have been repealed to ensure that those recently released will not be rearrested.

•   No laws have been enacted to ensure democracy and human rights.

•   Forced labor and forced relocations, with attendant human rights abuses, continue unabated.

•   More than one thousand political prisoners, including elected MPs, continue to languish in jail.

•   The military offensive against ethnic peoples is continuing.

Given these considerations, the international community must be careful not to prematurely relax the existing pressure mechanisms before talks have reached the stage where they become irreversible and have developed into a process of genuine dialogue. The talks cannot be deemed a “dialogue” until the following conditions are fulfilled:

•   The parties are able to talk in freedom as equals;

•   The parties can select their own representatives at the same level;

•   The talks deal with political issues and are not one-sided;

•   There is a facilitator or mediator (ASEAN, UN or otherwise) involved; and

•   The parties make joint statements/declarations.

Given the strengths and weaknesses of key players in Burma, we envisage the following scenarios.

I. A deepening dialogue process and a negotiated political settlement: This is possible if both the military regime and the NLD agree to start substantive negotiations to end the crisis in Burma. The underlying economic and social crisis further erodes the foundation of the regime, and NLD’s call for substantive and meaningful dialogue could win support from some sections of the armed forces. The prevailing conditions in Burma seem to point in this direction, and the NCGUB looks forward to seeing some official announcement from both sides to formalize the talks.

II. Collapse of talks and return to protracted status quo: Conditions surrounding the current talks are fragile, and the possibility of the military retreating to the status quo is very real. This could happen if the military believes that they can recover from the current economic decline if some donors prematurely decide to resume development aid and the generals regain enough confidence to institutionalize military rule.

III. Peoples’ uprising and chaotic violence: This is possible if the SPDC fails to provide basic needs for the people, especially the urban population. Urban rioting will provoke massive suppression by the military.

Violent chaos could follow such uprisings and, in turn, bring about international condemnation of the SPDC. At this point, the general public may wait for the progress of dialogue between the NLD and military authorities, and the breakdown of talks could ignite a public backlash.

Given these possible scenarios, the NCGUB believes that strengthening the current talks is the only desirable scenario for the future of Burma. It is indeed the only feasible way to advance democratization in Burma.

In order to attain the goal of enhancing the dialogue process in Burma, we need to strengthen our diplomatic engagement with key international players and ensure that existing pressure mechanisms are maintained. No international actor should take unilateral initiative without consultation with the Burmese democracy movement. The international community’s strategy should be to support the dialogue process by ensuring that no one ‘gives carrots’ without prior consultation. The timing of when to give a carrot is critical. The international community should take further steps to advance and broaden the talks. SPDC’s adherence to the terms of the consecutive UN resolutions, which were adopted by consensus, and its compliance with ILO requirements regarding the use of forced labor should be the benchmarks in measuring the progress of dialogue.

We also need to promote public visibility, recognition, and support of the dialogue process in Burma by launching common international campaigns. These are the Nobel Laureates Solidarity Campaign; the MP Solidarity Campaign; the Political Party Solidarity Campaign; and the ILO Campaign. Coordination is the key word for the success of our efforts. It can be maximized by common international campaigns as well as by supporting and linking national and regional efforts. We also hope that our support base in the international arena can be expanded through these campaigns and build up a ground for rapid response capability to an emergency crisis situation, if such should happen inside Burma.

Before I conclude, let me express my appreciation and gratitude to all Burma support groups throughout the world for their relentless and selfless efforts over the past 12 years for the restoration of democracy and human rights in Burma. I am sure that your sacrifices and contributions will bear fruit in the near future. Let’s prepare for the worst, but hope for the best.

Thank you.


Appendix 4

The Coming Transition and the National Reconciliation Program/NRP

by Chao-Tzang Yawnghwe

for the International Strategy Meeting on Burma, March 17-19, 2001, Thailand.

The Politics of Identity and the Problem of Reconciliation

The problem of how to reconcile parties in conflict is a most difficult task in politics. This is all the more so when, as in Burma, the conflict is protracted and bitter, and involves severe and protracted repression of the people by a brutal, violent state. Such conflict gives rise to deep alienation and anger on the part of oppressed populace and/or ethnic segments of the population (i.e., repressed ethnic nations).

The problem is further compounded when the state’s unity ideology – its unity formula — is based on the promotion and imposition by the state, as in Burma, of the ethnicity or core identity of one ethnic group – the group’s version of history, its claims of greatness, its culture, religion, language, and so on. Such a unity formula will necessarily de-legitimize, marginalize, and repress the very identity of other ethnic segments, and arouse much anger and resentment. Ethnic segments thus deprived of their rights to “being” as a people or nation will respond to the identity-destroying, destructive state in various ways, including resorting to arms. And what invariably follows is there emerges a culture and “history” of resistance that demonizes the ethnic group whose core values and identity is promoted by the ethnic or ethno-national state, and imposed on other ethnic segments.

In such a conflict situation focused almost exclusively on ethnic identity – the armed or coercive suppression of ethnic identity and the armed assertion of identity – what transpires is that there is extreme polarization. A hard “them against us” mind-frame is established in a zero-sum conflict environment. Generally speaking, the fact that all members of the dominant ethnic segment do not benefit from the ethnic-domination agenda of the ethnic or ethno-nationalistic state, is not recognized. For example, in the Burma arena, all ethnic Burmese or Burman are viewed by the non-Burman segments as evil, brutal “hegemonists” (to coin a word). The conflict is seen or believed as one that is waged between whole peoples, between monolithic entities, for domination, or as the case may be, for survival. This “zero-sum” state of mind is unfortunate, but this cannot however be condemned because it is the product of conflict. Especially salient in this regard is the horrendous suffering inflicted on the oppressed ethnic segment – rapes, pillage, forced dislocation, ethnic-cleansing – which is perpetrated by members of the dominant ethnic group. In Burma, soldiers who commit atrocities are seen first and foremostly by their victims as Burmans, and stereotyped, even, as a typical trait of all Burmans.

To make things more complex – and more difficult in terms of affecting reconciliation — when the struggle (or conflict) is protracted, there develops within ethnic resistance movements fissures, brought about by leadership contests or fights over territory. Mainly, however, intra-ethnic fights are about unity. Unity is defined by ethnic resistance movements or its leaders as all, i.e., everyone, being united under (or submitting to) one leader or to one vanguard organization. Hence, there is an built-in pull toward authoritarianism and a totalizing mind-set, and an intolerance of diversity, which often gives rise to intra-ethnic fights which can be, and often are, brutal and merciless.

The dynamics and imperatives of identity politics is that such politics, one, promote the idea of a nation as a monolithic entity, a view that de-legitimize the natural diversity and plurality of human beings and society. And two, they obscure the reality of politics, what politics is all about — i.e., that at the core of politics is power. That is, that the ethnic domination formula is but one means by which power is maintained by state power-holders is obscured by highly charged and powerful ethno-nationalist sentiments, grievances, fear, and ethnic ambitions and aspirations.

The masking of what politics is all about – that it is about power – in effect makes it easier for those who hold power to divert the attention of their opponents away from the politics of power, and as well to use the preoccupation of the opposition with ethnic identity and the politics of identity, to sow confusion and discord. Also, the cloaking of power and power interest in an ethno-nationalist mantle also enables power-holders to manipulate the emotions of members of the dominant ethnic group, even provide them with a sense of superiority, or false, jingoistic pride.

The Panglong Spirit and the National Reconciliation Prospects

It can be said that the protagonists in Burma are informed in their actions by ethnic anger, fears and aspirations (for domination on the one hand, and freedom and survival on the other). It may even be forcefully and correctly argued that ethnicity, or ethnopolitics is a very salient, if not the main ingredient of politics in Burma.

Nonetheless, the chances for ethnic reconciliation in Burma is not totally negative.

That is – to clarify – although the military has, since 1962, been able to impose its ethno-Burman national unity formula and agenda in Burma by brutally repressing and marginalizing non-Burman ethnic segments — i.e., the ethnic nationalities — it has never been able however to totally ignore a factor which is powerful, even — it might be said — politically hegemonic. Successive military regimes and ruling ethno-Burman generals, including the pre-1988 military dictator, General Ne Win, have been compelled to proclaim especially on Union day – 12th February, the day the Panglong Accord was signed (in 1947) – that Burma is a union of “national races”, founded on the principle of equality and fraternity. In fact, the term in the Burmese language for the nation-state of Burma is Pyidaungzu, the meaning of which is “the coming together of many nation states”.

The Panglong Accord signed eleven months before independence was proclaimed, on January 4th, 1948, is a historically defining political landmark. It signified the joining together of former British possessions (or one might say, “British Indochina”) – Burma Proper (or Ministerial Burma) and the Frontier Areas – to form a new nation-state, the Union of Burma. They joined together as partners in order to speedily obtain independence, or in other words, to become self-determining nations, but to live together under one flag in accordance with the “unity in diversity” principle.

Such being the founding creed of the Union of Burma (or Burma), the 1947 Panglong Accord and the Panglong Spirit still remains for the people of Burma – ethnic Burmese and especially the non-Burman — a powerful ideal, a historically defining goal to strive for. And this is so despite the violence done to the Panglong Spirit by the ethno-Burman militarized state and the rise of strong anti-Burman sentiments on the part of the ethnic nationalities, rooted in their suffering at the hands of the ethno-Burman state and military.

The above is not to say, however, that national reconciliation can be affected effortlessly, or that it is not problematic. Ethnic distrust and resentment and the wrenchingly bitter experience of conflict – a protracted war fuelled by highly charged and narrowly focused ethnonational sentiments of anger and pain cannot be turned off at will like water from a tap.

Ethno-nationalist anger, resentment, fear, and aspirations, born out of a violent and protracted conflict and fuelled by brutal military repression, is a very powerful force, and induces in the oppressed a will to fight, to keep on fighting, no matter how non viable such a course may be.

In the Burma context, the embededness of ethno-nationalism in the political domain is unfortunate because there are currently signs of change, and it will not be long before the militarized state of the ethno-Burman military will have to go the way of all ancien regimes. Even the more powerful, more sophisticated military-authoritarian states – Suharto’s Indonesia, for example — have been pushed out. It might be assessed that the fading away of military authoritarian regimes is owed, among other factors, to a new configuration of global forces and interests that look at and assess the world and politics in ways different from what it was barely two decades ago.

The world where authoritarian rulers and dictators are needed and nutured by superpower patrons has ended. Those days are gone.

Today, the world is ruled by market forces, guided by elements that are only marginally concerned with the interests of states and nations, and to whom political boundaries are not very meaningful. The need or preference of powerful global players nowadays is for governments that will not obstruct, but promote the free flow across national borders of capital, trade, information, and skills.

Burma too will have to change, to flow with the global trend sooner than later, and change it will. The central question facing Burma and its people is therefore what kind of political life and mode of governance will there be in a country freed from lawless tyranny, or in the wake the change which must, and will, come.

With the military greatly discredited and probably in increasing disarray, and the likelihood that it will return to the barracks sooner or later, a question that must be seriously pondered is whether Burma will descent into a Bosnia-like hell, as currently argued by the military junta?

To be frank, neighboring states – ASEAN governments especially, including Thailand, perhaps – do not think that Burma can survive without the iron hands of the military, no matter how brutal, at the helm. Because of the pervasiveness – as perceived by neighboring leaders — of irreconcilable “ethnic” conflict in Burma, and the dynamics of “ethnic” wars and “ethnic” hatred, there is very little faith placed in the ability of the people of Burma to govern themselves democratically and peacefully, or importantly, to “keep the country together”, or prevent the disintegration of the nation.

The NRP/National Reconciliation Program

There is indeed much reason for deep pessimism regarding Burma’s future – even after a democratic transition — because the combination of awakened ethnic nationalism and anger on the part of the ethnic nationalities, and the hurt ethnic pride on the part of some Burman (ethnic Burmese) elite elements, is a dangerous volatile brew. This is a serious problem which a democracy, if it comes, cannot handle (at least on the short term), and this is all the more so in an anarchic environment created by the long years of corrupt and lawless military rule.

It is with above problem in mind that the National Reconciliation Program/NRP was created in 1999 by independent pro-democracy organizations — like, for example, the Euro-Burma Office and The Burma Fund, with strong support from the National Coalition Government of the Union of Burma/NCGUB.

The NRP’s central task is to prepare pro-democracy opposition groups, both the ethnic nationalities and ethnic Burmese (Burman), for a democratic transition through dialogue, and for life after years of long military rule and control. The program is focused composed has three inter-connected and related components: consultation, capacity-building, and conflict resolution.

Operation-wise, the NRP’s task is to,

•           ONE, facilitate the implementation of the United Nations General Assembly resolutions which call for a Tripartite Dialogue;

•           TWO, facilitate the empowerment of the ethnic nationalities to decide their own future;

•           THREE, facilitate inter-ethnic and intra-ethnic consultations on wide-ranging issues and problems;

•           FOUR, facilitate preparations to achieve the political structures desired by the people;

•           FIVE, create conditions that will safeguard future democratic structures and build sustainable democracy; and

•           SIX, link available resources, in terms of expertise and fund (from interested institutions), with the needs in the field.

As the name implies the NRP is a program, not an organization. It is a facilitating body. Structurally, it is composed of three bodies: a Secretariat (a clearing house), an Advisory team, and a Facilitating team/FT made up of individual leaders possessing a good track record and a wide network of contacts within the democracy movement.

The achievements of the NRP within a short span of one year are as below: :

•           facilitating political consultations among and between ethnic nationalities leaders and organizations (i.e., the Chin, Karen, Shan, Mon Karenni, Chin, and ethnic Burmese consultations);

•           assisting ethnic nationalities in consulting about and discussing state constitutions and in the formation of constitution drafting commissions (namely, for the Shan, Mon, Karen, Chin, and Karenni States);

•           assisting in the establishment of women and youth groups and organizations and facilitating workshops and relevant activities on a multi-ethnic basis, geared to building capacity and resolving conflicts;

•           organizing transition-dialogue workshops and seminars for top ethnic nationalities leaders and top cadres in conjunction with international bodies like Sweden-based IDEA;

•           assisting in the publication of papers and booklets on constitutional matters and related issues, and important political events in Burma; and

•           assisting in the re-formation of the United Nationalities League for Democracy/UNLD, a front of ethnic nationalities political parties which participated in the 1990 elections, and together with the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy/ SNLD, won 67 parliamentary seats.

It might therefore be said that a step in the right direction has been taken to affect reconcilation and resolve political conflict in Burma, a conflict that involves the brutal, violent repression by the militarized ethno-Burman state of the rights and liberties of all the people of Burma, with the ethnic nationalities being especially targeted.

The Role of the friends of Democratic Burma

It might at this juncture be said that basic, perhaps very rudimentary, preparations have been in made to affect ethnic reconciliation in Burma and for the country’s transition from lawless misrule to democratic governance based on the rule of law. It is a small start of a giant step, but as they say, the devil lies in the details.

As such, the democracy movement needs as much help it can get from friends of democracy, activists, support groups, pro-democracy grassroots movements, international and national institutions, humanitarian and human development foundations, sympathetic national leaders, and democratic governments.

As stated earlier, there is much to hope for, and to be optimistic about although the conflict in Burma has given birth to angry ethno-nationalist sentiments and a mind-set that is welded to violence (albeit in reaction to state terror and brutal repression). The good news is that except for a thin sliver of extremist elements, significant ethnic nationalities leaders and organization have not given up on the Panglong Spirit. The Panglong Spirit is – one might say – bloody but unbowed.

Now that talks – presumably very serious talks — have been initiated in Rangoon between the ruling generals and Daw Aung San Suukyi, one might assume that real dialogue – a tripartite dialogue — that is inclusive and democratic is not too far away.

If there is a dialogue, a genuine one, leading to the full and free participation of all stakeholders in a democratic and united multi-ethnic Union of Burma, it is quite likely that common sense will prevail since this mental quality is possessed in abundance, not by the elites and the privileged, but by ordinary men and women, who desire nothing more than to lead ordinary, mundane lives. It is also likely that ethnic nationalities leaders have acquired the patience and enough skills to negotiate the legitimate rights of their respective nations and to participate positively and fruitfully in a democratic arena.

Importantly, however, in a period of transition, when ordinary men and women are faced with the very daunting, seemingly hopeless, task of picking up the shattered pieces of their broken lives, this is precisely the time for international friends of Burma and democracy activists to mobilize. In this regard, it is hoped that the attention of the international community and friends of democracy world-wide will be focused on helping the people, not only to rebuild their shattered lives, but to facilitate in their empowerment.

The empowerment of the people is vital for the sustainability of democracy. Democratic empowerment of the people is as well vital to the burial of the violent, demented ghost of ethno-national sentiments and the conflicts they induce, and to putting an end to the divisive, irrational, and totalizing ethnopolitics of identity. The reason for saying this is that power, if it is concentrated in the hands of the state, or “belongs” only to the privileged, it becomes a poisonous substance that kills the people rendered powerless and voiceless by a political power which is lawless and unaccountable. And in a situation where the people are without power, the games played by the powerful to maintain and keep power can be, and is, obscured from view, and they – the ordinary folks — are thus misled into fighting, dying, and suffering for goals that are long on promise and short on delivery.

There are certainly a lot of ways the international community and world-wide supporters of democracy can do to help the people of Burma, if there is a clear focus and strong determination on their part to help the people create an environment that will allow them to re-join the normal world as normal people. And this should be the central focus of those who empathise with the plight of the people of Burma and wish to make a big difference in their lives.

END


Appendix 5

ICFTU: Election of Burmese official as Chair of Major UN Committee

The rewarding of Burma by giving one of its senior diplomats the Chair of a major United Nations Committee sends the pariah regime a signal that the UN is not concerned about the country’s persistent use of slave labor, and that this can continue free from official sanction.

The election of Mya Than, Burma’s Permanent Representative to the UN in Geneva, as Chairperson of the UN General Assembly’s First Committee (of Disarmament and international Security) sends a message to the world that despite the condemnation by UN bodies, including the UN Commission on Human Rights and the International Labor Organization (ILO) because of its violations of international human rights standards, Burma has received the UN’s official blessing.

We find it extraordinary that while on the one hand a number of UN bodies adopt strongly-worded Resolutions condemning Burma’s military junta’s human rights record, on the other the Organisation agrees to the election of the same regime’s senior official as Chairman to another section of the UN. Does this mean that the UN ignores the recommendations of its own bodies? Or does it mean that the Member States, who after all elected Mr. Mya Than to the General Assembly post, pay no attention to what they decide in other UN meetings ?

After strong condemnation of Burma’s military regime at the International Labor Conference in June, the ILO governing body is expected to adopt a series of measures this November towards Burma, including calling on all relevant UN agencies to reconsider, within their terms of reference and, if appropriate, to cease as soon as possible any activity that could have the effect of directly or indirectly abetting the practice of forced or compulsory labour.

The election of the Burmese representative in the same week that the Burmese military government has been condemned internationally for its continual harassment of The National League for Democracy, and its leader Aung San Suu Kyi is all the more bizarre.

In addition, Mya Than cannot be considered blameless in the military regime’s history of enslaving the population, as he has held a number of senior positions in his country’s government.



Appendix 6

Index of Economic Freedom for Burma 2001

Each year, based on libertarian ideological premises, the Heritage Foundation calculates an index of economic freedom for each country.1  Each county is accorded a score from 1 to 5, with 5 being the least free economic system. Burma received a score of 4.20 placing it in the repressive category and giving it a rank of 145 out of 155 countries. The purpose of this note is to briefly criticise some of the analysis as it fails to account for the link between human rights abuses and the economic ‘policy’ of the SPDC. A truly libertarian philosophy would take account of state sanctioned violations of ‘freedom.’

Categories Used to Calculate Index of Economic Freedom
and Score / Burma 2001

                           Trade Policy      5 – Stable (Very high level of protectionism)

                     Fiscal Burden of
                           Government      2 – Stable (Low cost of government)

                Govt. Intervention in
                          the Economy      3 – Stable (Moderate level)

                      Monetary Policy      5 – Stable (Very high level of inflation)

                      Capital Flows &
                Foreign Investment      5 – Worse (Very high barriers)

             Banking and Finance      4 – Stable (High level of restrictions)

                 Wages and Prices      4 – Stable (High level of intervention)

                      Property Rights      4 – Stable (Low level of protection)

                              Regulation      5 – Stable (Very high level)

                           Black Market      5 – Stable (Very high level of activity)

The assessment of the fiscal burden of the government is based on a number of sub-categories including:

•           Government expenditures: 1 Stable (very low level of government expenditure)

•           Income and corporate taxation: 2.5 Stable (moderate tax rates)

Even if we leave aside issues of limited government expenditure being a reflection of economic freedom, an important oversight of the foundation is the real expenditure on the military as a percentage of GDP. An inclusion of the real expenditure of the regime on this sector would provide a more realistic assessment of the fiscal burden. The moderate rating for taxation ignores the ‘tax’ collection methods of the SPDC, which includes the arbitrary collection of taxation by military units. This includes the direct theft of property, livestock, money and food. The other most important form of ‘taxation’ imposed to support the state centred development projects of the regime is forced labour. If the monetary value of forced labour was included in the calculation of taxation then real tax rates would be much higher. The exclusion of these hidden expenditures and taxes means that the Heritage Foundation fails to note some of real fiscal burdens imposed on the people of Burma. The inclusion of these expenditures and taxes would even be within the ideological framework of the foundation.

The other criticism centres on the assessment of government intervention in the economy. The heritage foundation seems to be more interested in measures of government expenditure, consumption and revenues from state-owned enterprises than in the reality of intervention. The widespread theft, appropriation of land and livelihood should count as greater measures of economic intervention than government expenditure as a percentage of GDP. A fuller account of government intervention would hardly score Burma as having only a moderate level of intervention.2 


Footnotes

1 Note you have to be arrested before you can be released.

2The helicopter crash occurred in February, which is after the period covered by this report.

3 Myanmar Times January 2001

4 The five-fold pay increase in July for military personnel and civil servants was amended for junior officers so that at least half their ‘increased’ salary is tied up in bank accounts as forced savings.

5 DVB 18 January

6 The first visit by Razali Ismail was in July 2000 not long after his appointment.

7 New Straits Times 29th January.

8 Kyemon 18 January - Burmese language newspaper.

9 Kyemon 18 January - Burmese language newspaper.

10 Agence France Presse 14 December

11 Trade unions are more likely to respond to the call with the UN agencies continuing to pursue their own organisational agendas with limited accountability.

12 This could also be the reason that the central command’s forced labour ban has not taken root at the regional level. In addition, there are indications that some of the local military commanders are no longer keen to take orders from central command, as they are eager to protect growing business interests including drugs.

13 Chilston I & II. Despite the belief that aid will have a positive impact on the economy, health and education that is held by both sides of Burma’s political divide, evidence suggests a more cautious assessment.

14 Irrawaddy Magazine, October/December

15 Rajsoomer Lallah, “Situation of human rights in Myanmar” UNGA, 55th Session, Item 116(C), 22nd August 2000

16 Report Card: Burma Consequences of Violence, May 2000. ALTSEAN-Burma

17 “Overcrowded Camps Worsen with Baby Boom” Nov 1, 2000

18 UNDCP “World Drug Report 2000” UNDCP, January 2001, p76

19 233 men and 492 women were asked a variety of questions concerning prevention and transmission of HIV.

20 UNDCP “World Drug Report 2000”, UNDCP, January 20001, p.27.

21 ibid

22 U.S. Department of State “Narcotics Control Report: Burma” Bureau for International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs, March 1 2001.

23 SHAN 21 December

24 According to the UNDCP report there was approximately 89,500 hectares under cultivation in 1999 a decline from 130,000 hectares the previous year. The decline in areas under cultivation was due to weather conditions rather than drug eradication policy. The US State Department’s Bureau for International Narcotics and Law Enforcement states that area under cultivation has increased in 2000. The UNDCP has not published figures for this year.

25 ibid, p.35

26 ibid, p.41

27 The triad reputably involved with the UWSA is the 14K whose leaders are Ma “White Powder” Sik-yu and Ng “Limpy Ho” Shek-ho.

28 Bangkok Post 22 December

29 ibid, p.51. This category excludes ecstasy of which Burma is not a major producer.

30 The second largest region for seizures was Europe, with 39.5% of total seizures.

31 ibid, p.54

32 ibid, p.54. Figures for the production of ATS are not available but Burma is widely acknowledged as the major producer in the region. Figures for the production of opiates and cocaine are available due to satellite technology.

33 SHAN 12-19 December. The Shan Herald Agency for News states that it is independent and is not aligned to any military or political group.

34 SHAN 12-19 December

35 The village Nawngwaen is about 4 km northwest of Border Pass-1 and of Loihtwe (Doithuay in Thai) opposite Chiangdao District.

36 SHAN 14 December

37 Bangkok Post 16 December

38 SHAN 7 September

39 NLM 23 July

40 SHAN 13 December

41 The UNDCP with support from the USA and Japan has implemented a ‘development’ project in Wa controlled areas in Northern Shan State.

42 Narcotics Control Report: Burma, 2001.

43 U Sai Lin of the Eastern Shan State Army (ESSA) was listed by the U.S. State Department as a major drug trafficker, but who has now successfully rid the area under his command of opium cultivation. There are no new reports of the ESSA being involved in drug trafficking but their territory is a major drug trafficking route. (See Narcotics Control Report: Burma, 2001)

44 (DVB 27 Dec)

45 Bangkok Post 4 September

46 (Bangkok Post 24 December)

47 SHAN 29 December

48 Bangkok Post 15 December

49 SHAN No.12-25

50 SHAN 24 January

51 SHAN 24 January

52 SHAN 29 December

53 These problems are obviously not confined to the UWSA.

54 SHAN 29 December

55 A pledge was made also made to establish an opium free zone by 2000.

56 DVB 16 November

57 opcit.

58 Bangkok Post 30 November

59 Lt-Col Tin Maung Commander LIB 513, Panglong, Loilem District, Southern Shan State. SHAN 13 Dec

60 DVB 27 November

61 Obviously, there are no independent research institutes in Burma. The historical research institute is part of a series of centres set up by South East Asian Ministers of Education (SEAMEO) whose mandate is to present the history and traditions of SE Asia from a ‘regional’ perspective and develop educational curricula reflecting this perspective.

62 U Aung Ko Win is the alias of Saya Kyaung. Burma Courier 17-23 December

63 Bangkok Post 18 December

64 AP 14 November

65 Reuters 11 December

66 NLM 22 December

67 Le Courrier/Liberte (Switzerland) 16 December

68 Bangkok Post 24 December

69 FEER 7 December

70 Bangkok Post 24 December

71 Thai officials have accused China of also being behind the relocation of the Wa from the Chinese border to the Thai border. They were accused of trying to shift the drug problem away from China. See previous Report Card.

72 AP 11 Jan; AFP 12 January

73 Nation 13 January. Tachilek is a border town located inside Burma.

74 AP 11 January

75 For alternative perspectives that are supported by analysis and evidence – Food Scarcity in Burma, World Bank Report on Burma, WHO World Health Report 2000. There are many other publications by reputable organisations and individuals that provide similar assessments that Abel’s comments are almost delusionary.

76 US Commercial Service Report, September 2000.

77 AP 30 September and ibid.

78 “Minister claims 11% growth” Myanmar Times, 12 January.

79 International Monetary Fund, Myanmar Statistical Appendix, IMF Country Report No. 01/18, January 2001.

80 This data is from official SPDC figures.

81 Total Approved = USD 4,607.8m; Total Actual = USD 2,764.9 m

82 In the previous 5 years total actual FDI is larger than total approved. This shows that much of the actual investment that has taken place in the last 5 years was approved prior to 1995/96. This reflects the completion of the gas pipeline projects.

83 In 1997/98 274.9m was approved compared with 15.5m in 1999/00. The amount disbursed in 1997/98 was 172m compared with 10.5m in 1999/00.

84 Unocal is a partner in the Yadana project (28.26% equity) along with Total (31.4%), PTTEP (25.5%) and MOGE (15%). Premier Oil is the operator and largest shareholder in the Yetagun pipeline.

85 Sanctions applied by the United States allows approved investments to be disbursed.

86 In the last 5 years only 28.8% of approved FDI from Malaysia has been disbursed. Only 20.45% of approved FDI from Thailand has been disbursed.

87 In September the Kyat was about 400 to the US$ but by December was more than K435 to the USD. By March 2001, it had reached 500.

88 See previous Report Card.

89 An import quota is either a monetary limit or quantity limit on the amount of imports.

90 DVB 14 September.

91 “Trade plummets at key checkpoint on Thai-Myanmar Border” 12 December, AP.

92 The average tariff is already estimated at around 50.7%. The usual argument for tariffs is the protection of local industries or their promotion. Tariffs in Burma’s context are useless as there are virtually no local industries and promotion of local industry is impossible in the current state of crisis. The only impact of tariffs is an increase in the prices of all goods and services, further fuelling inflation. The average tariff rate is calculated as total tax on international trade as a percentage of total imports. The measure of taxes includes a calculation for licences, bans and quotas.

93 As this report goes to print an announcement was made that Japan is to recommence ODA loans.

94 “Japan to work out Myanmar reforms within two years” Agence France Presse, 5 December 2000.

95 Japan’s overseas aid program rarely even bothers to pay lip service to issues of development in the recipient countries being directed at furthering Japanese foreign policy and business interests. Its aid program is directed towards the SE Asian region. This is not to say that Western countries aid program is not based on self-interest but in Burma’s case some of these countries have displayed some concern for human rights abuses. This is may be because of Burma’s lack of economic and strategic importance for these countries.

96 “Tokyo slates meeting with Burma” The Japan Times, 1 December 2000.

97 UNDP, “Human Development Report 2000”

98 Rajsoomer Lallah, op cit.

99 “Interview with the Secretary No.1 of the State Peace and Development Council Lt-General Khin Nyunt” Myanmar Times 15-21 January 2001.

100 Information Sheet, “E-Education System Launched in Myanmar” No. B-1664 (I) 1 Jan 2001

101 This is the historical institute that recently received donations from the UWSA.

102 New Light of Myanmar, 14 December.

103 DVB October

104 Nation 17 October

105 NCGUB News Desk 23 October

106 Jane’s Defence Weekly, “Myanmar academy triples cadet intake” 22 November 2000.

107 Special Rapporteur on Myanmar: Report to UNGA 2000

108 Compiled by the Federation of Trade Unions- Burma, “Forced Labour in Burma (Myanmar): Violations after the 88th International Labour Conference Geneva, June 2000.

109 SHAN 9 November

110 ILO Press Release, Thursday 19 October 2000.

111 ILO Press Release, Friday 17 November 2000.

112 Agence France 17 November

113 See Landmine Monitor Burma/Myanmar, Burma: Landmine Monitor Report 2000, International Campaign to Ban Landmines.

114 See the drugs section for coverage of events in Shan State which have been the dominant issue for ethnic relations, at least in terms of news coverage in this period.

115 UNGA, “UNGA Resolution 2000” 55th Session, Third Committee, Agenda Item 114 (c).

116 AP 16 Jan

117 FEER 1 February

118 AFP 3 January

119 Bangkok Post 9 January

120 Bangkok Post 9 January

121 DVB 1 January

122 FEER 1 February

123 ibid.

124 For a report on the incident at Dala Township see the previous report card, “Stand Off”.

125 Dr. Myo Aung is Daw Aung San Suu Kyi physician and U Soe Myint is a Central Executive Member of the NLD.

126 Irrawaddy 28 September

127 These organisations include the Union Solidarity and Development Association, the Myanmar Red Cross, Fire Brigade, military intelligence and the police.

128 Irrawaddy 28 September

129 SMH 28 September

130 SMH 28 September

131 Irrawaddy 28 September

132 SMH 28 September

133 NLM/Information Sheet, 25 September

134 The Mirror 25 September

135 At least the CEC have the ‘privilege of being regularly released unlike most of the other political prisoners.

136 Note this is the same day that U Tin Oo is released from house arrest.

137 The visits by the UN Special Envoy Razali Ismail are discussed in the first section entitled, ‘Dialogue.’

138 In early October following the European Union, both Switzerland and Liechtenstein imposed sanctions on Burma. Both countries, will expel all military personnel attached to Burma’s embassies, impose an arms embargo, suspend all non-humanitarian aid, freeze all bank accounts and impose a visa ban on senior SPDC officials.

139 Reuters 16 October

140 AFP 16 January

141 Mahathir has also lost international credibility with his handling of criticism that emanated from his former deputy Anwair Ibrahim.

142 Mahathir is one of the few world leaders who would vacation in Burma without embarrassment.

143 Malaysian entrepreneurs are already renting agricultural land from the SPDC for agricultural plantations.

144 New Straits Times, 29 January

145 New Straits Times, 29 January

146 It is not clear, if the EU had been informed of the ‘dialogue’, prior to the meeting. Dialogue began sometime in October but an official announcement was not made until the 9 January.

147 The last EU mission went to Burma in July 1999.

148 AP 12 December

149 ibid

150 ibid

151 AFP 10 October

152 AFP 16 January

153 New Light of Myanmar 29 January

154 An important development in relations between Thailand is the build up of SPDC and Wa soldiers on the border. This build-up is linked to the drug trade and ethnic conflict so these developments are covered in the section on drugs and ethnic relations in this report.

155 Often these are the same people.

156 Bangkok Post 30 January

157 ibid

158 He was a contender for the post of Foreign Minister. Bangkok Post 25 January

159 FEER 22 February

160 Bangkok Post 12 December

161 The Vice-president, Dick Cheney was once the CEO of Halliburton, which has subsidiaries that were involved in the construction of the Yadana and Yetagun pipelines.

162 Special Rapporteurs are independent experts whose mandate is to present reports to the UN Commission on Human Rights which then decides to take further action.

163 “UN special rapporteur on Myanmar resigns citing a lack of support” AFP 3 November

164 AFP 3 November

165 Zhong Hua Ribao 27 November - A Chinese language newspaper published in Thailand.

166 Bangkok Post 18 December. The reference to Burmese nationals is purposeful as the SPDC does not recognize the Rohingya as an ethnic group of Burma. Presumably this also means, the Karen, whom the SPDC do not consider as ‘real refugees’ because of their long struggle for independence, classifying them as insurgents or terrorists.

167 AP 14 December

168 Bangkok Post 13 December

169 Maybe the DKBA has been recently reading William Morris with their visions of a collectivist utopia.

170 Bangkok Post 13 December

171 ibid

172 Muslim Information Centre of Burma 13 January

173 Mizzima New Group 9 December

174 The previous report card noted the forced repatriation of Chin refugees back to Burma from India.

175 AFP 14 December

176 Mercury News 23 January

177There is widespread unemployment and underemployment in Burma. Even, if workers are willing to accept lower wage levels in Burma, employment may not even be obtainable.

178 162 baht per day

179 Samut Sakhon is a province next to Bangkok.

180 TACDB November 2000

181 Most of this section is based on a press release by the Burma Labour Solidarity Organization 19 December 2000.

182 DVB 25 November

183 BLSO 19 December

184 Muslim Information Centre 13 Jan.

185 This is not the place for a fuller assessment of the philosophical premises of the US foundation.

186 These comments do not imply that Burma’s rank would be altered as if these shortcomings would likely apply to a range of other countries.