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Burma Related News - July 17, 2003.



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BURMA RELATED NEWS - July 17, 2003.

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HEADLINES

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AFP - US lawmakers send Myanmar sanctions bill to White House for signing

AFP - UN chief calls for release of Myanmar's Aung San Suu Kyi

AFP - Bush eager to sign Myanmar sanctions bill

Reuters - Annan Tells Myanmar Envoy: Release Suu Kyi

Reuters - Thais propose ''road map'' for democracy in Myanmar

AP - U.N.: Release Myanmar Opposition Head

AP - U.N. chief expresses concern at imprisonment of Myanmar opposition

Asia Pulse - Asean Economic Ministers Agree to Form Sectoral Task Forces

Chandigarh - Myanmar to Mohali, ?missing? officer is home

Washington File - Bush Applauds Congress for Passing Burmese Freedom and Democracy Act

Daily Times - Myanmar opposition paralysed after arrest of Aung San Suu Kyi

Bkk Post - Thaksin fears fallout from US sanctions

Bkk Post - Troops tell Red Wa to leave

Bkk Post - Agreement to increase cooperation

BBC News - Burma under further pressure

Asia Times - A WTO trick up Yangon's sleeve

Kyodo News - Myanmar official may attend informal dinner of ASEM confab

Kyodo News - Kawaguchi calls for dispatch of ASEAN mission on Suu Kyi

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Thursday July 17, 4:15 PM
US lawmakers send Myanmar sanctions bill to White House for signing

WASHINGTON, July 17 (AFP) -The US Senate gave final approval to legislation imposing sanctions on Myanmar's ruling military junta, and was to send the bill to US President George W. Bush, who said he was eager to sign it.

The Burmese Freedom and Democracy Act of 2003, passed in the Senate Wednesday by a vote of 94-1, authorizes Bush to aid Myanmar's democracy activists, impose trade restrictions, freeze the regime's financial assets in US banks, and impose a visa ban on regime members seeking to enter the United States.

A White House statement said Bush looked forward to signing the bill.

"This legislation sends a clear message to the Burmese regime that their continued detention of Nobel Peace Laureate Aung San Suu Kyi and their assaults on freedom cannot stand," said Scott McClellan.

The legislation seeks to punish the ruling junta for its recent crack-down on pro-democracy groups and its detention on May 30 of opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi.

The author of the bill, Senator Mitch McConnell, applauded the US Congress for the legislation's speedy passage and said he hoped it would trigger the start of the dictatorship's demise.

"Democracy and the rule of law will prevail in Burma," the Kentucky Republican said.

"We must never tire in the pursuit of justice in long-suffering Burma until Suu Kyi is free and the struggle for freedom won."

Aung San Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy (NLD) won 1990 elections in a landslide but has never been allowed to take power.

Myanmar is facing increased pressure to release the Nobel peace laureate who was taken into "protective custody" after clashes broke out during a political tour of northern Myanmar in May, when hundreds of pro-junta militants attacked her supporters. Dissidents say dozens were killed in the violence.

Myanmar's ruling generals have extended their crack-down to leaders of the NLD.

Myanmar's junta has accused the democracy activists of inciting the clashes, saying Aung San Suu Kyi had been temporarily detained for her own safety.

She has been moved from Yangon's notoriously tough Insein prison to an undisclosed location.

Shortly after the Senate vote, UN Secretary General Kofi Annan emerged from a meeting with Myanmar deputy foreign minister U Khin Maung Win to urge the speedy release of Aung San Suu Kyi.

"I have given him a message for General Than Shwe, basically telling him I would expect them to release Aung San Suu Kyi as soon as possible and that they are responsible for the protection and safety of Aung San Suu Kyi and members of her party," Annan told reporters.

The Senate vote came one day after the US House of Representatives voted 418-2 to approve the measures.

The regime in Yangon condemned that vote, calling the move to tighten economic sanctions "weapons of mass destruction" that would create havoc.

A regime spokesman said in a statement titled "Sanctions Used as Weapons of Mass Destruction" that the measures would deprive people of job opportunities and hurt health care and education in the impoverished nation.

"Sanctions, in short, are imposed on target countries by the rich and powerful nations mainly with the intention to create havoc and bring hardship on the mass population," he said.

Last week the junta sent Bush a petition signed by 350,000 textile workers appealing against the ban, which the Myanmar Times said would threaten annual exports worth 356 million dollars, mostly in the textile sector.

Both Canada and the European Union have imposed tighter sanctions on Myanmar, while the country's largest donor Japan has suspended new economic aid.

An official with the Washington-based Free Burma coalition called the Senate vote "a huge step in the right direction, and that direction is regime change in Burma."

But he said the regime would only rethink its policies if nations around the world join the sanctions.

"A change in Burma is going to happen if there's multilateral pressure in place," said Jeremy Woodrun, director of the group.

"The next move is to press hard for the United Nations Security Council to take up the issue of Burma."

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Thursday July 17, 10:49 AM
UN chief calls for release of Myanmar's Aung San Suu Kyi

UNITED NATIONS, July 16 (AFP) - UN Secretary General Kofi Annan called on Myanmar's military rulers to release pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi.

The UN chief said he sent the message to General Than Shwe through the deputy foreign minister U Khin Maung Win, whom he met on Wednesday.

"I have given him a message for General Than Shwe, basically telling him I would expect them to release Aung San Suu Kyi as soon as possible and that they are responsible for the protection and safety of Aung San Suu Kyi and members of her party," Annan told reporters.

Speaking after a Security Council meeting, Annan said that Aung San Suu Kyi has indicated that she is prepared to hold talks with the ruling junta.

"She has indicated she is prepared to resume dialogue and, she said this to my envoy, so I hope the government would accept the challenge and proceed with dialogue," he said.

Myanmar was not on the agenda for the council meeting, but US ambassador to the United Nations John Negroponte said that this issue was discussed.

"We expressed our concern on the situation in Burma," he said.

Aung San Suu Kyi won 1990 elections in a landslide but has never been allowed to take power.

Myanmar has come under mounting pressure to release Suu Kyi, who has been honored with a Nobel Peace Prize for her pro-democracy activism.

Annan spoke shortly after the US Senate approved a measure that would impose sanctions on the country's military rulers

US President George W. Bush has indicated that he will sign the bill into law, thus imposing trade restrictions, freezing the regime's financial assets in US banks, and installing a visa ban on regime members seeking to enter the United States.

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Thursday July 17, 7:10 AM
Bush eager to sign Myanmar sanctions bill

WASHINGTON, July 16 (AFP) -US President George W. Bush looks forward to signing newly passed legislation imposing sanctions on Myanmar's ruling military junta, White House spokesman Scott McClellan said.

"This legislation sends a clear message to the Burmese regime that their continued detention of Nobel Peace Laureate Aung San Suu Kyi and their assaults on freedom cannot stand," he said in a statement.

The Burmese Freedom and Democracy Act of 2003 authorizes Bush to provide aid to Myanmar's democracy activists, impose trade restrictions, freeze the regime's financial assets in US banks, and install a visa ban on regime members seeking to enter the United States.

The legislation, which the US president has said he would sign, was introduced to punish the junta for its recent crackdown on pro-democracy groups and its detention on May 30 of opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi.

"The president applauds today's passage of the Burmese Freedom and Democracy Act by the Congress, and he looks forward to signing it into law," said McClellan.

The measure "is intended to focus the world's attention on the Burmese regime's continuing oppression of its people. The United States fully supports the Burmese people in their struggle for democracy," the spokesman said.

Aung San Suu Kyi won 1990 elections in a landslide but has never been allowed to take power.

Myanmar has come under mounting pressure to release Aung San Suu Kyi, who has been honored with a Nobel Peace Prize for her pro-democracy activism.

She was taken into "protective custody" after clashes broke out during a political tour of northern Myanmar last May, when her supporters were attacked by hundreds of members of a pro-junta organization. Dissidents say dozens were killed in the violence.

Myanmar's ruling generals also have cracked down on her National League for Democracy (NLD), arresting an unknown number of its members.

Myanmar's junta has said the democracy activists were responsible for inciting the clashes and that Aung San Suu Kyi had been temporarily detained for her own safety.

After being held for a while at Yangon's notoriously tough Insein prison, she is now being held at an undisclosed location.

The Senate approved the legislation in a 94-1 vote just a day after the US House of Representatives passed it by a 418 to 2 margin.

The regime in Yangon on Wednesday condemned that vote, calling the move to tighten economic sanctions "weapons of mass destruction" that would create havoc.

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Annan Tells Myanmar Envoy: Release Suu Kyi
Wed Jul 16, 8:12 PM ET
By Irwin Arieff

UNITED NATIONS (Reuters) - Myanmar's military rulers must quickly free pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi, U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan told an envoy from the reclusive Southeast Asian nation on Wednesday.

The envoy, Myanmar Deputy Foreign Minister Khin Maung Win, met with Annan at U.N. headquarters as part of a drive by the Yangon government to counter global criticism of its detention of Suu Kyi, 58, who was arrested on May 30 and has since been held in an undisclosed location.

Annan said he gave the envoy a message for junta leader Than Shwe, "telling him that I would expect them to release Aung San Suu Kyi as soon as possible, and that they are responsible for (her) protection and safety."

"I also indicated that really the best way to move forward is to resume dialogue," Annan told reporters, adding that Suu Kyi had already indicated she was prepared to resume negotiations with the government.

The envoy, in turn, delivered a message from his government seeking to explain its detention of Suu Kyi, Annan said.

The United Nations has pushed hard for national reconciliation and a shift to democracy in Myanmar.

But its military rulers have accused international governments of meddling in its internal affairs and have warned of instability if Western-style democracy was imposed.

Speaking ahead of his meeting with the envoy, Annan said some governments were "becoming quite exercised" by the continued detention of Suu Kyi, a Nobel laureate who was once again taken into custody following a clash between supporters and pro-government groups during a tour outside the capital.

Her party, the National League for Democracy, won 1990 elections in Myanmar but has never been allowed to take power.

The U.S. Congress on Wednesday cleared legislation closing the U.S. market to imports from Myanmar, sending the measure to the desk of President Bush for his signature.

But Annan said it was premature to talk about Security Council sanctions on Myanmar, formerly known as Burma. "This is not an item on the council's agenda," he said.

Diplomats said the United States would like Security Council action but China and Mexico, among others, are wary.

Washington raised the issue in the council for the first time on Wednesday, during a closed-door meeting but did not push for council intervention.

U.S. Ambassador John Negroponte said afterward he expressed concern over Suu Kyi's detention, the shuttering of her party's offices and the circumstances of her arrest.

French Ambassador Jean-Marc de la Sabliere and British Ambassador Jeremy Greenstock, however, set the stage for the issue to come up again in the council, asking that Annan's special envoy for Myanmar brief them the next time he was in New York, diplomats said.

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Thais propose ''road map'' for democracy in Myanmar
By Dan Eaton

BANGKOK, July 17 (Reuters) -  Thailand has proposed a ''road map'' for democratic change in military-run Myanmar and spoke out on Thursday against U.S. plans to impose stiffer sanctions on its impoverished Southeast Asian neighbour.

Myanmar detained opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi in late May, marking the start of a fresh crackdown on dissent, and has shrugged off mounting pressure to release her.

Thai Foreign Minister Surakiart Sathirathai said plans by the Bush administration to ban imports from Myanmar -- ruled by the military for the past four decades -- would not hurt the junta. ''Thailand disagrees with the U.S. sanctions on Myanmar because it will not hurt the government but the poor,'' Surakiart told reporters. ''There will also be more illegal labour flooding to Thailand.''

The U.S. Congress on Wednesday cleared legislation closing the U.S. market to imports from Myanmar, sending the bill to the desk of President George W. Bush for his signature.

Surakiart said Bangkok had proposed a plan for a transition to democracy in Myanmar in a series of recent meetings with the junta.

''Thailand has already proposed a road map for Myanmar and its direction towards democracy and we have discussed it with them,'' Surakiart said, but declined to give details.

''Its up to Myanmar to decide how they want to do it, but Thailand's road map is very practical. This road map is based on a common basis for national reconciliation in Myanmar.''

Surakiart said Bangkok would ''like to see a clear cut plan that Myanmar announces to the the world on its process to democracy, when it will release Suu Kyi and when it will have a constitution.''

ANNAN

U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan told an envoy from the reclusive nation on Wednesday that it must quickly free Suu Kyi and said he held the junta responsible for her wellbeing.

Suu Kyi's party, the National League for Democracy, won 1990 elections by a landslide but has never been allowed to take power. She has spent much of the past 14 years in detention.

Suu Kyi and two dozen top party officials were detained on May 30 after a bloody clash between pro-junta groups and her supporters while she was visiting the north of the country.

Witnesses to the clash who have since fled to Thailand say Suu Kyi's convoy was attacked by club-wielding thugs, resulting in dozens of deaths.

The junta denies orchestrating the violence and says four people were killed.

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U.N.: Release Myanmar Opposition Head
Wed Jul 16,11:35 PM ET
By JESSICA VASCELLARO, Associated Press Writer

UNITED NATIONS - U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan called on Myanmar's leaders to immediately release opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi.

He did not rule out the possibility of U.N. sanctions to pressure the country's military government for her release. Any U.N. sanctions on Myanmar, however, would have to be approved by the Security Council, and Annan said Wednesday the issue is not on its agenda yet.

The secretary-general issued a strong statement and spoke to reporters after meeting Myanmar's Deputy Foreign Minister Khin Maung Win and his special envoy, Razali Ismail, the only foreigner to have met with Suu Kyi since her May 30 arrest.

"I remain convinced that the only way to build durable peace in Myanmar is to release the detainees, ensure their political freedoms, and begin substantive dialogue with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi immediately," Annan said in the statement. "To that end, I requested that the government take the initiative and meet with her."

Annan said he had no immediate plans to take the Myanmar issue to the Security Council, but "I'm not saying it's excluded."

"I think all things are going to be on the table very soon, but I have sent a message to Gen. Than Shwe," he said.

Earlier, when asked about sanctions, Annan said, "It is a bit premature for me to say that it is a possibility. But I know that some governments are becoming quite exercised by developments in Myanmar."

U.S. Ambassador John Negroponte told reporters he raised concerns in the council Wednesday about Suu Kyi's detention.

The U.S. Congress on Wednesday sent to President Bush  legislation to impose economic sanctions against Myanmar, also known as Burma, to protest the detention.

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U.N. chief expresses concern at imprisonment of Myanmar opposition

UNITED NATIONS (AP) - U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan called on Myanmar's leaders to immediately release opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi.

He did not rule out the possibility of U.N. sanctions to pressure the country's military government for her release. Any U.N. sanctions on Myanmar, however, would have to be approved by the Security Council, and Annan said Wednesday the issue is not on its agenda yet.

Annan issued a strong statement and spoke to reporters after meeting Myanmar's Deputy Foreign Minister Khin Maung Win and his special envoy, Razali Ismail, the only foreigner to have met with Suu Kyi since her May 30 arrest.

``I remain convinced that the only way to build durable peace in Myanmar is to release the detainees, ensure their political freedoms, and begin substantive dialogue with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi immediately,'' Annan said in the statement. ``To that end, I requested that the government take the initiative and meet with her.''

Annan said he had no immediate plans to take the issue regarding Myanmar, also known as Burma, to the Security Council, but ``I'm not saying it's excluded.''

``I think all things are going to be on the table very soon, but I have sent a message to Gen. Than Shwe,'' Myanmar's junta leader, Annan said.

Earlier, when asked about sanctions, Annan said, ``It is a bit premature for me to say that it is a possibility. But I know that some governments are becoming quite exercised by developments in Myanmar.''

U.S. Ambassador John Negroponte told reporters he raised concerns in the Security Council Wednesday about Suu Kyi's detention.

Annan also expressed ``grave concern about the safety and well-being'' of Suu Kyi and other leaders of her National League for Democracy who have been held incommunicado since May 30.

Annan said Khin, who was sent as a special envoy, delivered ``a very long explanation,'' including photographs, of what happened when Suu Kyi was arrested. He dismissed the idea that the photographs could be ``documentary evidence,'' but gave no other details.

The U.S. Congress on Wednesday sent to President George W. Bush legislation to impose economic sanctions against Myanmar, also known as Burma, to protest the detention.

``The message from the U.S. Congress to the world could not be more clear,'' said Republican Sen. Mitch McConnell before the 94-1 Senate vote in favor of the bill, which the House of Representatives had approved a day ago. ``The assault on freedom in Burma will not stand.''

European nations have taken economic actions against Myanmar, and Japan has announced that it will curtail new aid to the country. But several of Myanmar's neighbors, including China and Thailand, have been criticized for continuing relations with the Yangon government.

Military officials in Myanmar lashed out Wednesday against the United States for moving toward sanctions, calling the measures ``weapons of mass destruction'' imposed by ``rich and powerful nations ... to create havoc and bring hardship on the mass population of the people who need to work to live.''

The country's junta came to power in 1988 after crushing a pro-democracy movement; two years later it annulled the results of a general election that Suu Kyi's party won. She was put under house arrest from 1989 to 1995 and again from September 2000 until May 2002, when Razali's mediation helped secure her release.

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Thursday July 17, 6:37 PM
Asean Economic Ministers Agree to Form Sectoral Task Forces


MANILA, July 17 Asia Pulse - Returning from a Special Informal ASEAN Economic Ministers (AEM) meeting in Jakarta over the weekend, Trade and Industry Secretary Mar Roxas reported that the economic ministers agreed to form sectoral task forces to increase intra-Asean trade.

"Our DTI Brand Managers (BM) structure is particularly suited to power this drive, and I have instructed our BMs to participate vigorously in this initiative, the Asean Priority Integration Program," said Roxas.

"In particular, the Philippines has been tapped to champion the Asean task force on electronics and semiconductors sector, which is our leading export."

Malaysia has been assigned to champion the textiles and garments and rubber-based products sector.

Indonesia will cover the automotive and wood-based products industries.

Thailand will take care of air travel/tourism and personal care.

Singapore volunteered to champion e-commerce and the healthcare industry.

Myanmar will champion agricultural and marine products.

Roxas explained that the Special Informal AEM meeting had been convened in Jakarta on July 12 and 13 to prepare the deliverables for the AEM meeting in Phnom Penh this coming September and for the Asean Summit scheduled for October in Bali.

One of the initiatives considered as a deliverable was the sectoral development approach that had been recommended to the AEM by international consulting firm McKinsey. The AEM acknowledged the general soundness of the recommendation.

However, the ministers elected to skirt the sometimes politically-sensitive European Union features of the McKinsey plan and to simply adapt the major strategies into practical, workable Asean sectoral projects.

The basic premise at the Special Informal AEM meeting was that the global economy may be recovering but could remain soft for a while.

And so the AEM consensus was strongly in favor of generating more business from within Asean, rather than excessively concentrating efforts on markets outside the region.

And so the ministers agreed that these sectors, which have already generally been liberalized (i.e. tariffs already lowered significantly), should now be supported with strong doses of facilitation measures.

And these facilitation measures should be coordinated and harmonized across the entire region.

The facilitation measures will touch on an Asean Harmonized Tariff Nomenclature, improvements in customs procedures and uniform product standards and common, simplified administrative procedures, among others.

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Chandigarh
Myanmar to Mohali, ?missing? officer is home
Jyoti Kamal
Thursday, July 17, 2003

S.a.s. Nagar, July 16: IT is a story of gunrunners, insurgents, military intelligence agents, Myanmar, India and Mohali.

In February 1998, Indian defence forces conducted the controversial ?Operation Leech? in the Andaman and Nicobar islands. During the operation, allegedly a major gang of international gunrunners supplying weapons to insurgents in Myanmar, through whom they were finding their way into India?s Northeast, was intercepted and six top leaders were apprehended. These six were not seen again. There have been allegations that they were killed ??treacherously?? due to betrayal by Indian Army Lieutenant Colonel V J S Grewal.

Grewal, who took premature retirement from the Army in July 1999, is untraceable, report sections of the media. However, investigations by Newsline reveal that Grewal is in Mohali. Allegations levelled against him that he is untraceable, that his latest whereabouts are uncertain and that he is believed to be living in Rangoon, have been found to be false.

Investigations reveal that Grewal is living with his family in Mohali. He gets regular pension credited to his accounts here by the Controller of Defence Accounts, CDA(O) Pune, and he is also paid ?award money? for the Vishisht Seva Medal (VSM) that he earned in January 1998. Moreover, he has recently been allotted a house by the Army Welfare Housing Organisation in Sector 68, Mohali.

?Operation Leech? was a sting operation in which Grewal is alleged to have penetrated the Arakan Army and the National United Party of Arakan in Myanmar.

The Arakanese are an ethnic group who inhabit the area between the Arakan Roma hills in Myanmar, Mizoram in India and Bangladesh. The Arakanese have been fighting for independence from the present military junta in Myanmar. However, Military Intelligence, along with other intelligence gathering agencies, is reported to have established in 1998 that the Arakanese were working in close collaboration with Indian insurgents and were running guns and other weapons from Thai ports to Bangladeshi and Myanmar ports.

Newsline investigations reveal that Grewal, commissioned into the Army in 1971 and eventually deputed to the Military Intelligence, was officially on posting with an Army Counter Intelligence Unit (CIU) in Srinagar at the time of the operation. He was drafted in as he?d had experience dealing with the Myanmarese during the course of his work with the Border Roads Organisations (BRO) from 1993-1997.

Presently, Grewal runs his business dealing in products like jade and fine Burmese teak. The trade often takes him to Southeast Asia and back to Myanmar.

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Washington File - 17 Jul 2003  
Bush Applauds Congress for Passing Burmese Freedom and Democracy Act
Says legislation sends "clear message" to Burmese regime

President Bush in a statement July 16 praised the passage by the U.S. Congress of legislation that would tighten sanctions on the military government in Burma.

The Senate approved the measure July 16 by a 94-1 vote; the House of Representatives approved it July 15. The measure now goes to the President for his signature.

The legislation would require the president to ban imports from Burma 30 days after the enactment of the Burma Freedom and Democracy Act of 2003.

That ban would continue until the president determines and certifies to Congress that Burma's ruling military junta has made "substantial and measurable progress to end violations of internationally recognized human rights including rape."

To have the ban lifted, the bill requires that the secretary of state consult with the International Labor Organization's secretary general and relevant nongovernmental organizations and report to the appropriate congressional committees that the State Peace and Development Council (SPDC) "no longer systematically violates workers rights, including the use of forced and child labor, and conscription of child-soldiers."

HR 2330 also requires the president to declare that the SPDC has made "measurable and substantial progress toward implementing a democratic government."
Benchmarks for lifting the ban on Burmese products would include: "releasing all political prisoners; allowing freedom of speech and the press; allowing freedom of association; and permitting the peaceful exercise of religion."

Finally the SPDC would have to reach an agreement with the National League of Democracy and other democratic forces in that country, including Burma's ethnic nationalities, "on the transfer of power to a civilian government accountable to the Burmese people through democratic elections under the rule of law."

The president is also given the power to freeze assets in the United States of the junta and its supporters.

Following is the text of the White House statement:

THE WHITE HOUSE
Office of the Press Secretary
July 16, 2003
STATEMENT BY THE PRESS SECRETARY
Passage of the Burmese Freedom and Democracy Act

The President applauds today's passage of the Burmese Freedom and Democracy Act by the Congress, and he looks forward to signing it into law. This legislation sends a clear message to the Burmese regime that their continued detention of Nobel Peace Laureate Aung San Suu Kyi and their assaults on freedom cannot stand. The Burmese Freedom and Democracy Act is the result of close cooperation between the Congress and the Administration and is intended to focus the world's attention on the Burmese regime's continuing oppression of its people. The United States fully supports the Burmese people in their struggle for democracy.

Created:16 Jul 2003 Updated: 16 Jul 2003

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The Daily Times - Thursday, July 17, 2003
Myanmar opposition paralysed after arrest of Aung San Suu Kyi

BANGKOK: The axe has fallen on Myanmar?s opposition party since the arrest of its charismatic leader Aung San Suu Kyi six weeks ago, leaving it virtually shut down and its entire leadership in detention.

The crackdown comes as a dramatic reversal of fortune for the long-suffering National League for Democracy (NLD) that had enjoyed a rare flowering in the past year after Aung San Suu Kyi was released from house arrest.

After the junta promised she would be free to carry out political activities, the Nobel peace laureate and enthusiastic rank-and-file members seized the opportunity to rebuild the party by reopening hundreds of branch offices around the country.

Although a political reconciliation process begun in October 2000 at the bidding of the United Nations made little progress towards achieving democratic reforms, the brief period of openness revived the opposition?s spirits.

That ended on May 30, when Aung San Suu Kyi?s supporters were ambushed by a pro-junta mob during a political tour of Myanmar?s north, triggering her detention at an undisclosed location.

NLD vice-chairman Tin Oo who had been accompanying her was thrown into jail and the rest of the party?s leadership was put under house arrest in Yangon with armed guards in front of their homes and their telephone lines cut.

An unknown number of opposition supporters were also taken into detention, and the party?s head office in Yangon and all its branch offices were closed down.

?The opposition simply does not exist any more,? said one diplomat in Yangon. ?The party?s headquarters is closed, the activists are in prison or on the run ? in effect there is nothing left.?

A senior member of the NLD said the crackdown, which has drawn intense criticism abroad, had left the party completely paralysed.

?With our leadership effectively under wraps and our offices sealed, there is very little we can do, including damage assessment,? he told AFP.

?The NLD is undergoing another period of intimidation and harassment as the military continues with its mopping-up operation.?

The ruling State Peace and Development Council (SPDC), whose past campaigns of repression had left the party on the verge of collapse before the UN-sponsored talks began, has it under intense scrutiny once again.

?All I can say is that the crackdown continues and any sign of dissent is quickly nipped in the bud,? one member said. ?Anyone foolish enough to demonstrate as has been done outside of the country would have been immediately pounced on.?

Analysts in Yangon and exiled dissidents believe the campaign of repression and arrests of opposition activists will continue until the ruling generals consider the situation is ?normalised?. The International Committee of the Red Cross, which has been touring prisons in recent weeks to visit those rounded up in the wake of the clashes, says 30 have been registered so far but dissident sources put the figure above 100.

The National Council of the Union of Burma, one of the exiled groups, has said that an NLD MP, Soe Win, was tortured for 24 days after his arrest. Its claims cannot be independently verified.

Myanmar?s junta has ignored the mounting calls for the opposition members to be released, and in a tight-lipped response said only that it had chosen ?the most suitable way? to maintain law and order.

Given the junta?s aggressive stance, no one rules out the possibility that the NLD could simply be banned.

?Anything can happen,? said the diplomat. ?There were already rumours of this in 2000 when (a junta-sponsored society) called for the NLD to be banned at meetings orchestrated by the government.?

The party ? one of the few in the world not to have any idea of how many members it has but which undoubtedly enjoys immense popular support ? only last November launched a renewed membership campaign.

?We are back on our feet,? NLD spokesman U Lwin told AFP at the time. ?We know that they are many more who want to join us.?

Over the past year, the party elder became a favourite with journalists who could call him up at any time of the day in Yangon. Now, his telephone line is dead. ?AFP

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Bangkok Post - Thursday 17 July 2003
Thaksin fears fallout from US sanctions
Poverty squeeze could boost migrant flow
Yuwadee Tunyasiri

Thailand would brace for repercussions from the United States' decision to impose sanctions against Burma for detaining Burmese opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi, Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra said.

The US congress yesterday voted in favour of diplomatic and economic sanctions against Burma, including freezing of assets and a trade ban.

Mr Thaksin said Thailand, as an immediate neighbour, would feel the effects of the aggravated poverty and other problems that would result in Burma.

Bangkok had warned Rangoon that US sanctions were likely unless Mrs Suu Kyi was released, but the government there had decided not to heed the warning, citing national security.

Security agencies and the Labour Ministry had been instructed to look at measures like tightening rules for alien workers.

``To help bring about reconciliation in Burma, all we can do is give advice as a neighbouring country. But we cannot say we will cut our ties [with Burma] if they do not follow our suggestions,'' the prime minister said.

Kraisak Choonhavan, chairman of the senate panel on foreign affairs, said the government should revise its Burma policy.

The US congress had strong international support for its sanctions against Burma. Thailand's image could suffer if it was seen to continue a close relationship with the junta in Rangoon, he said.

The Thaksin government had tried to paint Thailand as the leader of Asean, but this would be to no avail if it held to a policy which defined Burma as a close neighbour.

``It's time for the government to seriously consider this issue,'' Mr Kraisak said.

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Bangkok Post - Thursday 17 July 2003
Troops tell Red Wa to leave
Set up posts on Thai soil, demand cash

Subin Khuenkaew - Chiang Mai

Thai forces have been told to drive back Red Wa troops encroaching on Thai soil near the border with Burma.

Maj-Gen Manas Paolik, commander of Pha Muang task force, said task force patrols found United Wa State Army soldiers had set up several strongholds in Thai territory over the past 2-3 months.

Soldiers had been sent to the area to push the Wa troops back to Burma and block drug smuggling.

Wa soldiers were thought to be demanding money from villagers and drug traffickers.

The Wei Heush-kang special warfare regiment 171 had agreed to withdraw from its base at Ban Nong Khiew near Kiew Pha Wok checkpoint.

``We have told units in the areas to patrol the border and push back Wa soldiers whose bases encroach on Thai soil, west of Ban San Ton Du pass in Mae Ai district,'' Maj-Gen Manas said.

Burmese authorities would be told during the next township border meeting.

Drug warlord Wei Heush-kang was still with the UWSA and was recently promoted to UWSA first vice-president.

Contrary to media reports, the man was not a relative of Wei Sai-tang, a former senior UWSA officer imprisoned in Burma on treason and banknote-forgery charges.

A source said the UWSA had decided to delay by two years attempts to make Shan State free of drugs in retaliation against a US decision to stop funding the group's anti-drug programmes.

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Bangkok Post -  Thursday 17 July 2003
Agreement to increase cooperation
Ties have improved, says TBC chairman
Chiang Rai

Local Thai and Burmese authorities have agreed to strengthen bilateral cooperation and jointly settle border problems.

Col Apichart Meesommon, chairman of Thai Township Border Committee (TBC), yesterday led a delegation to Burma's Tachilek town to discuss a border demarcation dispute and other border cooperation with Lt-Col Kad Tun, chairman of Burmese TBC.

Burma had accused Thailand of encroaching on its land. That, and the arrest of a Thai soldier by Burmese soldiers two years ago were raised.

Col Apichart said relations between Thailand and Burma had improved. His panel and the Burmese TBC have agreed to tackle border problems jointly.

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BBC News - Thursday, 17 July, 2003
Burma under further pressure

United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan has sent a message to Burma's military leader calling for the immediate release of the pro-democracy leader, Aung San Suu Kyi.

Mr Annan said he had expressed his grave concern about her safety and well-being during a meeting with Burma's Deputy Foreign Minister, U Khin Maung Win, in New York on Wednesday.

The BBC's Greg Barrow at the UN in New York says Mr Annan's statement is another sign of the increasing international pressure on the Burmese authorities to free Aung San Suu Kyi and resume a peaceful dialogue with pro-democracy activists.

It came less than 24 hours after the US Congress voted to impose new economic sanctions against Burma in protest at the continued detention of the woman who symbolises the long struggle to end one-party military rule.

The Burmese authorities have criticised the US move on sanctions, describing them as "weapons of mass destruction".

Officials in Rangoon said sanctions shut down interaction, stopped the flow of ideas and deprived people of job opportunities.

Up for discussion?

The bill - approved almost unanimously in the lower house of the US congress amid increasing anger at the opposition leader's detention at the end of May - mirrored similar measures approved by the Senate a month ago.

Once President George W Bush signs it into law, specified Burmese imports will be banned and the country's assets in the US frozen.

Burma's textile and clothing industry is likely to be hardest hit by the measures, which were welcomed by some opposition groups in exile.

The US, like many of Burma's Asian neighbours, rejects the military government's assertion that it was forced to act because Aung San Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy was plotting an armed uprising.

The UN Security Council has not yet discussed Aung San Suu Kyi's detention, but Mr Annan declined to exclude the possibility this might happen.

"I don't have immediate plans on doing that. I will see what happens ... I'm not saying it's excluded. I think all things are going to be on the table very soon. "

Our correspondent says that if the Burmese military leader, General Than Shwe, chooses to ignore that message, he may find sooner rather than later, the UN Security Council is ready to add its own punitive sanctions to those already imposed by other nations.

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Asia Times - Jul 18, 2003
A WTO trick up Yangon's sleeve
By Alan Boyd


SYDNEY - The United States could face legal sanctions of its own after endorsing an economic embargo against Myanmar's hardline military regime that technically violates global free-trade commitments.

Yangon has already hinted in diplomatic circles that it may lodge a complaint with the World Trade Organization (WTO) over an imports ban that would remove more than 30 percent of the impoverished nation's export revenues.

Legislators in the US House of Representatives approved the imports ban on Tuesday as part of a package of retaliatory measures for the imprisonment of opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi in late May and the junta's failure to resume a political-reforms dialogue. Senators passed similar measures last month, and a consensus bill is now expected to be ratified by President George W Bush, who has clearly lost patience with 15 years of stalling by the ruling generals.

Assets held in the United States by the Myanmar government and its leaders will be frozen, an existing prohibition on the granting of visas to the top leadership extended and a policy of opposing new international loans or technical assistance to Myanmar codified. The loans ban has been enforced for several years.

Goods worth about US$400 million, mostly finished garments and textiles, will be affected by the imports ban, which duplicates a unilateral blockade imposed by the American Apparel and Footwear Association.

Textile quotas allowing preferential access for goods from Myanmar under the WTO's Most Favored Nation arrangement were already due to end next year, along with other export subsidies.

Washington evidently is gambling that the weight of international opinion, bolstered by parallel sanctions imposed in Western Europe, Japan and Canada, will dissuade Yangon from pursuing the issue through the WTO's disputes panel.

Secretary of State Colin Powell said Washington's objective was to send a clear message that "the thugs who now rule Burma are to understand that their failure to restore democracy will only bring more and more pressure against them and their supporters".

But just how effective this pressure can be, given the limitations of US economic leverage in Myanmar and the junta's renowned siege mentality after half a century of diplomatic isolation, is debatable.

While Suu Kyi has long advocated sanctions on the grounds that the leadership has a pervasive influence over every facet of business and investment, it is clear that the economy is not the real target.

"The goal of these sanctions is not severe economic destabilization aimed at toppling the government. They serve as a pressure mechanism to persuade the regime to recognize the crisis in the country and the need for a peaceful resolution of the crisis," opposition policy advisor Zaw Oo stated last year, as the US Congress was preparing to draft the sanction bills.

Tellingly, the Lower House bill recognizes that the sanctions will not work unless Washington can persuade Myanmar's neighbors, especially China and Thailand, to "stop their economic and political patronage of the Burmese dictatorship". These countries, together with India, provide the bulk of the foreign-exchange and trade infrastructure that keeps the Myanmar economy afloat. They also collectively have $1.5 billion invested in Myanmar, behind only the United Kingdom and Singapore.

China, which is a significant security partner of Myanmar, provides the diplomatic muscle in the international arena, routinely vetoing European motions censoring the regime's appalling human-rights record.

Thailand is leading an initiative in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) to use peer pressure to encourage a dialogue between the junta and Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy (NLD), but is not ready to jeopardize its economic interests. Within hours of the House vote, Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra was asserting that Bangkok would "give advice as a neighboring country", but was not prepared to "cut our ties [with Myanmar] if they do not follow our suggestions".

Beijing and Delhi have been vying for influence in Myanmar's rugged and highly strategic northern provinces since they fought a brief border conflict in 1962, and are unlikely to heed the US pleas. Nor are Yangon's fellow ASEAN states, which have at least $4.2 billion invested in manufacturing joint ventures and view Myanmar as the last big Asian frontier for consumer exports.

"If you can show me any evidence that depriving the people of Myanmar of processed foods, clothing and housing is going to bring about favorable political change, I will happily support the US measures," said an Asian diplomat. "[Sanctions] will not work because they will not hit the right target, which is the people who are actually in a position to influence decision-making."

The regime has traditionally shown a strong resilience to outside pressures, even closing the country's borders for 26 years until 1988 as part of a disastrous social experiment by former leader General Ne Win that left the economy in ruins.

Existing sanctions, including 1997-98 bans on direct foreign investment by the European Union and the United States, have left Myanmar physically isolated but do not appear to have altered the mindset of the junta. On the contrary, hardliners have gradually gained the ascendancy over moderates who advocate negotiations with the NLD, culminating in the jailing of Suu Kyi and many of her closest associates.

Paramount leader General Than Shwe, who is increasingly being compared to Ne Win, has also moved against his own critics, signaling that internal security will remain the chief priority even at the risk of economic destabilization and potential social discord.

Foreign companies are pulling out of Myanmar in response to the growing unrest, but the pressure is coming from consumer boycotts in Western Europe and North America, and not politicians. Since 1997 a total of 56 multinational companies have left Myanmar; yet the US remains Myanmar's fifth-biggest investor, with assets of almost $600 million. Britain has $1.4 billion invested, France $500 million and the Netherlands $250 million.

A tourism boycott launched in Europe in 1996 has undermined a $100 million service industry that employs hundreds of thousands, but has failed to deter foreign investors. There are still 30 tour agencies and several airlines in Myanmar, while one firm that left has actually decided to go back. Yangon is experiencing a hotel-building boom ahead of a pending ASEAN summit that will bring enormous publicity for tourism sites in Asia.

One reason the boycotts have not had a substantial economic impact is that most investment is tied up in resource industries such as oil exploration and mining that are not easily influenced by consumer actions. This could change: after fending off protest actions for a decade, US gas-exploration group Unocal is currently battling a shareholder revolt, instigated by a pension fund, that has dragged down its market price.

However, most observers believe that reform in Myanmar will come from within, probably as a result of widening social unrest as the foreign sanctions cause a gradual deterioration of economic conditions.

"The leadership is evidently aware of the social risks that could ensue from a loss of living standards. But it seems to have taken the view that there is far more at stake from a devolution of political power," said a European diplomat.

"Seen from this perspective, the issue of economic sanctions is of critical importance to Burma's political stability, as it could be the harbinger of far deeper structural reforms, even though the short-term benefits may not be obvious."

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Myanmar official may attend informal dinner of ASEM confab
By Christine T. Tjandraningsih

JAKARTA, July 17, Kyodo - A Myanmar government official may attend an informal dinner of an Asia-Europe foreign ministerial meeting in Indonesia next week amid growing international concern over detained pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi, a diplomatic source said Thursday.

''Myanmar may be represented by an official at the level of director general at the informal dinner,'' an Indonesian diplomat dealing with Western European affairs told Kyodo News on condition of anonymity.

However, an official of the Myanmar Embassy in Jakarta said they have not received an invitation for the dinner, adding that even if invited, ''our foreign minister has no availability'' to attend the dinner on July 23 because of a domestic engagement.

''As far as we know, nobody from Myanmar has been confirmed to attend the dinner, neither a director general nor somebody else,'' U Cho Tin, chief of the mission of the embassy, told Kyodo News.

In a recent interview with Kyodo News, Arizal Effendi, director general for American and European affairs at the Indonesian Foreign Ministry, said an invitation had been sent to Myanmar Foreign Minister U Win Aung to attend the informal dinner of the fifth Asia-Europe Foreign Ministerial Meeting (ASEM) during which the issue of Suu Kyi may be raised.

The Myanmar military government has been detaining the Nobel Peace Prize laureate and some members of her National League for Democracy (NLD) since May 30 following what the junta said were violent clashes between NLD supporters and pro-junta demonstrators in northern Myanmar.

According to a provisional agenda obtained by Kyodo News, issues including post-war Iraq, the situation on the Korean Peninsula, terrorism and nonproliferation of weapons of mass destruction will be discussed at the July 23-24 ASEM meeting in the resort island of Bali. The issue of Suu Kyi will also be taken up, Effendi said.

ASEM consists of 10 Asian countries -- Brunei, China, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand and Vietnam -- and 15 European Union (EU) member countries and the European Commission, the executive branch of the EU.

The EU members are Austria, Belgium, Britain, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain and Sweden. At least seven ministers from Europe have confirmed their attendance.

Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar, which belong to the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), will only be invited for the informal dinner as they are not ASEM members. The remaining seven ASEAN countries are all ASEM members.

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Kawaguchi calls for dispatch of ASEAN mission on Suu Kyi

TOKYO, July 17, Kyodo - Japan hopes the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) will send a mission to Myanmar to help achieve the release of detained pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi, Foreign Minister Yoriko Kawaguchi told her Indonesian counterpart on Thursday.

''It is quite important that ASEAN work toward resolving the issue, and I hope ASEAN will send a mission to Myanmar under the leadership of Indonesia which chairs the grouping,'' Kawaguchi was quoted by Japanese officials as telling Indonesian Foreign Minister Hassan Wirajuda in a telephone conversation.

The 10-member ASEAN is exploring the possibility of a high-level mission to Myanmar to urge the junta to release Suu Kyi as early as possible.

Hassan responded that ASEAN will make efforts to achieve her release, the officials said.

The junta detained Suu Kyi, a Nobel Peace Prize winner, and other leaders of the National League for Democracy on May 30 in northern Myanmar following what the junta claims was a clash between Suu Kyi's supporters and backers of the government.

Suu Kyi's detention, as well as the North Korean nuclear issue, is high on the agenda at an Asia-Europe Foreign Ministerial Meeting to be held in Indonesia July 23-24. Hassan will chair the meeting.

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