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Burma Related News - March 04, 2002.



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Burma Related News - March 04, 2002.
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Headlines
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AFP - UN plans first food aid campaign to counter AIDS pandemic
Asia Pulse - Vietnam Airlines to Open Hue-Siem Reap Air Route This Month
Reuters - Myanmar frees five political prisoners, 28 women 
BBC - Burma releases pregnant women
BBC - Burma sanctions: The case for
BBC - Tough times for Burmese refugees
SMH - Burma shuts door on East Timor bid to join ASEAN
BBK Post - EDITORIAL - Golden Triangle tries a comeback
NSTP - Towards a Malaysia-Thailand-Myanmar FMD-free zone by 2007
Mizzima - Will there be a real transition in Burma?
Mizzima - Burma exiled MPs reaffirm 1990 election mandate
Narinjara - Dhaka-Ctg-Yangon-Bangkok flight begins
NMG - General Mya Cheers up Japanese Government for delaying ODA
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Monday March 4, 5:31 PM
UN plans first food aid campaign to counter AIDS pandemic
 
BANGKOK, March 4 (AFP) - The United Nations plans to spearhead the world's first major campaign to use food aid to counter the HIV-AIDS pandemic in Southeast Asia and East Africa, officials said Monday.
 
The UN's World Food Programme (WFP) and other UN agencies have identified an urgent need for food aid among poor families whose major bread-winner suffers from the disease, they said at a conference on anti-AIDS strategies.
 
"For the poorest of the poor, who are the people WFP assists, the onset of HIV-AIDS for the chief income-earner can shatter the entire family unit," John Powell, director of the WFP Regional Bureau for Asia, said in a statement.
 
Poor families often do not receive any institutional care from their governments and are therefore in urgent need of support to cope with the virus' devastating effects, the one-day Bangkok conference heard.
 
Families caring for someone with Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromeusually become further impoverished because of the high cost of treatment, and that can put younger family members at risk, the agencies said.
 
"Food aid would also serve as a the financial glue to keep the family intact ... Otherwise, the children, for example, could be forced to prostitute themselves or to go and live on the streets," Powell said.
 
"But now we have a profile of the family that would most benefit from food aid," he added. "Properly targeted, food aid for them would be a life-saving tool."
 
The one-day Bangkok conference follows a WFP-led mission in February to Cambodia, China, Laos and Myanmar to devise the best strategies for home-based care with food aid.
 
Representatives from WFP, UN-AIDS, the World Health Organisation, the Food and Agriculture Organisation and the United Nations Development Programme interviewed AIDS-affected families, government officials, health-care providers and non-governmental organisations.
 
The food aid plan is to be implemented in Southeast Asia as well as a number of countries in South Africa, the meeting heard.
 
"HIV/AIDS is perhaps the single biggest threat to the development of Sub-Saharan Africa," said Judith Lewis, director of the WFP Regional Bureau for Eastern, Southern and the Horn of Africa.
 
In Asia, the numbers of people living with HIV-AIDS is rising fast. They expanded by nearly 140 percent between 1997 and 2001, according to the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies.
 
The Federation estimates that in 2001, half a million people died in Asia out of an infected population of 7.1 million.
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Monday March 4, 11:52 AM
Vietnam Airlines to Open Hue-Siem Reap Air Route This Month
 
HANOI, March 4 Asia Pulse - Vietnam Airlines will launch the inaugural flight between the ancient cities of Hue and Cambodia's Siem Reap with a Fokker aircraft departing from Phu Bai Airport on March 16.
 
During the meeting to introduce the new air service on February 27, the Hue-based Huong Giang Tourist Company launched the Hue-Siem Reap tour. The four-day package tour will bring tourists to famed temples of Bayon and Angkor Wat and other popular tourist sites in Siem Reap.
 
The package tour costs US$423/person including air ticket and three-night accommodations.
 
The Siem Reap service will be followed by the Hue-Louang Phrabang air link.
 
The new routes, which were discussed at a seminar on tourism development and aviation cooperation in the four Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) countries of Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam held in Hue in late January, will also see Hue linked with Myanmar' s ancient city of Mandalay.
 
"The cooperation between the four countries will help boost Hue's tourism industry and stimulate the development of Phu Bai as an international airport," said Nguyen Van Me, chairman of Thua Thien-Hue People's Committee.
 
After four years of upgrade, Phu Bai Airport is now able to accommodate medium-hauled aircraft such as Boeing 737s and Airbus A320s and operate round the clock and in rough weather.
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Myanmar frees five political prisoners, 28 women 
 
YANGON, March 4 (Reuters) - Myanmar's military government said on Monday it had freed five members of ''armed outlawed groups'' and 28 pregnant women prisoners, in an apparent response to lobbying by the United Nations and the Red Cross. 
 
The ruling generals, desperate for international legitimacy, have freed more than 100 prisoners in the last three weeks, including at least 21 political prisoners.
 
Government statements received by Reuters said the women were freed ''on humanitarian grounds'' from Yangon's notorious Insein Prison. They gave no details of the five freed men.
 
''Altogether five persons who were detained for illegal activities and unlawful connections with the armed outlawed groups were released from various correctional facilities,'' a statement said.
 
Myanmar's army has fought several ethnic minority armies over the last decade, but now has ceasefires with most. The ruling generals have also accused pro-democracy activists of armed insurrection in the past.
 
The government began a slow stream of releases in late 2000 when the military began U.N.-brokered talks with Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy.
 
But the pace has been upped since U.N. human rights envoy Paulo Sergio Pinheiro visited the Southeast Asian country in early February to finish a report on the human rights situation.
 
Fellow U.N. envoy Razali Ismail, who brokered the talks between the military and the NLD, told Reuters at the end of last week that he hoped the generals would free more prisoners and release Suu Kyi from house arrest.
 
Razali is due back in Myanmar for a four-day visit on March 19 to encourage the process of national reconciliation, which some in the NLD say is going too slowly and not yielding any real political change.
 
Pinheiro, who focused his attention particularly on women and elderly prisoners, said after his visit that conditions in Myanmar's prisons had improved since the Red Cross was given access to prisoners two years ago.
 
He said he told the generals that, at the current rate of releases, it would take 12 years for Myanmar's prisons to be emptied of the estimated 1,500 political prisoners.
 
Pinheiro's report, to be presented to the United Nations in early April, will influence Western countries' attitudes.
 
The European Union and the United States have aid and trade sanctions against Myanmar, citing Yangon's human rights record, failure to cooperate on fighting drugs, and political repression.
 
Suu Kyi has been under house arrest since September 2000 and her party has been prevented from organising nationally since it shocked the military with landslide victory in Myanmar's last democratic elections in 1990.
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BBC - Monday, 4 March, 2002, 12:36 GMT
Burma releases pregnant women
 
The military government in Burma has released 28 pregnant women from jail on humanitarian grounds.
 
The women, in prison for various offences, were the second batch of pregnant women to be freed - 68 were released last week.
 
The move was apparently timed to coincide with the consecration of a giant new stone Buddha in Rangoon.
 
Buddhist tradition holds that merits for the next life can be gained by such gestures.
 
Also last week, five political prisoners were released from detention - all members of the opposition National League for Democracy (NLD).
 
It followed a recent visit by the United Nations human rights envoy, Paulo Sergio Pinheiro, who urged the authorities to release all political prisoners, and to speed up the process.
 
Secret talks
 
The BBC Burmese affairs analyst says the releases could be seen as a move by Rangoon to engage the UN and set a precedent for future political releases.
 
More than 200 opposition members are reported to have been released since the Burmese Government began talks on national reconciliation with the NLD leader, Aung San Suu Kyi, in October 2000.
 
Speaking after last week's releases, the United Nations special envoy to Burma, Razali Ismail said: "The fact that they released people in big numbers is a change from the earlier releases, which were a handful of people.
 
"I hope in the weeks ahead there will be more releases and I hope soon that Aung San Suu Kyi herself will be out of the custody of her house."
 
Aung San Suu Kyi has been under house arrest in Rangoon since September 2000. The NLD says about 800 of its activists are still in prison.
 
The NLD won Burma's last democratic elections in 1990, but the military prevented it from taking power.
 
Burmese military officials told the BBC that there would be no umbrella release of political prisoners, but that they are considering freeing activists in batches of up to 200 at a time.
 
Diplomats in Rangoon the question of whether Aung San Suu Kyi might be released is independent of the issue of political prisoners.
 
BBC Burma analyst Larry Jagan says there is growing speculation in Rangoon that Aung San Suu Kyi may be released soon, perhaps before the end of next month's Water Festival.
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BBC - Monday, 4 March, 2002, 14:28 GMT
Burma sanctions: The case for
By Zaw Oo - Policy advisor to the Burmese exile government 
 
Many governments have used sanctions on Burma to modify the regime's deplorable behavior in the areas of human rights and democratisation.
 
These sanctions all share one clear objective: to place the military regime on notice that it cannot continue to ignore the aspirations of the people, and that they must seek a peaceful solution to resolve the political deadlock in Burma.
 
The solution begins with a genuine national dialogue on democratic transition, which the current talks between the State Peace and Development Council (SPDC) and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi can presumably lead to after 18 months of confidence-building.
 
The sanctions reinforce both the legitimacy and possibility of such dialogue in Burma, and they provide effective tools to advance the dialogue process.
 
Pressure
 
The goal of these sanctions is NOT severe economic destabilisation aimed at toppling the government. They serve as a pressure mechanism to persuade the regime to recognize the crisis in the country and the need for a peaceful resolution of the crisis.
 
They serve as part of the overall international strategy to facilitate a tripartite dialogue in Burma.
 
Sanctions make international persuasion more effective by:
 
Serving as a clear signal of disapproval against the foot-dragging attitudes of the SPDC and its continuing failure to improve human right situations in Burma.
 
Supplementing many non-binding international resolutions, condemnations and opinions such as ILO and UNGA resolutions, by generating a material impact on the regime.
 
Acting as moral boosters for those who are struggling for democracy inside Burma. They demonstrate to leaders inside Burma that the democracy movement is not alone in its fight for freedom and human rights.
 
Serving as a strong deterrent in preventing large-scale human rights violations and in protecting some vulnerable groups in Burma.
 
Most importantly, depriving resources to the regime which is currently allocating more budget to defence and the internal security apparatus.
Sanctions have also deprived the regime of an important source of foreign exchange earnings. Since the US imposed a ban on new investments in 1997, no new foreign-funded projects have been approved.
 
However, the impact of sanctions on the population is minimal because foreign investments in Burma concentrate on natural resource extraction, which has very little trickle-down effects in terms of creating employment and small business opportunities within the overall economy.
 
Flexible lever
 
Under the severely restrictive political circumstances, the leaders of the democratic movement can use sanctions as leverage in negotiations.
 
On the other hand, the SPDC can naturally react to sanctions policy strongly, and they could bargain for the early removal of the sanction regime before it begins the dialogue.
 
In responding to this SPDC bargaining position, the international community can offer incentives for joint problem-solving initiatives, such as humanitarian co-operation on HIV/Aids campaigns, without prematurely withdrawing effective sanction leverage.
 
If the SPDC responds positively to these incentives, the international community should consider relaxing disincentive components of its policy.
 
Such a framework can tie the disparate strands of international policies to interrelated core goals and set priorities so the emphasis on dialogue is sustained.
 
The role of the international community in bringing change to Burma is important.
 
The role is a multi-faceted one with full use of available policy tools - humanitarian assistance; joint problem-solving incentives; new commitments; diplomatic boycotts; sanctions; the threat of sanctions; or any combination of the above - and it may require fine adjustment on the weights of those elements.
 
The ultimate test of effectiveness of this approach lies in how well the international players can co-ordinate to obtain the best policy mix to bring the SPDC to the dialogue table.
 
Zaw Oo is Hurst Fellow at the School of International Service, American University. He is a policy advisor to the National Coalition Government of the Union of Burma, the Burmese exile government. The opinions expressed here are all his and do not represent the NCGUB.
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BBC - Sunday, 3 March, 2002, 13:52 GMT
Tough times for Burmese refugees
By the BBC's Alastair Lawson in Cox's Bazar 
 
It is 10 years ago this month that Muslim refugees from Burma began arriving in their thousands into Bangladesh.
 
The refugees, known as Rohingyas, came from Burma's Arakhan province to escape what they said was persecution inflicted upon them by the military government.
 
At one point, the number of refugees swelled to over 250,000 but since then, their number has dwindled to around 20,000.
 
The refugees that remain say that they are having to endure harsh conditions in numerous camps.
 
Persecution
 
Rohingya refugees in Bangladesh rely on the United Nations and other aid agencies for their daily handouts of rice.
 
The aid agencies say that many of the refugees are malnourished.
 
The refugees say that although conditions in the camps are harsh, it is better for them to be in Bangladesh rather than Burma.
 
"We were tortured and oppressed in Burma, and were denied even the right to practice our religion", said a Rohingya man.
 
"I was a farmer there, but every time my rice crop was ready for harvest, it would be taken by the Burmese military.
 
"They told us that as Muslims, we had no rights in Burma", he said.
 
Strained ties
 
It is now a decade since the Rohingyas started arriving in large numbers in Bangladesh.
 
At the end of 1992, the Government of Bangladesh began repatriating them.
 
It is estimated that around 230,000 returned to Burma over the last decade.
 
The remaining 20,000 live in camps near the town of Cox's Bazar.
 
Local journalist Nural Haq Khan says that relations between them and the Bangladeshi community are often strained.
 
Crime accusations
 
"The Rohingyas create lots of trouble here," Mr Khan said.
 
"They are often involved in crime, and have been accused of carrying out a series of robberies.
 
"They are also believed to steal livestock from local farmers, and have been accused of destroying the jungle so that they can get firewood", he said.
 
The Bangladeshi Government has denied accusations that some refugees have been forcibly repatriated but it says that it wants all the refugees to return to Burma soon.
 
Officials say in private that this is not happening at the moment because the Burmese Government has reneged on an agreement to allow the refugees to return home in small groups at a time.
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The Sydney Morning Herald
Monday, March 4, 2002
Burma shuts door on East Timor bid to join ASEAN
By Mark Baker, Herald correspondent in Manila
 
Burma's military regime has sparked a rift within the Association of South-East Asian Nations by blocking moves towards East Timor joining the regional grouping after the country achieves independence next year.
 
The Burmese have vetoed a decision to grant East Timor observer status within Asean - a first step to full membership - in protest at links between senior Timorese leaders and the detained Burmese democracy leader, Aung San Suu Kyi.
 
The veto, exercised at an informal meeting of Asean foreign ministers in Thailand last week, has angered several member states who believe East Timor's eventual membership is important to advance regional security and economic co-operation.
 
The Philippines Government has now stepped up pressure for ASEAN to amend its long-standing convention of consensus decision-making to prevent a single member blocking agreement between the rest of its 10 members.
 
Brunei, which will host this year's annual ASEAN meetings in July, has indicated its dissent by inviting East Timor to attend - not as a formal observer but as a "special guest of the chair".
 
Philippine officials and East Timor's Foreign Minister, Jose Ramos Horta, said Burma was the only dissenter when East Timor's application for observer status was debated by the foreign ministers. Mr Ramos Horta said he was disappointed by the decision, which had been expected because of links between the Burmese democracy movement and the Timorese resistance during its struggle for independence from Indonesia.
 
Mr Ramos Horta has spoken out strongly in support of Aung San Suu Kyi, whose National League for Democracy won a landslide election victory a decade ago but was blocked from power by the military. Ms Suu Kyi has remained under virtual house arrest for the past 18 months despite intermittent peace talks with the regime.
 
"It is in the interests of ASEAN that they embrace East Timor rather than trying to keep it out," Mr Ramos Horta said. "It is important for peace and regional stability."
 
There was considerable support among existing ASEAN members for the Burmese democracy movement, including from Indonesia, whose President Megawati Sukarnoputri has publicly expressed solidarity with Ms Suu Kyi, he said.
 
"The Burmese should not worry that we would be unhelpful and unco operative within ASEAN. An independent East Timor would work with its neighbours on regional matters rather than taking unilateral positions."
 
Mr Ramos Horta, who, like Ms Suu Kyi, is a Nobel peace laureate, said he had been instrumental in persuading 20 other Nobel laureates to modify a statement on Burma published in December to give "constructive and balanced acknowledgement of steps towards progress" in the country's political standoff.
 
Mr Ramos Horta said he accepted the view of several ASEAN members, including Singapore, that East Timor would not be ready to meet the requirements of full membership for a number of years. East Timor has also applied for observer status with the South Pacific Forum.
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Bangkok Post - Monday 04 March 2002
EDITORIAL - Golden Triangle tries a comeback
 
The war on terrorism has handed the dictators in Burma a problem and an opportunity. The Taliban-run drug trade in Afghanistan has been disrupted by the US intervention and the installation of a new, civilised regime in Kabul. Government forces in Colombia have made major inroads on new opium fields in that country. This has restored Burma as the world's leading source of illicit opium and heroin. The generals in Rangoon will show clearly in the next few months whether their promises to fight drug trafficking are real or lip service.
 
Nothing has altered the global traffic in heroin so much as the defeat of the Taliban. But victory over terrorism in Afghanistan has not changed the demand for drugs around the world. After a drop in demand and production last year, gangs in Burma and Laos have rushed to fill the gap. The new alliance between the United Wa State Army and the 14K triad has worked to fill new orders. There have been marked increases lately in heroin seizures in Thailand and China.
 
The danger is that the Golden Triangle will soon return to its prominence of 30 years ago, as heroin producer for the world. The Burma-Laos-Thailand border region was the undisputed leader in the traffic in opium and heroin. A highly successful string of anti-opium programmes has wiped out significant cultivation of opium in Thailand. The communist regime in Laos dabbled briefly in drugs after its 1975 accession to power, but has since stressed drug campaigns. Burma has long confused propaganda with action, but opium harvests began to drop at the turn of the century, partly by Rangoon action and partly because of drought.
 
As Burma production dropped, Afghanistan built its crop during the 1990s to more than 3,000 tonnes of opium a year. The Taliban encouraged opium production. The regime seized all harvests and aided trafficking in heroin. In 2000, the regime banned opium growing, and production dropped to 185 tonnes in 2000. Last year, Burma regained its unenviable lead as the world's top producer, with 68% of the global opium production.
 
But the Taliban lifted its ban on opium cultivation after one year. Full-scale production had not resumed by the time the regime was ousted. Sandro Calvani, Asian representative for the United Nations International Drug Control Programme, believes Afghanistan will be a minor factor in the global heroin traffic at least for the short term.
 
That puts a lot of pressure on Burma. One of the closest watchers of the tense situation is Thirapat Santimetaneedol, deputy secretary of the Office of the Narcotics Control Board. He believes as much as 3,000 tonnes of opium is being harvested right now, triple last year's crop. Chinese police seized more than 12 tonnes of heroin last year _ the result of refining 120 tonnes of opium _ and have already complained the Golden Triangle output is at ``alarming heights''.
 
The generals in Rangoon have alternated statements about their drug policy. On one hand, they have complained that lack of aid has made fighting drug traffickers difficult. On the other, they have promised strong efforts to wipe out drugs. And along the way, they directly encourage the international fugitives Wei Hsueh-kang of the United Wa State Army, Lo Hsing-han and Khun Sa.
 
As the home of the biggest regional methamphetamine trafficker and the top world heroin peddlers, Burma has reached a crossroads. Within weeks, everyone will know how much opium is in the hands of the Burmese traffickers. Only the Rangoon regime can prevent a return to the drug-driven ways of the old Golden Triangle. Heroin abuse by Thais and others, the continuing spread of Aids and the ability of the three-nation region to battle its worst security threat are at stake.
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The New Straits Times Press - Tuesday, 05 March 2002
PENANG
Towards a Malaysia-Thailand-Myanmar FMD-free zone by 2007
by Aida Ahmad
 
Plans are afoot to establish a foot and mouth disease-free zone involving Malaysia, southern Thailand and Myanmar by 2007, Agriculture Minister Datuk Mohd Effendi Norwawi said today.
 
He said the proposed FMD-free zone was critical because the animal industry was a very important component of food production activity in the three nations as well as in other Asean countries.
 
"We have the resources to further develop the animal industry-related sectors and generate active trade between neighbouring countries.
 
"Free trade in animal and animal products cannot be established when the risk of spreading disease remains high.
 
"As such, we need to set up the FMD-free zone," he said.
 
Mohd Effendi said achieving the FMD-free zone status was a very important quest for Malaysia since the country was also expanding its cattle industry, through integration with oil palm plantations.
 
"At present, only Sabah and Sarawak has been declared free of the FMD.
 
"We will take steps to eradicate the disease starting with Johor before expanding expanding to other States," he said.
 
He also said the FMD-free zone, which would be certified by the World Animal Health Organisation (OIE), was important to enable the three countries to be FMD-free and to strengthen the development of the animal industry in South-east Asia.
 
"We hope to achieve the FMD-free status in the shortest possible time and Malaysia is fully committed on this," he said when opening the Eighth Meeting of the OIE Sub-Commission for FMD in South-east Asia at Penang Parkroyal Hotel in Batu Ferringhi today.
 
Also present were Veterinary Services Department director-general Datuk Dr Mohd Nordin Mohd Nor, State Veterinary Services Department director Dr Mohd Zairi Serlan, OIE Regional Commission for Asia, Far East and Oceania and OIE Sub-Commission for FMD in South-east Asia president Dr Gardner Murray, OIE of Paris director-general representative Dr James Pearson, OIE for Asia representative Dr Teruhide Fujita and OIE South East Asia coordinator Dr John Edwards.
 
The six-day long meeting was also attended by 80 delegates from the department and the private sector.
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Mizzima News - March 4, 2002
Will there be a real transition in Burma?
By Hre Mang
 
A regime change in Burma is unlikely to take place soon. The potential for transition is vested in political transformation monitored by the regime in compromise with the opposition and under agreed exit guarantees and the promise of an adequate political role in future government for army personnel.
 
 After more than a decade of struggle, there is no clue as to the overthrow of the military government, and it is anyone?s guess what kind of political transition may be likely to take place in Burma. The military government's first attempt at distracting attention from demands for political transition, the multi-party national elections of 1990, deceived and misled many democratic activists and supporters. The second attempt, the so-called covert dialogue, which has been taking place since October 2000 offers the military government an effective political strategy to persuade the international community for its ultimate commitment and to distract democratic activists. It still remains unknown how political transition is going to take place in Burma and what form it will take.
 
Enthusiastic student activists have dispersed throughout the world and fragmented into multiple parties and organizations, and some even have become professionals. The future of the exiled government run by the 1990 MP-elects is uncertain while its political approach has been ineffective, not strong enough to overthrow the military government. The international community's attitude towards the Burmese military government was moderated by its subtle way of dealing with ethnic insurgencies, the so-called "Armed Peace," its covert talks with the opposition leader Daw Suu, and by its release of some political prisoners.
 
Where does the future of Burma?s political transition lie?
 
Compared to the immediacy of the student force after 1988, the strength of Burma?s student activists has been dispersed into many different parties and organizations around the world. Cease-fires in many instances of ethnic insurgency have been negotiated by the military government, including with one of the strongest groups, the Kachin Independent Organization (KIO). The KNU had been facing usual internal factionalism. Armed groups do not command enough power to overthrow the military government in absence of a supporting military intervention by the international community. Armed struggles in Burma have almost been cracked down almost entirely by the military government.
 
The importance of Burma in the Asian regional politics has increased, especially among the Asian super powers, China, India and Japan. China, which shares with Burma a history of cracking down on student activists and of accusations of human rights violations, seems willing to protect the Burmese military government if necessary. China has become Burma?s economic and military backbone, especially after 1990 and after the collapse of the Burma Communist Movement. China's role in Burma?s political transition is very important, not only because of its status as a regional power but also because of its veto power in the UN. Without the consent of China, the United Nations is unlikely to be able to take any effective action in Burma. The UN envoy?s and delegates' intervention merely publicizes the regime's political deals and gives the regime an opportunity to underscore its international legitimacy as though it did in fact intend true political transition from a military to civilian government.
 
India, with its internal insurgency problems in the northeastern region and with fear and jealousy of China's advantage in relations with Burma, has started to make a positive gesture and deal with the Burma military government. On the military level, Burmese and Indian soldiers conducted several joint counter-insurgency operations along the Indo-Burma border in order to tackle Indian ethnic insurgencies and Burmese democratic fighters. India is enthusiastic about building a cross-border trade road, connecting regions inside Burma with Moreh in Maipur and Champhai in Mizoram. India's contribution to the progress of Burma?s democratization is thus unlikely to weaken the regime, which on the contrary, is strengthened militarily and economically by India's constructive engagement.
 
At the same time, Japan, which is unwilling to yield the Burmese market to China, has interacted with the military government on the issue of humanitarian assistance. Thailand, on the other hand, traditionally an uncomfortable neighbour, shows little interest in Burma?s internal politics, with the exception of domestic problems created by Burmese refugees in the country. Singapore has been one of the countries extending much support to the military government, without much concern for the Burma?s internal politics, as a faithful neighbour holding up the ?no interference to others' domestic problems and peaceful co-existence? policy. The impression this picture gives is that there is little political pressure from Burma?s neighbours towards its timely political transition from military rule to civilian government. In absence of the corporation of the Asian neighbouring countries, however, effective pressure on the regime by means of economic sanctions looks unlikely.
 
Asia?s regional organizations ASEAN, APEC and ADB, are much less institutionalized and politicized than their western counterparts like NATO. Their constructive dealing with the military government will only, within a limited capacity, help to liberalize it. Overall, the Burmese military government does not encounter any potential threat either politically or economically in its regional context. The absence of such threats makes western pressure grow ineffective, too.
 
Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, a non-violent democratic leader, without any public information about her covert talks with the Military government since 2000, has to liberalize her stand for a persuasive manner as the only possible way for political transition. As the Burmese public has been excluded from politics for more than four decades, the role of civil society in the potential political transition is negligible at this time. It is for this reason that civil disobedience in a bid to overthrow the military government after the 1988 example is unlikely to take place. Unlike the example set by other countries' political transformation from military regime to civilian government, the Burma military government will not voluntarily give up political power and return to the barracks.
 
The Burmese military regime, unlike the ones in Argentina, Greece, and Panama, is unlikely to collapse by itself very soon, having sustained itself through four decades of experience. After the experience of the 1988 massacre, civil disobedience is unlikely to take place (although it can happen at any time) as the military government has proven its tactics of brutal oppression towards any act of civil disobedience. Moreover, there seems no sign for fraction within the army in the near future as internal cleansing has taken place. The Burmese government, one of the world's most brutal regimes will not give up power for economic reasons inspite of its citizens? economic starvation. Generally, many countries' political transitions from dictatorship, monarchy and military regime to civil government took place under conditions of internal collapse within the regime, balanced political power on the opposition side, with support of international intervention. After receiving proof of public disapproval since 1988, the current Burmese military regime does not claim to have a legitimate political role. Rather, it has been playing games to legitimize the military's political role based on its claim regarding nationalism, national peace and security. While the regime is unlikely to give up political power voluntarily, the only scenario for transition is transformation in which the military regime will monitor and design the future government with exit guarantees for its personnel.
 
Should this scenario not come about, "people power", the mass mobilization of outraged citizens, is necessary to press demands for political transition. It is obvious to the regime that among the people of Burma, there is no ideological confusion over democracy and dictatorship. The regime has stopped to impugn Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and her democratic ideology. On the other hand, it has tried to influence the people with its nationalism, anti-colonialism, anti-Westernism and with the importance of the military's historic political stance for the peace and security of the people in Burmese politics. The military leaders' understanding of democracy within the Burmese social, cultural and political context is much different from that espoused by Western democracy. Besides power competition, there exist incompatible ideological differences between the military leaders and the opposition.
 
Therefore, while there has been no balanced political power between the regime government and the opposition, only when there is a compromise from the opposition, the regime government is likely to proceed with political transformation (not replacement) in which body (for example an interim government) both the military leaders and the opposition will share power.
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Burma exiled MPs reaffirm 1990 election mandate
Mizzima News
March 3, 2002
 
The exiled Members of Parliament from Burma have reaffirmed that they will not ignore the verdict of the people expressed through the general elections held in 1990 and that they will continue to struggle for ending military rule and establishing a federal democratic Union of Burma. This was announced at the end of a meeting of ?Elected Representatives of the Union of Burma? held from February 25 to March 1 at Bommersvik in Sweden.
 
According to the BOMMERSVIK Declaration which was released today, the Burma parliamentarians said that one of their immediate objectives is to ?promote and ensure, to the extent possible? that the on-going talks be speeded up to a political dialogue and become a tripartite dialogue involving the ethnic nationalities of the country.
 
The ruling military government and opposition leader Daw Aung San Suu Kyi has been entering into ?political talks? since October last year. The military government, however, maintains tight control in the country and refused to hand over power to the National League for Democracy (NLD), which won a landslide victory in the election.
 
?(We) Affirm that based on the 1990 election results, the NLD led by Daw Aung San Suu Kyi has the mandate to form the Government of the Union of Burma, and that the NLD and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi have the right to enter into a dialogue with the SPDC and others, and to negotiate a transition to democracy?, said the declaration.
 
The Burma parliamentarians also appealed to the Japanese government to withhold resumption of Official Development Assistance (ODA) to Burma ?until a transparent, accountable and responsive government of national reconciliation is in place?. They also requested Burma?s neighboring countries to fully support and cooperate with the UN Special Envoy in his endeavors to bring about national reconciliation in Burma.
 
The five-day ?Convention of Elected Representatives of Burma? was held with the assistance of the Swedish Government and Olof Palme International Center and attended by 19 Members of Parliament belonging to the National Coalition Government of the Union of Burma  (NCGUB) and the Members of Parliament Union (MPU).
 
The NCGUB was formed outside Burma with some Members of Parliament after the 1990 elections. It has been facing criticisms from the Burma Diasporas in exile, allegedly for its ?inefficiency and monopoly of the exiled democratic movement?.
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Narinjara news
March 4, 2002
Dhaka-Ctg-Yangon-Bangkok flight begins
 
The Biman Bangladesh Airline started operating its Dhaka-Chittagong-Yangon-Bangkok flight from Yesterday.
 
State Minister for Civil Aviation and tourism Mir Mohammad Nasiruddin inaugurated the one-a-week flight at MA Hannan International Airport in Chittagong in the after noon.
 
The minister greeted the passengers of the first flight with follower. The plane took off at 1.15 pm with 178 passengers.
 
 The Biman will operate the newly  introduced flight every sun day. It will fly to Bangkok via Yangon.
 
With the introduction of the new flight, along cherished dream of the people of Chittagong, the direct air line with Yangon, has been materialised.
 
This flight would open up a new era in the history of Biman operation as it restores a line between Chittagong and Myanmar, the state Minister said at the inaugural ceremony.
 
He also said that the government has a plan to set up a five hotel on the adjoining seashore.
 
Chairman of  the Civil Aviation Association of Bangladesh (CAAB) Lutfer Rahman, Managing Director of Bangladesh Biman Fakhrrul Alam also spoke at the ceremony where Divisional Commissioner o Chittagong Katebur Rahman, president of Chittagong Chamber of Commerce and Industry (CCCI) Farid Ahmed Chowdhury, CMP Commissioner Shadullah khan were present on the occasion.
 
Earlier, at a press briefing at the VIP lounge of the air port, the state minister said the government believes that the development in a democratic country is a continuous process.
 
He said that various steps have been taken to make the Biman a profit-making organization.
 
But the minister regretted that the MA Hannan airport, which was constructed at a cost of over TK 600 crore, remained under-utilised. 
 
He said that as part of different income-generating measures, Biman Bangladesh Airlines, for the first time, operated flights from Chittagong to Jeddah, ferrying around 20 thousand Hajj pilgrims this year.
 
Following requested and pressure from the business leaders and common people as well, the Chittagong-Yangon-Bangkok flight was introduced, the state minister said, adding that government was also actively considering introduction of flight on the Dhaka Chittagong-Muscat route from next month.
 
He further disclosed that an Air Silk flight would be introduced on Chittagong-Singapore route from March 31.
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Network Media Group
General Mya Cheers up Japanese Government for delaying ODA
 
Open Letter to Prime Minister of Japan
To
The Rt. Hon. Premier Junichiro Koizumi
The Government of Japan
Tokyo, Japan
 
February 28, 2002
Your Excellency,
 
First, I would like to extend my warmest greetings to you and your government on behalf of the organizations of Burma struggling for freedom, democracy and peace. I would like to congratulate you and your government also for taking steps to delay the release of ODA to the SPDC military regime. We have no doubt that it is the correct way to treat this pariah regime.
 
Our country has been under successive military regimes, in one form or another, for 40 years now. They have increasingly oppressed and enslaved the entire people made up of various nationalities, destroyed the economy and have become more and more dependant on narcotic drug business, for their regular income. The SPDC military regime is the worst of them all.
 
In his complaint to the international Press, the SPDC foreign minister, Win Aung, downplayed the importance of the Japanese assistance, despite the fact that Japan has been the largest donor country to Burma. On the other hand, he praised China as a true friend of Burma. This is an attempt by the regime to play Japan against China, which is a rising economic power at least in Asia. It is also a public _expression_ of gratitude to China, which has been a provider of military hardware to the SPDC regime. However, the people of Burma will never accept any country helping the military regime to perpetuate its stay in power.
 
We hope that Japan, the second largest economy in the world and the dynamo of economic development in Southeast Asia, would be more active as a leader for freedom, justice and peace, at least in the Asian region. It is time to treat firmly with oppressive regimes, terrorists and, producers and traffickers of illicit drugs.
 
In closing, I would like to wish you success in all your endeavors, especially your effort to improve the economic situation, carry out political reform and eliminate official corruption in your country.
Sincerely,
(Saw Bo Mya)
Chairman
National Council of the Union of Burma
 
Source: KNU European Representative Office
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