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Burma Related News - Sep 22, 2001.



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BURMA RELATED NEWS - September 22, 2001.
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HEADLINES
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Sun Star - Manila: Asean may form anti-terror front
Dow Jones - Money Laundering Methods Grow, And So Do Countermeasures
BBC - Burma opposition leader blocked
AP - Myanmar Opposition Reopens Office
The Daily Star - Suu Kyi marks one year under house arrest
Bkk Post - EDITORIAL - Burma takes a step in right direction
Bkk Post - Neighbours could be asked
Bkk Post - More than 500,000 likely to apply for their papers
Xinhuanet - Myanmar's Machinery Import Up in First Half
NSTP - Myanmar nationals nabbed
ST - 10 monks caught in drug raid
SCMP - Myanmar leader to visit
SCMP - Activist making waves despite isolation
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Sun Star Network
Saturday September 22, 8:00 AM
Manila: Asean may form anti-terror front
 
President Arroyo said Friday she would push for the creation of a regional anti-terrorist front at the annual meeting of Southeast Asian leaders in November.
 
The government put forward the idea as Washington called for a global war against terrorists suspected to be behind the terror attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon last week.
 
Arroyo's plan is in line with opposition Sen. Edgardo Angara's call for Malacañang to take the initiative build a network of cooperation against terrorism, secessionist, separatist and terrorist groups in the Asean region.
 
Vice President Teofisto Guingona, who is also the foreign minister, has "already started to sound out the other two" on setting up a regional anti-terrorism coalition, Arroyo said, referring to Indonesia and Malaysia.
 
"In the course of sounding out, there was an idea that arose that it might even graduate into a major agenda item in the next Asean summit," Arroyo told a news conference.
 
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) leaders next meet in Brunei on November 5-6. The grouping also includes Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.
 
Kuala Lumpur Wednesday said it was awaiting further details on the proposal, noting that nothing official had been transmitted by Manila.
 
The neighbors face growing rebellions by Muslim separatists believed to be slowly linking up with each other.
 
The urgency of setting up a coalition was underscored by Malaysian leader Mahathir Mohamad last month when he warned that a Malaysian-based group of Islamic radicals had forged links with Philippine and Indonesian separatists.
 
Money and weapons
 
Also, an expert said Friday that Osama bin Laden's Al Qaeda network has supplied money and weapons for Indonesians and other Islamic fighters waging a "holy war" against Christians in the Malukus.
 
Al Chaidar, an academic who has written 18 books on radical Muslim groups in the world's most populous Muslim nation, said in an interview that bin Laden and his network channel funds and weapons to a militant Islamic network in Jakarta called the "Darul Islam" to fight the jihad in the Malukus, Indonesia's fabled 'Spice Islands'.
 
The links were forged when 30,000 Indonesians fought alongside the mujahideen from 1983 to 1989 against the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan, he said.
 
Bin Laden, considered by the U.S. as the chief suspect behind the September 11 terrorist attacks in New York and Washington, was among the key backers of the mujahideen fighters.
 
Al Chaidar said the 15,000 Indonesian fighters who returned home make up the core of the Darul Islam, which he described as a clandestine network that conducts terrorist operations in Indonesia.
 
"They maintain contact with the international mujahideen network, including Osama bin Laden's group. Wherever a jihad is in force, this network provides money and weapons and all tools needed for the jihad, and they mobilise fighters to go to the jihad area," Al Chaidar added.
 
"This is exactly what is happening in the Malukus. Osama bin Laden is one of those who have sent money and weapons to jihad fighters in the Malukus."
 
Al Chaidar estimated that bin Laden supplied up to 50 million rupiah (US$5,300) for the first wave of 7,000 jihad fighters sent to the Malukus in 1999.
 
"The majority of Darul Islam leaders make contact directly with Al Qaeda and Al Qaeda directly sends funds. Al Qaeda has supplied money and weapons for the jihad in the Malukus," he said.
 
An estimated 4,000 people have died in three years of sporadic fighting between Muslims and Christians in the Maluku islands.
 
Smuggled
 
In Manila, retired general Eduardo Ermita, a security adviser to President Arroyo, has also said that Indonesian authorities have alerted Manila to firearms being smuggled by Filipino rebels to Islamic separatists in Indonesia's Aceh province.
 
"In all probability" the guns could have been provided by the Abu Sayyaf, a small group of self-style Islamic freedom fighters holding hostage 18 U.S. and Filipino hostages in the south, he said.
 
Philippine officials say the Abu Sayyaf once received aid from bin Laden, wanted by the U.S. dead or alive for the September 11 attacks.
 
Also on Friday, Sen. Rodolfo Biazon held the first briefing of the United Nations Convention Against Transnational Organized Crime at the Senate committee on foreign affairs level. Biazon sits as chairman of the committee.
 
He said the correct step to take now, in relation to a cooperative network against terrorism, is to hasten the passage of a law that would address organized crime groups, including terrorists.
 
"Transnational crime is a major non-traditional security challenge that confronts all states. It is a transnational challenge to the viability of societies, independence of governments, integrity of financial institutions and the functioning of democracy," Biazon said.
 
Angara agreed, saying it is timely that the country takes advantage of the growing consensus of rage against international terrorism.
 
Manila backs U.S. President George W. Bush's call for a global war against terrorists, with Arroyo earlier offering the use of the country's airports for refuelling or transshipment points for US forces.
 
Military sources also said three US F-18 fighter jets from the U.S. base in Okinawa, Japan landed at the Mactan International Airport in central Cebu city on Friday for refuelling. They stayed only 30 minutes before leaving on an unspecified mission. (Sunnex/wires)
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Friday September 21, 11:11 PM
Money Laundering Methods Grow, And So Do Countermeasures
By Debra Marks
 
DUBLIN (Dow Jones)--The ways to evade detection of ill-gotten gains are growing - and so are the methods and means at governments' disposal to catch the crooks.
 
The issue is fast moving up the political agenda, not least because of last week's terrorist attacks in the U.S., which are alleged to have been carried out by people funded by businesses linked to prime suspect Osama bin Laden.
 
Experts say the shift in focus onto the terrorists and away from drug cartels and organized crime is clearly underway. Tax havens that once turned a blind eye towards untraceable loot are also coming under sharper scrutiny.
 
"No matter how vigilant a government is, there is always the possibility for funds to be redirected or misused," said a Cayman Islands auditor, a specialist in white collar crime, who asked for anonymity. "How difficult is it to launder money? There are so many ways of doing it that it only depends on how well hidden you want the funds to be."
 
The auditor said governments are desperately trying to keep up with the myriad of money laundering techniques.
 
"Money launderers are always looking to be one step ahead of law enforcement," he said. "That's the nature of their business. And governments are in a mad dash to find not just the funds but the new ways to channel the funds away from detection."
 
The auditor said establishing corporate and trust vehicles that make it difficult - or nearly impossible - to establish and track beneficial owners of businesses or trusts are a preferred method of operation for money launderers.
 
"Not knowing beneficial ownership doesn't mean it's impossible to find the money launderers but it makes it fairly difficult," he said.
 
Meanwhile, offshore financial centers are on a high state of alert. The Cayman Islands Monetary Authority said this week that it's prepared to help investigate whether offshore funds were used to fund last week's terrorist attacks.
 
"The Cayman Islands has long been aware of the risk to our financial services industry of its use by criminals and their confederates," said John Bourbon of the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.
 
The issue is so hot around the globe that European Union finance ministers and central bank governors will discuss it at their monthly meeting Saturday. The group will also try to hammer out ways to tackle terrorism and the money used to finance such activities, as well as ways to strengthen the role of authorities that supervise markets.
 
Moves were afoot last year to try to fortify a 1991 banking directive that would have gone a long way towards combatting money laundering, but the European Parliament raised objections that have held up its adoption.
 
This may be about to change.
 
Currently, E.U. rules oblige bankers to only report suspicions of money laundering in cases involving drug trafficking. The new proposals would extend the rules to other professions, including lawyers and accountants, and cover "all serious criminal activities."
 
To avoid undermining lawyer-client confidentiality, the directive exempts lawyers from reporting information they receive from clients during criminal proceedings.
 
Parliament, however, is pushing for a broader exclusion for lawyers. A conciliation committee began meeting this week and has up to eight weeks to find a compromise, said Jonathan Todd, spokesman for E.U. Internal Market Commissioner Frits Bolkestein.
 
Both sides agreed that in the light of recent events, public opinion won't accept a failure to reach agreement, Todd said.
 
Already operating under the umbrella of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development is the little-known Paris-based Financial Action Task Force on Money Laundering.
 
FATF is an intergovernmental body which crafts and promotes policies and, in its own words, tries to create the "political will necessary" to bring about changes to combat international money laundering efforts.
 
FATF helps members and non-members alike to set up effective anti-money-laundering systems, reviews new laundering techniques, and helps implement laundering countermeasures in non-member countries.
 
FATF's 29 member nations are made up of the industrialized world. Just this month, the FATF updated its list on "non-cooperative jurisdictions" which are: the Cook Islands, Dominica, Egypt, Guatemala, Grenada, Hungary, Indonesia, Israel, Lebanon, Marshall Islands, Myanmar, Nauru, Nigeria, Philippines, Russia, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and the Ukraine.
 
And only in June, the FATF took off its "non-cooperative list" the nations of the Bahamas, the Cayman Islands, Lichtenstein and Panama, saying it would "monitor closely future developments" in those countries. It also said Egypt, Guatemala, Hungary, Indonesia, Myanmar and Nigeria continued to have "serious deficiencies."
 
This week, the Bush Administration said it plans to set up permanent law-enforcement teams in San Francisco and Chicago to combat money laundering by suspected terrorists, illustrating the quick shift away from monitoring drug dealers and more towards the bigger threat of terrorists.
 
"We're going to follow the money trail wherever it leads," said U.S. Treasury Undersecretary for Enforcement, Jimmy Gurule.
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BBC - Saturday, 22 September, 2001, 11:41 GMT 12:41 UK
Burma opposition leader blocked
By the BBC's Larry Jagan in Bangkok
 
Burma's pro-democracy leader, Aung San Suu Kyi, is marking the first anniversary of her confinement under house arrest in Rangoon.
 
Her movements were restricted after she attempted to travel outside the capital.
 
Senior members of her party, the National League for Democracy (NLD), were also detained.
 
The NLD won elections held in 1990, but the military never allowed it to govern.
 
Talks
 
Aung San Suu Kyi is no stranger to confinement. She was originally put under house arrest in 1989 and spent six years there.
 
But this time it has been different. The country's military rulers have begun to talk to her. She is not actually meeting the senior generals, an NLD spokesman told the BBC, but there is regular contact between the two sides.
 
The talks are being held in secret and no one knows what is actually being discussed.
 
Diplomats in Rangoon say the talks are still at a confidence-building stage.
 
Since the dialogue process began, more than 200 political prisoners, including two senior NLD leaders, have been freed.
 
Human rights groups say there are more than 1,500 political prisoners in Burma's jails. The NLD spokesman told the BBC that all political prisoners had to be released if the talks were to move beyond this initial trust-building stage.
 
Meetings
 
Many critics believe the Burmese generals are not serious about political change, and have only entered the dialogue process in an effort to deflect international criticism and in the hope that it might also lessen their international isolation.
 
In the past year Aung San Suu Kyi has been allowed to meet senior members of her party, senior diplomats and UN officials.
 
A Burmese Government spokesman says Aung San Suu Kyi is under voluntary confinement, but that is not how the NLD spokesman sees it. He told the BBC that Aung San Suu Kyi wanted all restrictions on her movement lifted immediately, including being able to travel outside Rangoon. Only then, say diplomats, will the dialogue process actually be making real progress.
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Myanmar Opposition Reopens Office
The Associated Press, Sat 22 Sep 2001
 
YANGON, Myanmar (AP) — Myanmar's democratic opposition reopened a party branch office on Saturday, the first anniversary of the house arrest of its leader, Aung San Suu Kyi.
 
The country's military rulers confined Suu Kyi to her Yangon villa on Sept. 22, 2000, after she defied government travel restrictions.
 
They have also attempted to hobble her National League for Democracy, arresting its members and closing many of the party's 40 offices in and around the capital.
 
Party spokesman Lwin said the 19th office was allowed to be reopened in the northern Yangon suburb Mingaladon. Twenty party branch offices still remained closed in the Yangon area, he said.
 
Asked if the NLD will issue any demand for Suu Kyi's release to mark the anniversary, Lwin said: ``No special statement will be released. We have always demanded her release.''
 
``Despite the restriction, (she) is well informed of party activities and reorganization work. She is fully occupied reading, receiving guests and meditating,'' he said in a telephone interview.
 
Over the past year Suu Kyi has been allowed to meet a number of foreign officials, including U.N. special envoy Razali Ismail and U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Ralph Boyce.
 
Soon after her house arrest and after Razali's visit to Myanmar, the military and Suu Kyi began talks in October to break a long-standing deadlock.
 
The regime has since released 168 political prisoners, including some senior NLD leaders. But there are no signs that the military will ease its grip on power.
 
Suu Kyi, who led a 1988 pro-democracy uprising, was placed under formal house arrest from 1989 to 1995. Short-term restrictions on her movements were imposed in following years, and last September she was again confined to her residence after attempting to travel by train to the northern city of Mandalay for party activities.
 
Since the 1988 uprising was suppressed, Suu Kyi has spent seven out of 13 years under restriction.
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The Daily Star - Sep 22, 2001.
Suu Kyi marks one year under house arrest
AFP, Yangon
 
Democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi will by Saturday have spent one year confined to her lakeside home on the orders of Myanmar's junta, which has given no sign of when she could be released.
 
Despite the restrictions, the Nobel peace laureate has had a productive 12 months, embarking on landmark talks with the military and receiving a stream of high-profile international visitors.
 
The political atmosphere in Yangon has thawed since the talks began, leading to the release of nearly 200 opposition figures including senior members of her National League for Democracy (NLD).
 
The opposition leader has also been allowed to receive top officials from her party, as well as envoys from the United Nations, the European Union, the US State Department and the International Labour Organisation.
 
"Despite her incarceration she is well informed about what is going on inside the party and elsewhere," a close family friend told AFP.
 
As a devout Buddhist, Aung San Suu Kyi has used the periods of house arrest during her long struggle against the generals in Yangon as an opportunity to hone her renowned mental and spiritual toughness.
 
The family friend said the 56-year-old maintained a simple, somewhat austere lifestyle, and found the isolation agreed with her.
 
"She exercises and meditates regularly and is in good health," he said.
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Bangkok Post - Sep 22, 2001.
EDITORIAL - Burma takes a step in right direction
 
Although the situation in Burma is not high among the concerns of world leaders this week, it is nonetheless coming under intense scrutiny from the International Labour Organisation (ILO).
 
In an unprecedented move last November, the ILO urged its 175 member governments to impose sanctions and review their dealings with Burma to ensure the government is not abetting forced labour.
 
The job of the team now touring that country is to investigate developments and decide if the junta has ended this odious practice.
 
There is a lot riding on the report they will file at the end of their three-week trip. It will be considered by the ILO governing body, which will meet at the agency's headquarters in Geneva in two months to decide if further punitive action is warranted.
 
This is not the first ILO fact-finding team to visit Burma but it is by far the most important, a fact recognised by the ruling junta which, for the first time, has granted it permission to travel around the country to make its own direct assessment of the forced labour situation.
 
The high-level multinational team intends to interview victims and villagers, not government functionaries, and the members demonstrated their resolve by meeting foreign diplomats and Aung San Suu Kyi within hours of flying into the Burmese capital.
 
The ILO team has also had talks with other leaders of what remains of her National League for Democracy party.
 
Burma has done the right thing by allowing unrestricted access for the investigators and in guaranteeing that no reprisals will be taken against anyone they interview. This is a sign of maturity and a retreat from the xenophobia which used to characterise its dealings with the outside world. Its membership of Asean has clearly had a positive influence.
 
The International Labour Organisation also deserves to be congratulated for its refusal to shy away from controversy, not always a hallmark of United Nations' agencies.
 
Regardless of who might be offended, the ILO frequently singles out erring nations and doles out criticism or praise, more often the former. Over the past decade, Burma's use of forced labour and suppression of human rights and democracy has placed it in the firing line and made that country-a signatory to the 1930 International Labour Organisation Convention-a prime target of its wrath.
 
Burma's military rulers used to claim its citizens were happy to work long hours for free because they wanted to make merit. This canard was abandoned after military intelligence chief Gen Khin Nyunt finally admitted that forced labour had occurred in the past but was no longer considered necessary.
 
That failed to placate the UN High Commission for Refugees, which said that it had "received information that, in order to reduce disruptions in adults' income-earning activities, families had resorted to sending children to perform labour in place of adult members of the families". Nor did it impress the ILO, which added that "no action seems to have been taken to punish those exacting forced labour".
 
Reports published by international bodies and non-governmental organisations have consistently made claims of up to two million civilians being press-ganged to work without pay on the construction of roads, railways and bridges, usually on the orders of the military. Of course, there is no way to validate these figures, which is exactly why the present ILO investigation has become necessary.
 
If compulsory labour and abuse of workers' rights is becoming a thing of the past we can expect to see fewer Burmese fleeing into Thailand to seek a living, which would be a welcome development.
 
And, if the ILO team can give Burma a clean bill of health, it will be an indication that real progress has been made in an area where it is most needed.
 
If not, Burma could pay a high price for its inaction.
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Bangkok Post - Sep 22, 2001.
Neighbours could be asked
Any U-tapao request needs consultation
Wassana Nanuam
 
Thailand will have to consult its Asean neighbours if the United States asks to use U-tapao airbase to carry out military operations against terrorism, the defence minister said yesterday.
 
Gen Chavalit Yongchaiyudh said the question of whether the US should be allowed to use its former airbase in Chon Buri's Sattahip district for military operations was a sensitive issue.
 
The decision would affect not only Thailand but also its neighbours, he said.
 
If the US asked to use U-tapao, Thailand would have to gauge the views of its people and raise the matter with other Asean countries, Gen Chavalit said.
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Bangkok Post - Sep 22, 2001.
More than 500,000 likely to apply for their papers
Permits to be issue din just three hours
 
The labour ministry expects more than 500,000 alien workers to turn up for registration running from Monday to Oct 13.
 
The ministry said it hoped to process applications and issue work permits within three hours.
 
Dej Bunlong, the labour minister, said registration would benefit employers and workers alike.
 
Employers would no longer have to pay kickbacks to keep their workers. Workers, in turn, would be entitled to health care coverage.
 
The government would launch a crackdown on unregistered workers and the companies employing them once the deadline lapsed.
 
Employers should contact labour offices for an appointment ahead of registration to save time, he said. An appointment would enable officials to complete the process within three hours.
 
The ministry was well-prepared to cope with the 20-day registration expected to attract some 500,000 alien workers.
 
Police had also approved a ministry request to take from workers prints of all ten fingers instead of two as earlier proposed, for enhanced reference and security purposes.
 
The cost of registration to be borne by the employers included an initial payment of 3,250 baht a worker including health insurance, repatriation guarantee money, and six-month work permit fee.
 
Another 1,200 baht would be collected when the permit was renewed.
 
In Bangkok, registration venues would be opened at the labour market on Buddha Monthol Sai 3 road, the employment office in Ratchaburana, and Laksi Plaza on Chaeng Wattana road.
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Myanmar's Machinery Import Up in First Half
Xinhuanet 2001.09.22 10:43:03
 
YANGON, September 22 (Xinhuanet) -- Myanmar's import of machinery  equipment was valued at 421.16 million U.S. dollars in the first  half of this year, up 11.52 percent from  the year-ago period,  according to the latest data published by the country's Central  Statistical Organization Saturday.
 
During the six-month period, the import value of such machinery equipment accounted for 27.33 percent of the country's total  import value which was registered at 1,541 million dollars.
 
Of this, the import value of electric machinery apparatus  amounted to 119.65 million dollars, rising by 24.89 percent, while that of non-electric and transport equipment reached 301.51  million dollars, up 6.97 percent.
 
According to official statistics, in 2000, Myanmar imported 628. 05 million dollars' worth of machinery equipment.
 
Myanmar, an agricultural country, has to depend on import for  the majority of its different machinery equipment in need. 
 
The country is trying to produce agricultural implements as  import-substitute goods, getting aid from China in the  implementation of two agricultural machinery factory projects  which will produce walking tractors and reapers.
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The New Straits Times Press - Sep 22, 2001.
PENANG
Myanmar nationals nabbed
By S.Shankar
 
Police have detained four Myanmar nationals for allegedly collecting donations from the public to build a mosque in Klang Valley.
 
Acting on information, a Seberang Perai Utara (SPU) district police team picked up the four in a house in Tasek Gelugor during a raid between 3pm and 5pm.
 
The raiding party also seized several authorisation letters, purportedly issued by the Selangor and Federal Territory Islamic Religious Departments, and several blank letter-heads of the departments.
 
Initial police investigations revealed that three of the suspects had entered the country illegally a few months ago.
 
The other suspect, however, has a valid passport with him.
 
The suspects had been going round Seberang Prai Utara informing the residents that they were authorised by the Selangor and Federal Territory Islamic Religious Departments to collect donations to build a new mosque in Klang Valley.
 
The four are believed to have used false authorisation letters from the departments to substantiate their claims.
 
Confirming the case, SPU Criminal Investigation Department chief Deputy Superintendent Tajuddin Md Isa said police were investigating whether the four had been collecting donations in other districts in the State as well as other States.
 
The suspects have been remanded for a week.
 
Meanwhile, the State narcotics division nabbed two youths and seized from them 20 plastic packets of heroin weighing 200gm in Air Itam last night.
 
The duo were riding a motorcycle in Bandar Baru Air Itam at 11pm when a raiding party led by the division's operations deputy chief Assistant Superintendent Abdul Rahman Ahmad stopped them.
 
Upon checking, the police party recovered the packets in a small box kept in the motorcycle carrier.
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The Straits Times - Sep 22, 2001.
10 monks caught in drug raid
A temple raid in Thailand leading to five monks being defrocked highlights the widespread problem of drug abuse
 
BANGKOK - Five Thai monks have been defrocked after confessing to using methamphetamines, while another five caught in a drug raid also face being ousted from religious life, police said yesterday.p> Acting on a complaint from local worshippers, police carried out urine tests on 26 monks living at a temple in the central province of Ratchaburi on Thursday and found 10 of them had drugs in their system.
 
Five confessed immediately and further tests were being carried out to confirm the guilt of the remaining five, said Lieutenant-Colonel Krisana Sapdej of Ratchaburi police.
 
In a similar raid several weeks ago, he found another four drug-using monks who were also defrocked, he said.
 
The drug-using monks uncovered on Thursday have been sent to a provincial hospital for rehabilitation.
 
Lt-Col Krisana said drug abuse was a widespread problem among monks because parents often sent their drug-addicted sons to temples in the belief they would give up once they entered religious life.
 
Thailand faces a huge drug addiction crisis fed by methamphetamines which are churned out in clandestine drug factories on the Myanmar border.
 
The authorities said earlier this year that the amount of drugs flowing into Thailand has skyrocketed over the past three years, despite efforts to curb trafficking.
 
About 700 million amphetamine tablets are expected to enter Thailand this year, a big jump from the 100 million tablets estimated for 1998.
 
An estimated 6 per cent of Thailand's 62 million people are believed to be addicted.
 
Religious Affairs Department official Manop Polpairin said earlier this year that about 10 per cent of Thailand's 300,000 monks and novices have fallen prey to drug abuse and have sought treatment at rehabilitation centres. --AFP
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South China Morning Post
Saturday, September 22, 2001
MALAYSIA - Myanmar leader to visit
ASSOCIATED PRESS in Kuala Lumpur
 
Myanmar's military ruler will make a rare trip abroad next week, to Malaysia one his regime's strongest allies, the national news agency Bernama reported on Saturday.
 
Senior General Than Shwe, the chairman of Myanmar's ruling State Peace and Development Council, will hold talks with Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad on Tuesday. Bernama said the leaders are expected to sign several bilateral agreements, but did not elaborate.
 
The Myanmar leader, whose last visit to Malaysia was in 1996, will tour Kuala Lumpur's Petronas Twin Towers the world's tallest buildings on Wednesday before departing for Langkawi island, a holiday resort in northern Malaysia on the same day, Bernama reported. He leaves for Myanmar on Thursday.
 
Malaysia is emerging as a broker between Myanmar's generals and the opposition, and in helping end decades of isolation in the impoverished country.
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South China Morning Post
Saturday, September 22, 2001
MYANMAR - Activist making waves despite isolation
AUNG HLA TUN of Reuters in Yangon
 
Pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi has spent the past year locked inside her Yangon house, cut off from contact, her voice silenced. Yet she is closer than ever to a political breakthrough.
 
In the early hours of September 22 last year, police forcibly ended an attempt by the 56-year-old Nobel Peace Prize laureate to leave Yangon and escorted her back to her lakeside house.
 
For the past year she has remained there, with her telephone cut and with only a few foreign diplomats permitted to see her.
 
But while the ruling generals have tried to keep her out of sight, they have also begun an unprecedented dialogue with her on Myanmar's future, and offered olive branches to the opposition after years of repression.
 
Few details of the talks have emerged, and the dialogue has not passed beyond the confidence-building stage.
 
But for Ms Aung San Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy (NLD), which won Myanmar's last election in 1990 by a landslide but was never allowed to govern, the talks have provided hope.
 
"There was no understanding or mutual confidence between us before September 22, 2000. We have now gained some understanding," NLD secretary U Lwin said. "But there is still plenty of room for improvement. As you all know, our leader still faces restrictions and there are a number of our members in prison."
 
The start of dialogue was welcomed by the international community and representatives of Myanmar's many ethnic groups. But the goodwill will not last forever. Opposition members and ethnic groups are pressing for more transparency and concrete proof that the dialogue is more than just a public relations exercise.
 
"Of course nobody can expect too much too quickly, but there is still real doubt about whether the Government is serious about these talks," a Western diplomat in Yangon said. "Until Aung San Suu Kyi is free to speak her mind, and to give her verdict on the talks, that doubt will stay."
 
Ms Aung San Suu Kyi is the daughter of Myanmar independence hero Aung San, who was assassinated when she was a child. Over the past decade, hundreds of NLD members have been harassed and detained.
 
Last year Ms Aung San Suu Kyi twice tried to travel outside Yangon. When her car was blocked south of Yangon in August she spent more than a week in a roadside stand-off that drew international condemnation of the military Government.
 
Her attempt to travel to the city of Mandalay by rail a year ago was also blocked.
 
The Government claimed no tickets were available and removed her from the station before launching a crackdown on the NLD.
 
But the start of talks with Ms Aung San Suu Kyi in October last year marked a thawing of the military's stance. More than 150 NLD detainees have been released over the past year, and the NLD and Government have agreed to stop public attacks on each other.
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