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Burma Related News - March 29, 2002.



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BURMA RELATED NEWS - March 29, 2002.
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HEADLINES
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FEER - Business Greed Behind Burma Arrests
LA Times - COMMENTARY - It's Not Easy to Bring Down a Dictator
AFP - UN rights expert says Myanmar destined for democratic change
AFP - Thailand protests to Myanmar over border clash that marred royal trip
Reuters - Senior China, ASEAN officials to talk trade in May
Reuters - Thailand protests over Myanmar border clash
AP - Myanmar regime frees 7 political prisoners
VOA News - UN Concerned About Human Rights Violations in Burma
DS - Govt plans Myanmar cell at EPB
Bkk Post - Wa attack an outrage, junta told
Bkk Post - Chavalit helping bring ethnic groups and Rangoon together
Bkk Post - Top brass celebrate Army Day but time is not on their side
The Nation - Protest over Wa attack
Xinhuanet - Myanmar Releases Seven More Opposition Members
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Far Eastern Economic Review
INTELLIGENCE - Business Greed Behind Burma Arrests
Issue cover-dated April 04, 2002
 
Burma's military junta decided to come down on the family of former dictator Ne Win after they ignored warnings from one of the country's top three rulers to end their business shenanigans. The government officially says Ne Win's son-in-law, Aye Zaw Win, and three of the old man's grandsons were arrested on March 7 because they had been conspiring to abduct the country's top three leaders--ruling State Peace and Development Council Chairman Gen. Than Shwe, army chief Gen. Maung Aye and intelligence boss Lt.-Gen. Khin Nyunt--and form a new military government loyal to the 90-year-old Ne Win. But diplomats and informed Burmese citizens in Rangoon say the coup claims were simply a convenient excuse for getting Ne Win's cocky and unpopular relatives out of the way. They say the triumvirate had earlier decided to clip the wings of Ne Win's son-in-law, Aye Zaw Win, and three grandsons because they were getting too big and arrogant in the Burmese business world, threatening local competitors and foreign investors. Khin Nyunt, a protégé of Ne Win, had been distancing himself from the former first family for more than a year and he was charged with admonishing them when things were getting out of control. The family ignored the warning.
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Los Angeles Times
March 28, 2002  
COMMENTARY - It's Not Easy to Bring Down a Dictator
By ANNA HUSARSKA
 
YANGON, Myanmar -- How encouraged we felt after watching the documentary, "Bringing Down a Dictator," about the end of Slobodan Milosevic's rule. It was previewed at a conference held in Virginia by the United States Institute of Peace and the International Center on Nonviolent Conflict (and will premiere on PBS on Sunday).
 
That meeting gathered practitioners of nonviolence, some who had already brought down their dictators--from nations such as Chile, South Africa and my native Poland--and some from nations that have yet to do it, such as Belarus, Iraq and Burma, renamed Myanmar by its military rulers. By the end of the conference I felt like a walking encyclopedia of nonviolent ideas, strategies and tactics.
 
Then I traveled to Burma. As a precaution I left behind the materials from the conference and my precious copy of "Bringing Down a Dictator." This was a wise move. Wise, too, is to leave behind all those ideas about how nonviolence and civil society can easily bring down a dictatorship. If every rule has an exception to confirm it, then Burma is the ultimate exception to the rule about the immense "power of the powerless," to paraphrase Vaclav Havel. The Burmese are kind and gentle people, so it is hard to watch them so thoroughly subdued by the military regime. Although dissenting ideas are easily found here, strong civil society is not.
 
In 1988, students inspired a general nonviolent revolt here, but the generals clamped down. Two years later in the parliamentary elections, 82% of the seats went to the opposition National League for Democracy, led by Aung San Suu Kyi, but the ruling junta prevented the victors from taking office. Thus the Burmese believe that even if they stand up to the regime, they may be crushed. Meanwhile, the junta learned to nip in the bud whatever the civil society may be planning. (Or the military brass: Witness the recent sacking of three high-ranking officials suspected of being coup plotters.) One way to do it is to impose extremely harsh punishments for the slightest show of dissent (two actor brothers from Mandalay got seven years behind bars for a joke, and a man got a 25-year sentence for possessing an unregistered fax machine).
 
Having a strong and unquestioned leader in Suu Kyi is a mixed blessing, because she eclipses others in the movement. Civil society in Burma is not sufficiently unified, organized, focused or powerful enough to bring down a dictatorship or even diminish its power.
 
So if there were any chance of this regime leaving the stage in a peaceful way, it would not happen because of inside pressure. But it may happen from a mixture of outside pressure and inside negotiations.
 
Since October 2000, this has been the reason for hope among the Burmese and Burma-watchers. During 14 months of talks between the generals and Suu Kyi, it has been them versus her, a far cry from the round table of negotiators that spelled the end of communist rule in Poland, but talk they do.
 
The Burmese talks are negotiated by United Nations special envoy Razali Ismail, but there's no word about progress other than it's "going well." This is frustrating for the Burmese. Those inside the country, more docile, cannot affect the outcome. Those outside call for transparency, but that's doubtful. It is equally doubtful that if any result is obtained, it will satisfy the Burmese or the regime, for that matter.
 
In Poland, where before the round-table process began, secret talks were held between recently released political prisoners and the hated generals who put them behind bars. The result was a less than satisfactory agreement, but it was the only one on the table. It led to unfree and unfair elections, but that ultimately proved to be a more than satisfactory beginning to the peaceful end of communist military dictatorship.
 
We can hope for the same in Burma. There are many ways to bring down a dictator.
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Friday March 29, 2:06 PM
UN rights expert says Myanmar destined for democratic change
 
(AFP) - The UN special rapporteur on human rights in Myanmar said he believed the country could embrace democracy and he called on the international community to support efforts to bring about change.
 
"I think that Myanmar is destined to change," Paulo Sergio Pinheiro told Thursday the 53-member UN Human Rights Commission, which is currently holding its annual session in Geneva.
 
"In spite of the slowness of the process and the limited political results that are so far apparent, I continue to believe that there is a will within the State Peace and Development Council to pursue a transition from political exclusion to cooperation with the National League for Democracy and other components of society," he said.
 
Pinheiro said if the international community wanted to see political and human rights progress, it should support the "efforts underway in a spirit of principled engagement".
 
The UN expert called on the military junta in Myanmar to free some 1,600 political prisoners, following the 263 released over the last 15 months.
 
The Brazilian rapporteur visited Myanmar in April and October 2001, and last month, during which he was able to talk individually with 25 political prisoners who he said had not complained of bad treatment.
 
But he lamented that many countries were being let off the hook for human rights violations because they were instrumental in the fight against terrorism.
 
"Some countries have received the permission to continue -- 'Go on, you will not be bothered because you are fighting the evil'," he said during a press conference.
 
He complained that the authorities in Myanmar could watch television news and see other countries receiving different treatment to them.
 
He said as a special rapporteur he was especially angry about the inconsistency of treatment.
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Thursday March 28, 7:52 PM
Thailand protests to Myanmar over border clash that marred royal trip
 
BANGKOK, March 28 (AFP) - Thailand Thursday made an official protest to Myanmar over a border clash involving a Thai army unit which was carrying out a security sweep hours ahead of the planned arrival of Queen Sirikit.
 
In an aide memoire, it said the unit assigned as the advance security team for the royal visit was attacked by the United Wa State Army (UWSA), an ethnic militia allied with Yangon.
 
The incident, which left one Thai soldier dead and another injured, forced the queen's planned visit to a royal-sponsored demonstration farm north of Chiang Mai to be cancelled.
 
"Such an attack on the advance team, especially just two hours prior to a most important royal visit, was a serious incident which constituted a grave affront to the Thai public," the aide memoire said.
 
"The Thai government condemns in the strongest terms the attack by the United Wa State Army," said the document which was handed to Myanmar's ambassador in Bangok.
 
Thailand said in view of the "excellent" relations between the two countries, it expected Yangon to "ensure that there will be no recurrence of a similar incident in the future."
 
An earlier protest over the incident was sent Tuesday via the two countries' border committees.
 
Thailand has sealed off part of its northern border with Myanmar and sent in several hundred troop reinforcements after a series of clashes with the UWSA, also known as the Red Wa.
 
On Friday, a fierce firefight between a Thai border patrol and a drug caravan also linked with the Red Wa left 12 alleged drug runners and a Thai soldier dead.
 
Heroin and amphetamine trafficking is rife along the Thai-Myanmar border, and clashes between narcotics-financed ethnic armies are common during the dry season.
 
Myanmar's junta insists the UWSA is trying to stamp out narcotics, but western governments accuse Yangon of turning a blind eye to the group's activities in return for a ceasefire agreement.
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Friday March 29, 9:59 AM
Senior China, ASEAN officials to talk trade in May
 
BEIJING, March 29 (Reuters) - Senior officials from China and the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) will meet in May to prepare for talks on establishing a free trade zone, the state-run Xinhua news agency said.
 
Long Yongtu, Chin'a vice-minister of foreign trade and economic cooperation, said the officials would discuss preparatory work for talks in Beijing "as soon as possible", the agency reported late on Thursday.
 
"Working level consultations between China and ASEAN have been going on for some time as preparations are being made for launching the talks," Xinhua quoted Long as saying.
 
China and ASEAN agreed last November to establish a free trade zone within the coming decade. The proposed zone would be the world's largest, with a population of 1.7 billion.
 
ASEAN groups Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.
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Thursday March 28, 8:04 PM
Thailand protests over Myanmar border clash
 
BANGKOK, March 28 (Reuters) - Thailand issued a formal protest to Myanmar on Thursday saying armed men loyal to Yangon attacked Thai troops providing advance security for a planned royal visit to a border village this week.
 
Monday's clash, which left one Thai soldier dead and another badly wounded, caused Queen Sirikit to cancel her visit.
 
Myanmar's ambassador to Thailand was summoned to receive a protest letter fromThai Foreign Ministry Permanent Secretary Tej Bunnag on Thursday.
 
"Such an attack on the advance team, especially just two hours prior to a most important royal visit, was a serious incident which constituted a grave affront to the Thai public," the letter said.
 
Thai authorities said the attack about 700 km (435 miles) north of Bangkok was carried out by members of the Yangon-allied United Wa State Army.
 
The ethnic Wa army is accused by Thailand and the United States of producing and trafficking narcotics.
 
"In view of the current excellent state of relations between Thailand and Myanmar, the Royal Thai Government expects the Myanmar authorities to exert their utmost to ensure that there will be no recurrence of a similar incident in the future," the letter to Myanmar's military government said.
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Myanmar regime frees 7 political prisoners
Fri Mar 29, 3:13 AM ET
 
YANGON, Myanmar (AP)- The military government freed seven members of opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi's party on Friday, bringing to 253 the number of political prisoners it has released since starting reconciliation talks with her 1 years ago.

Seven men belonging to the National League for Democracy party were released from various jails and all are in good health, a government statement said.
 
It identified the men by their names but gave no details about their incarceration.
 
Apart from the prisoner releases there has been little apparent progress in the reconciliation talks, which started in October 2000 after mediation by United Nations (news - web sites) envoy Razali Ismail.
 
Razali is expected to visit Myanmar again in late April in a bid to give the talks more momentum.
 
The talks are aimed at ending the political deadlock in the country, which has been ruled by the military since 1962. The current group of generals came to power in 1988 after crushing a pro-democracy uprising in which hundreds were killed.
 
The ruling junta refused to hand over power in 1990 to Nobel Peace Prize laureate Suu Kyi, whose pro-democracy party swept general elections. Instead it jailed or put under house arrest hundreds of NLD members, including Suu Kyi, triggering an international outcry.
 
More than 1,500 political prisoners remain in the junta's custody, according to human rights groups. Suu Kyi remains under virtual house arrest.
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VOA News
UN Concerned About Human Rights Violations in Burma

Lisa Schlein
Geneva

28 Mar 2002 15:17 UTC
 
A U.N. special investigator says Burma is in the process of becoming a more open society and he says the international community should encourage these efforts. But, in a report submitted to the U.N. Human Rights Commission, the investigator says the process of change in Burma is fragile and gross violations of human rights persist.
 
The human rights investigator, Brazilian Paulo Sergio Pinheiro, is calling for the release of all political prisoners in Burma, also known as Myanmar.
 
He says he does not agree with the Burmese government's contention that an estimated 1,600 political prisoners are criminal offenders. He says many people are detained simply for having peacefully exercised their political opinions.
 
"A case in point is Dr. Salai Tun Than, a brilliant PhD and a senior academic in the field of agricultural research, who was arrested in November 2001 and is now serving a seven-year sentence in Insein prison where I met him during my last mission," says Mr. Pinheiro. "Being myself a university professor and an academic, I felt depressed and distressed for this. There are persons who have never been charged nor tried and have been in prison for several years. There are persons who are old and sick and should be released on humanitarian grounds."
 
Mr. Pinheiro said he held lengthy, private meetings with 25 prisoners during a visit to Burma last month. He said prison conditions have improved, but they are not good. He also said he did not find any instances of beatings or torture.
 
The U.N. investigator said he met Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi and says she does not seem hopeless about the future of her country. Mr. Pinheiro said he told Burma's military leaders she should be released from house arrest.
 
During his visit, the investigator said he collected first hand information relating to serious human rights violations allegedly perpetrated by military personnel in areas where armed opposition groups are active.
 
"Fundamental human rights, such as the right to life, personal security, physical integrity, freedom of movement, ability to make a living appear to be routinely violated by the army in the areas of suspected armed opposition groups," Mr. Pinheiro said.
 
Mr. Pinheiro did not investigate the issue of forced labor in Burma, he said. However, from discussions with human rights groups, Mr. Pinheiro said he is convinced that forced labor continues in areas of fighting.
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The Daily Star - Fri. March 29, 2002
Govt plans Myanmar cell at EPB
M Shamsur Rahman from Yangon
 
The government is planning to set up a Myanmar cell at the Export Promotion Bureau (EPB) for fostering trade with the neighbouring country.
The cell will deal with business activities between Bangladesh and Myanmar, Commerce Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury told The Daily Star prior to leaving for Bangladesh, ending his four-day official visit to Myanmar on Wednesday.
 
During his visit, Khosru met senior ministers of Myanmar and held bilateral talks. He also jointly inaugurated a weeklong Bangladesh trade fair in Yangon.
 
The cell will be set up by next month to help resolve the problems especially those relating to border trade, the minister said. "It will also facilitate business with Myanmar and help narrow trade gap which is now largely in favour of Myanmar".
 
The minister also said purpose of his visit was to explore new markets for Bangladeshi products and improve its export scenario, which is now heading southwards with little sign of improvements in near future.
 
"So we have decided to give special emphasis on our next door market and for this we have decided to open a cell that will solely deal with the business activities with Myanmar," the minister said.
 
The minister quoting figures from the Central Statistical Office of Myanmar and EPB of Bangladesh said in 1995-96, Bangladesh imported goods amounting to US $ 8.76 million and the export from the country was US $ 3.3 million. "In 1996-97, our export stood at US $7.89 million while import was US $ 16.68 million from Myanmar."
 
"In 1997-98, the export came down to only US $ 3.58 million, which was only two per cent of the imports of US $ 68.73 million. In 1998-99, our exports dwindled almost to nil with US $ 0.58 million against a staggering figure of import of US $172.76 million," the minister said.
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Bangkok Post - Friday 29 March 2002
Wa attack an outrage, junta told
Troops confront border outposts
Post reporters
 
The government protested strongly to the Burmese government over an attack by Wa soldiers on an army patrol which caused the cancellation of Her Majesty the Queen's visit to a border village in Chiang Mai's Wiang Haeng district on Monday.
 
Burmese ambassador Myo Myint was summoned to the Foreign Ministry to receive an aide memoire from permanent secretary Tej Bunnag, a move directed by Foreign Minister Surakiart Sathirathai.
 
``The Royal Thai Government condemns in the strongest terms the attack by the United Wa State Army,'' the protest letter said.
 
UWSA soldiers intruded into Wiang Haeng district and attacked a patrol which was clearing the way for the scheduled royal visit two hours later.
 
The visit by HM the Queen was cancelled on safety grounds.
 
Due to the timing of the attack, the government considered it ``a serious incident which constituted a grave affront to the Thai public'', the letter said.
 
It expressed ``deepest concern'' and demanded a guarantee there would be no recurrence.
 
Spokesman for the ministry Ratthakit Manathat said the Burmese ambassador pledged to convey Thailand's concern to the government in Rangoon.
 
The Foreign Ministry's action came amid reports of continued build-up of UWSA forces across Wiang Haeng district yesterday.
 
Local military sources insisted the Burmese military junta was behind the presence of the Wa soldiers in the area.
 
``UWSA would not dare posing a military challenge without backing from the Burmese military junta,'' said a senior officer of Pha Mueng Task Force. The force is in charge of border security in the upper North area of Chiang Mai and Chiang Rai provinces.
 
The UWSA's attack on the calvary division patrol on Monday, which left one soldier dead, was intentional and in apparent retaliation for the death of Wa soldiers in an ambush last week in the same area, the officer said.
 
Thirteen UWSA troops were killed and 1.6 million methamphetamine tablets seized when Wa smugglers clashed with a Pha Muang Task Force unit on March 22. One Thai soldier was killed.
 
The source said the seized methamphetamine pills belonged to Wei Hsueh-kang, a leading UWSA member, and the commander of UWSA's 171th rapid deployment division.
 
UWSA's reinforcements opposite Wiang Haeng belong to the same unit.
 
``They suffered heavily from the Third Army's ambush on the drug caravan last week,'' said a senior cavalry officer.
 
It was quite unusual for the UWSA to open fire on Thai soldiers. Three UWSA soldiers were killed and several injured during the clash on Monday.
 
Pha Muang Task Force troops were last night positioned only about 300 metres from UWSA outposts opposite Ban Paek Saem.
 
``The situation is quite tense and anything could happen at anytime,'' said Col Chavalit Sirikij, commander of the 2nd Cavalry Regiment.
 
Defence Minister Chavalit Yongchaiyudh said Rangoon would need to put an end to the problems caused by UWSA.
 
``We have brought order to our side of the border and Burma should do likewise,'' Gen Chavalit said. ``But I do not think the Burmese leaders have the time right now, as they are still trying to settle internal political turmoil. In a few days I will send a man to meet them.''
 
A source said he planned to send Gen Vichit Yathip, an army adviser.
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Bangkok Post - Friday 29 March 2002
Chavalit helping bring ethnic groups and Rangoon together
Talking best way to ensure harmony
Wassana Nanuam
 
Chavalit Yongchaiyudh has been mediating truce talks between Rangoon and ethnic rebel groups, the Karen National Union and Shan State Army.
 
The KNU and SSA are the Burmese junta's main opponents.
 
The deputy prime minister and defence minister said he had taken up the mediator's role because he knew many Burmese military leaders, including Gen Saw Maung. Burma wanted the country to be democratic and to hold elections, he said.
 
The junta wanted to see proper power-sharing but were unable to reach that goal because the KNU and SSA wanted their own territory, armed forces and economic system.
 
``Senior Burmese military leaders could not contact the KNU and SSA, so I volunteered to be a mediator.
 
``We want peace in the region. With Burma still troubled, we would continue to face problems from illegal labour and drugs,'' Gen Chavalit said.
 
He was speaking during a lecture on security at Chulalongkorn University's faculty of political science.
 
Gen Chavalit said the best way to maintain security was to make friends with neighbouring countries.
 
``Early last year Thai-Burmese relations were poor because we were not seeing each other for talks.
 
``We solved the problem by starting them up again. As a result, the situation in the country has remained quiet. Even after the Sept 11 terrorist attacks in the United States, the situation in the South stayed calm,'' Gen Chavalit said.
 
He said he had not pressured the SSA to ally with the United Wa State Army.
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Bangkok Post - Friday 29 March 2002
Top brass celebrate Army Day but time is not on their side
 
Pressure is mounting on the junta to conclude the reconciliation process as the international community calls for substantial progress. If this is not forthcoming, trade sanctions loom.
BY LARRY JAGAN, BBC
 
On Wednesday, amid unprecedented security, Burma's military leaders celebrated one of the most important dates in the Burmese military calendar _ Armed Forces Day or Resistance Day.
 
This is the anniversary of the day when General Aung San, opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi's father, declared war against the occupying Japanese forces 57 years ago. And as the country's military brass oversaw the celebrations, the country's top three generals, Than Shwe, Maung Aye and Khin Nyunt, were desperately trying to create an image of unprecedented unity. But as the junta stressed unity and the army's unique role in ensuring national security and stability, time seems to be running out for the generals, and they must know it.
 
The international community, and even United Nations special envoy Razali Ismail, have warned the junta in recent weeks that they are growing impatient with the lack of progress in the dialogue process. Eighteen months of secret talks between the generals and the opposition leader have produced very little in the way of concrete results.
 
More than 250 political prisoners have been released, the opposition National League for Democracy has been allowed to open most of its offices in Rangoon, and it hopes to open its divisional headquarters throughout the country soon. But opposition activists cannot travel relatively freely. ``And most importantly NLD activists are no longer harassed by the military,'' said U Lwin, the opposition spokesman.
 
But more than 1,300 political prisoners remain in jail, according to international human rights groups, including the Red Cross. There are still more than 600 NLD activists in jail, and of course Ms Suu Kyi is also still under house arrest.
 
There are fears that the foiled coup plot is going to continue to be used as an excuse to delay the dialogue process further. That is the reason the military gave for the postponement of the UN envoy's scheduled trip to Burma last week. This decision has disappointed even Rangoon's supporters, such as the Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohammad, who is reported to have written to Gen Than Shwe urging him to reschedule Ambassador Razali's visit as soon as possible, before the water festival in the middle of April.
 
The clean-up of the alleged coup plot by the Ne Win family against the government also appears to be causing the military far more problems than was originally expected. Many diplomats in Rangoon remain convinced that there is a power struggle within the upper echelons of the military between the liberals around Lt-Gen Khin Nyunt and the hardliners, led by Gen Maung Aye, who are opposed to the talks with the opposition leader Ms Suu Kyi. But the constant show of unity _ even the almost unprecedented photograph of Gen Maung Aye and Lt-Gen Khin Nyunt inspecting the troops together in preparation for the Army Day rehearsal, in the Burmese-run newspapers seems to suggest that there is no power struggle.
 
So far the generals have only confirmed the sacking of four top soldiers, including two regional commanders, and these seem to be linked to business operations involving members of the Ne Win family. There have been other sackings too, according to military sources in Rangoon, including the head of the military's medical services because he sanctioned the provision of nursing support for the ailing Gen Ne Win.
 
The question of soldiers, police and civilians is still going on. It could be as many as a thousand have been picked up and questioned, according to military sources in Rangoon.
 
This massive investigation is now beginning to sew mistrust and suspicion within the ranks of the army. For the first time since 1988, the army seems to be turning against itself.
 
Until now, the army has in fact remained extremely cohesive and unified, despite constant rumours of internal power struggles. ``It's been a monolithic organisation, running on unquestioning loyalty within the ranks,'' said an Asian diplomat in Rangoon. The process of cleaning up the coup plotters is now endangering the very fabric of the army which enabled it to wield power so effectively till now. ``There is a very real danger of the army imploding on itself if these investigations continue for much longer,'' said diplomats in Rangoon.
 
While there is no power struggle within the triumvirate, Gen Than Shwe, Gen Maung Aye and Lt-Gen Khin Nyunt, the future of the intelligence chief must now be in doubt. He owes his meteoric rise with army to Gen Ne Win's patronage. He's also been very close to Sandar Ne Win, although he has distanced himself from her and family's business dealings over the last 18 months. And now that the junta has moved against the first family, his position is likely to become increasingly untenable.
 
Gen Than Shwe has now emerged as the unchallenged power in the military government. Some analysts believe this will favour the dialogue process in the long-run. Gen Ne Win's influence, if indeed he still had any, has been dramatically ended and the junta have proven they can accommodate the unexpected and the unthinkable if they feel they need to.
 
But UN officials fear that the process of rooting out the coup plot will be Gen Than Shwe's priority and he's likely to concentrate on that to the exclusion of everything else. They draw comparisons with the situation last year when Secretary Two Lt-Gen Tin Oo was killed in a helicopter crash, and the military's pre-occupation with internal matters stalled the talks, and almost caused them to collapse altogether.
 
The hope is that this time the talks won't suffer in the same way. Mr Razali hasn't minced his words when telling the junta he needed to return to Rangoon as soon as possible in the interests of the process. ``I hope the events surrounding the coup plot don't derail the reconciliation process,'' he said. ``It's too important to the Burmese people for the government to allow this to happen.''
 
In fact the junta is running out of time, as the international community are anxious to see significant progress in the talks before the end of April. ``They've dragged out the secret talks with the opposition leader Ms Suu Kyi as long as they could without giving any significant concessions to the democracy movement,'' said a Rangoon-based diplomat. ``Now they will have to show their commitment to the process or risk the international community increasing Rangoon's isolation.''
 
Already the United States is openly threatening the regime with stiffening economic sanctions. ``If there's no progress soon,'' said senior US officials, ``the US will come down on them like a ton of bricks.'' That's likely to mean trade sanctions. Currently the US imports nearly four million dollars of goods from Burma, mainly textiles. That will be a significant dint to the already crippled economy.
 
Nothing less than Ms Suu Kyi's release will satisfy their impatience. ``We are going through a crucial and delicate stage,'' said U Lwin, the NLD spokesman. And there also hints that the opposition leader herself is getting frustrated by the lack of progress and may even decide to break her self-imposed silence if the generals don't move the dialogue process onto substantive political talks soon.
 
- Larry Jagan is the BBC's Southeast Asia analyst, based in Bangkok
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The Nation
Protest over Wa attack
Published on Mar 29, 2002
 
The Foreign Ministry yesterday lodged a protest with Burma over a clash along the border between Burma's United Wa State Army (UWSA) and a Thai army unit that was conducting security sweep hours ahead of the scheduled visit of HM the Queen.
 
The protest note, called an aide-memoire, was handed over to Burmese Ambassador Myo Myint in Bangkok.
 
The clash last Saturday, in which a Thai soldier was killed, resulted in the cancellation of the Queen's visit to a royal project in Chiang Mai province.
 
In the aide-memoire, the ministry said the unit assigned as an advance security team for the royal visit was attacked by the UWSA, the major source of drug production and trafficking.
 
"Such an attack on the advance team, especially just two hours prior to a most important royal visit, was a serious incident which constituted a grave affront to the Thai public," the note said.
 
"The Thai government condemns in the strongest terms the attack by the UWSA."
 
Thailand said in view of the "excellent" relations between the two countries, it expected Rangoon to "ensure that there will be no recurrence of a similar incident in the future."
 
An earlier protest over the incident was sent on Tuesday via the two countries' border committees.
 
Part of the northern border was sealed off as both Burmese government and Wa forces deployed more troops and weapons in the area.
 
The UWSA is a major source of illicit drugs entering Thailand.
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Myanmar Releases Seven More Opposition Members
Xinhuanet 2002-03-29 19:44:10
 
YANGON, March 29 (Xinhuanet) -- The Myanmar government set free seven more members of the opposition National League for Democracy(NLD) here Friday, an official Information Sheet said.
 
The seven men, released from various "correctional institutions", are identified as U Thein Zaw, U Than Swe, U Tin Myaing, U KhinMaung Lin, U Win Ni Oo, U Thein Htay and U Aung Kyi Myint.
 
The release has brought to 244 the total number of freed NLD members and its activists since January 2001.
 
Meanwhile, the government has also been releasing criminal offenders on humanitarian grounds since February 22 this year, after United Nations Human Rights Envoy to Myanmar Paulo Sergio Pinheiro paid a visit to the country to inspect its human rights situation.
 
The total number of such freed female detainees, who are eitherpregnant or with young children, has come to 318.
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