China and Myanmar Strategic Interests, Strategies and the Road Ahead

ဖော်ပြချက်/အကြောင်းအရာ: 

Conclusion: "Since the end of the bipolar system and the rise of globalization, the world has become interconnected and interdependent through culture, economy, and the polity. In order to provide an accurate strategic foresight of Sino-Myanmar relations, it is necessary to understand the historical and present context, national ambitions, and the current means available to achieve these goals. At the same time, to offer a precise forecast, there is a need to hypothesize the possible obstacles to these ambitions. The paper concludes that the period of the next 5-10 years, from a Chinese standpoint, will be one of balancing between securing its economic investment through bilateral relations between China and ethnic groups, China and the Junta, and its wish for stronger involvement in the political arena. In this quest, China will outbid all other players; provide economic assistance; infrastructure building; and a political umbrella to the international community. Nonetheless, China will have to face certain obstacles to achieve these goals, mainly the growing resentment of local Chinese presence in Myanmar; border instability; weak Myanmar governance; and stronger international sanctions. Alternatively, from a Myanmarese standpoint, due to the Junta?s controversial history, it wants to prove to the regional and international community that it is a legitimate government. Through the Seven Step Roadmap to Democracy and the election later this year, the Junta wants to show its credibility as the government of Myanmar. The Junta has been successful at making regional actors compete for its natural resources and its strategic importance works in its favor. When China, India, and ASEAN compete for access to Myanmar, they are supporting the Junta with financially, which gets translated into political support. Also, the Junta does not want foreign involvement in its national affairs. Therefore, it purposely keeps a low profile in the international arena. The obstacles to the achievement of Myanmar?s goals would be an increase in international criticism that would pressure China to further influence the Junta, and ethnic groups uniting against the government, which would weaken furthermore the credibility of the Junta. In conclusion, in the near future, China?s economic thirst will be challenged by its wish to become a regional and international superpower on the one hand, and on the other, Myanmar?s Junta will try to convince its neighbors and the world that its government is legitimate..."

Creator/author: 

Billy Tea

ရင်းမြစ်: 

Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies - Delhi (IPCS Research Paper 26)

Date of Publication: 

2010-09-00

Date of entry: 

2010-11-16

Grouping: 

  • Individual Documents

အကြောင်းအရာ/အမျိုးအစား: 

Language: 

English

ပုံစံ: 

အရွယ်အစား: