Who is doing what?

[newinnaing@xxxxxxxxxxx]

An analysis on the MI advocating NE WIN to be the savior.


A. How the steps had been taken.

Person			Period			Role
Htun Aung Gyaw 		end of 1997	- pilot lobby for US
                                           based groups
Thakin Chit Maung	early 1998	- pilot lobby for                                                       
Burma / border 						   political anizations
Aung Gyi		middle 1998	- as the previous pilot                                                
lobbies did not get any                                               
strong objections, has 					  come out with the final  
                                          endorsement				

B. Description of the respective personals and the possible reasons for 
doing.

Htun Aung Gyaw
Personal:
	He is one of the big names (jailed in 1974, first ABSDF Chairman) in 
the revolution.
	In Burma, used to have police in front of his house all the time.
	
	Possible reasons for supporting Ne Win:
	Inspite of this, his wife and children were issued passports and are 
now staying with him in the USA. 
	After that, his mother visited him last year and went back to Burma. 

	Action:
	After his family and his mother arrived in the USA, around end of 1997, 
he came out with a proposal to make NE WIN as the savior of Burma.

Question:  Can it be that the military intelligence did not know his 
wife as Mrs. Tun Aung Gyaw when they were processing the documents or 
were they given passports on an agreement? (i.e. running the pilot lobby 
for Ne Win?)

Question: How did the mother get the passport and why she has not been 
arrested when she returned back to Burma. (i.e. was she carrying a 
message?  


Aung Gyi
	Actions:
	In 1988 Aung Gyi came out with a paper that said Ne Win was not to be 
blamed. It was supposedly " copied and circulated" amongst the 
government offices and eventually to the mass. (Even at that time we saw 
that without the endorsement of the MI, or Ne Win himself, it could not 
have been circulated or copied) 

	Now, comes out with a passport while other politically active people 
are denied the right even to travel across townships.  Aung Gyi goes on 
to RFA and in an interview says that 
1. Ne Win is not the only one to be blamed 
2. the present government must make way 
3. that there is a split amongst the military.

Question: 
	No one is in a position to say the above three things and go back into 
Burma. Therefore, just like in 1988, Aung Gyi is on a mission on behalf 
of Ne Win and is the final part of the "Ne Win the savior plan".
 


Richard Aung Myint	
	Personal:
	Richard is very, very close to Col. SET  TUN. Col SET TUN was for many 
years the confident/innermost bodyguard of  NE WIN.  
	Richard was also BSPP an enlisted military personnal.

	Actions:
	He was very active in the CRDB around 1988- 92 (is it a coincidence 
that it was the time when everybody in the US/Europe was very 
enthusiastic about the 88 movement, was going to the border in support 
and those going needed to be monitored by someone inside?) 
	He had been inactive for a long time (when there was no need to monitor 
or concentrate on a unit or an organization?) but has been activated 
recently to  "put fuel on the fire".
	His smooth comments making the controversies continue and putting up 
the point of trying to stop funding to the democratic movement as a "US 
citizen" has a two pronged effect of 
1. directly stopping the funds to the democratic movement
2. indirectly supports the call for Ne Win's role by creating confusion 
in the democratic camp, leading to no strong concentrated reactions 
against this call. 

				******************


We suggest that those concerned study the above outline, do some cross 
referencing (-- being in the US and having good access to e-mail twenty 
four hours a day, Tun Aung Gyaw and Richard Aung Myint would be in a 
position to answer whether the points are true or not --) before giving 
any comments so that these factors are also put them into their thinking 
when they decide which side they will stay with.

	It also helps if people are not time warped (whether we like them or 
not we have to acknowledge that the SLORC works twenty four hours a day 
and how ever crude they may be, proceed a little each day ) , study the 
happenings over a time frame so that  "timed " moves play out their 
profile. I.e. compared to the last ten years and with the progress the 
democratic movement has made, now is the era of and time for dialogue 
and Ne Win seems to want to be the person who negotiates this. 

	Things change/develop as time goes by and one has to note that it is 
helpful to study the environment in a practical way.





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