SAIS conference, Dean, State Dept P

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Subject: Re: SAIS conference, Dean, State Dept Policy

Dear BurmaReaders

Regarding upcoming SAIS US Burma Policy conference, Sais Dean PAUL WOLFOWITZ soft-peddling to China over allegations of Chinese sale of mass destruction nuclear technology to Pakistan. Will FORMER STATE DEPARTMENT EAST ASIA HEAD PAUL WOLFOWITZ continue to bow down to China over US Burma policy? 

Also, is anyone able to get records on Dean Paul Wolfowitz's history at the State Department East Asia desk. Its not clear what he was doing there and what policy decisions he made re Burma. Thank you Dawn Star
Don't forget his role on the political advisory board Total. He still may be on that Board there has not been information to the contrary. Has anyone called SAIS about this? -Dawn Star

Headline: US - CHINA PROLIFERATION
Keywords:US nuclear, Chine nuclear, Non-Proliferation 
Date: April 3 1996
Source: DAVID DYAR, VOA
Section: Nuke

WASHINGTON - THE CLINTON ADMINISTRATION SAYS IT IS TO MAKE A DECISION 
SOON ON WHAT ITS RESPONSE WILL BE TO ALLEGATIONS CHINA HAS SOLD 
OTHER COUNTRIES TECHNOLOGY TO MAKE WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION.  
THE MOST PRESSING DECISION STEMS FROM ALLEGATIONS CHINA SUPPLIED 
TECHNOLOGY TO PAKISTAN WHICH WOULD HELP ISLAMABAD TO MAKE NUCLEAR
WEAPONS.
IN RECENT WEEKS, ALLEGATIONS HAVE SURFACED FROM US 
INTELLIGENCE OFFICIALS CHINA HAS SUPPLIED NUCLEAR WEAPONS 
TECHNOLOGY TO PAKISTAN AND CRUISE MISSILES TO IRAN.
CHINA HAS DENIED SUCH TRANSFERS.
THE MOST IMMEDIATE ISSUE FOR THE CLINTON ADMINISTRATION STEMS 
FROM THE ALLEGATIONS ABOUT PAKISTAN.
CHINA ALLEGEDLY SUPPLIED PAKISTAN WITH SPECIAL DEVICES, CALLED 
RING MAGNETS, THAT ARE VITAL COMPONENTS IN A CENTRIFUGE NEEDED TO
ENRICH URANIUM USED IN NUCLEAR BOMBS.
IF THE MAGNETS WERE TRANSFERRED, U-S LAW REQUIRES THE GOVERNMENT 
TO HALT GUARANTEES FOR 10-BILLION DOLLARS IN LOANS FOR AMERICAN 
COMPANIES DOING BUSINESS IN CHINA.  THE PENALTY CAN BE WAIVED IF 
THE PRESIDENT FINDS IT WOULD HARM THE NATIONAL INTEREST.

THE STATE DEPARTMENT IS CLOSE TO MAKING A FINDING ON WHETHER SUCH
A SALE WAS MADE TO PAKISTAN.  IF IT DETERMINES SUCH A TRANSFER 
WAS MADE, THE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WILL MAKE A 
RECOMMENDATION ON WHAT THE PRESIDENT SHOULD DO.

MANY ANALYSTS SAY THE PRESIDENT MAY SIMPLY WAIVE THE REQUIREMENT 
TO BAN THE LOANS AND FASHION SANCTIONS AGAINST THE PARTICULAR 
CHINESE FIRM WHICH ALLEGEDLY SOLD THE MAGNETS TO PAKISTAN.

BUT OTHER ANALYSTS, SUCH AS FORMER STATE DEPARTMENT EAST ASIA 
HEAD PAUL WOLFOWITZ, SAY TO BE EFFECTIVE ACTIONS AGAINST CHINA 
MUST NOT BE TAKEN ALONE.WOLFOWITZ :

"   I THINK AT TIMES OUT APPROACH BECOMES TOO LEGALISTIC.  
         LEGALISTIC AT THE EXPENSE OF ENGAGING CHINA ON A 
         STRATEGIC DISCUSSION ON WHY THESE ACTIONS HAVE A BROADER
         DESTABILIZING EFFECT AND STRATEGICALLY LACKING IN OUR 
         EFFORT TO ENLIST OTHER COUNTRIES.  IF I HAD TO MAKE ONE 
         POINT ON THIS ISSUE, IT WOULD BE THAT WE WILL MAKE MUCH 
         MORE PROGRESS, I THINK IN CURBING DISTURBING CHINESE 
         BEHAVIOR IF WE CAN FIND A WAY TO APPROACH THIS ISSUE 
         MULTILATERALLY AND NOT SIMPLY ON A BILATERAL US-CHINESE
         BASIS. "

BUT THE DIFFICULTY OF DOING THAT WAS EMPHASIZED IN REMARKS 
RECENTLY BY THE US ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF STATE FOR EAST ASIAN 
AFFAIRS, WINSTON LORD.  HE BLUNTLY CRITICIZED AMERICA'S ALLIES 
FOR FAILING TO ASSIST IN TAKING ACTION AGAINST CHINA.LORD: 

" OF COURSE WE WANT EUROPEAN AND JAPANESE AND OTHER HELP 
         ON NON-PROLIFERATION, OR TRADE OR HUMAN RIGHTS.  WELL, 
         GOOD LUCK.  WE TRY VERY HARD.  THEY HOLD OUR COATS WHILE
         WE TAKE ON THE CHINESE AND THEY GOBBLE UP THE CONTRACTS. "

WHILE THE CLINTON ADMINISTRATION IS NOT ENTHUSIASTIC ABOUT 
SANCTIONS AS A WAY OF INFLUENCING CHINA, IT IS COMING UNDER 
PRESSURE FROM CONGRESS TO USE THE TOOL.  CONGRESSWOMAN NANCY 
PELOSI IS A LEADING CRITIC OF THE ADMINISTRATION'S CHINA POLICY 
AND HAS BEEN AN ADVOCATE OF SANCTIONS. PELOSI :

"  I BELIEVE WE NEED TO REVISIT THE ISSUE OF THE SANCTIONS.
         BECAUSE THE ADMINISTRATION HESITATES TO USE THE 

         SANCTIONS THAT ARE THE LAW.  THOSE SANCTIONS ARE NOT A 
         CREDIBLE THREAT.  THE CHINESE GOVERNMENT KNOWS ALL IT 
         HAS TO DO IS PUT PRESSURE ON THE BUSINESS COMMUNITY TO 
         PUT PRESSURE ON THE ADMINISTRATION AND THE IMPORT OF THE
         PROLIFERATION ISSUE IS DIMINISHED.  SO IF THE 
         ADMINISTRATION DOES NOT EVERY INTEND TO USE THESE 
         SANCTIONS OR INTENDS TO WAIVE THEM IMMEDIATELY THEN WE 
         SHOULD COME TOGETHER AND SAY WHAT ARE THE APPROPRIATE 
         SANCTIONS. "

THE CLINTON ADMINISTRATION HAS BEEN HOLDING HIGH-LEVEL MEETINGS 
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS TO DECIDE WHAT TO DO ABOUT THE 
ALLEGATIONS. 

ONE FACTOR COMPLICATING THE ISSUE IS THE POSSIBILITY THE 
ADMINISTRATION'S CHINA POLICY MAY BECOME EMBROILED IN THE 
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION CAMPAIGN THIS YEAR.  SOME REPUBLICANS HAVE 
CRITICIZED THE ADMINISTRATION FOR NOT BEING TOUGH ENOUGH AGAINST 
CHINA.